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Serie A · Matchweek 22

Momentum

JuventusNapoli
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
22

Venue

Stadium
Juventus Stadium, Torino
Capacity
45,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
41,654

Teams

Coaches
Luciano Spalletti · Antonio Conte
Position
6 · 3
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Maurizio Mariani

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Juventus

DWWLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 2 · xG 10.07–3.69 · xPts 10.8

  • W H Benfica 2–0 xG 1.13–1.52 UEFA CL
  • L A Cagliari 0–1 xG 1.52–0.29 ITA SA
  • W H Cremonese 5–0 xG 2.56–1.32 ITA SA
  • W A Sassuolo 3–0 xG 1.91–0.29 ITA SA
  • D H Lecce 1–1 xG 2.94–0.27 ITA SA

Napoli

DDDWD 1W 4D 0L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 5 · xG 6.28–6.76 · xPts 6.59

  • D A FC København 1–1 xG 1.63–1.75 UEFA CL
  • W H Sassuolo 1–0 xG 0.64–1.27 ITA SA
  • D H Parma 0–0 xG 1.51–0.34 ITA SA
  • D A Inter 2–2 xG 1.08–1.58 ITA SA
  • D H Hellas Verona 2–2 xG 1.41–1.82 ITA SA

All meetings · 38 matches since 2007

Juventus 166 draws16 Napoli

Goals 55–53 · 2.84 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 63%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Juventus 22 draws6 Napoli

Goals 10–15 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Juventus 11 draws3 Napoli

Goals 6–6 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Juventus 3–0 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Napoli 2–1 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Napoli 2–1 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Juventus 0–0 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Napoli 2–1 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Juventus 1–0 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Juventus 0–1 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Napoli 5–1 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Juventus 1–1 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Napoli 2–1 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricJuventus all · 38Juventus at home · 19Napoli all · 38Napoli away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.821.952.001.74
W / D / L19 / 12 / 710 / 7 / 223 / 7 / 810 / 3 / 6
Goals for / match1.611.841.531.32
Goals against / match0.890.840.950.95
Clean sheets42%42%40%42%
Failed to score21%21%21%26%
Both teams scored45%47%47%37%
Over 2.540%42%53%42%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.832.061.471.48
xG against / match1.000.921.060.99
xG difference0.831.140.400.49
Finishing vs xG-0.22-0.220.06-0.17
xPts / match1.832.011.631.66
Points vs xPts-0.02-0.070.370.08
Game state
Scored first58%53%55%53%
PPG when scoring first2.642.802.862.70
PPG when conceding first0.621.000.930.63
Came back from behind50%75%47%33%
Leads held83%91%96%91%
Minutes leading35%36%40%40%
Minutes level49%49%40%38%
Minutes trailing17%15%20%22%
First goal (min)35343126
First goal conceded (min)40403736
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%60%47%36%
Goals conceded in 2nd half56%44%58%61%
Late goals for (76'+)0.340.470.260.21
Late goals against0.210.110.180.21
Style
Possession58%59%59%59%
Shots16.819.713.212.6
On target6.06.84.74.2
Shot conversion10%9%12%10%
Shots inside box65%64%64%62%
Big chances created2.93.22.02.0
Corners5.46.55.54.7
xG from set plays26%29%29%33%
Goals from headers24%30%17%24%
Pressure index22.525.520.418.8
Dominant minutes64.769.163.662.6
Pass accuracy86%87%87%86%
Fouls12.111.411.211.3
Cards1.451.111.371.74

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Juventus

0–15'104
16–30'73
31–45'78
46–60'116
61–75'135
76–90'138

Napoli

0–15'118
16–30'93
31–45'114
46–60'118
61–75'66
76–90'107

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Juventus · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.27) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.64

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.275
Early press (0-15, level)-0.165
Late push (76+, level)+1.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.212

Game state

When ahead+0.423
When level+0.215
When behind+0.142
10 min after conceding-0.112
10 min after scoring+0.645

Situations

At home+0.173
Away+0.402
4+ days rest+0.275

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.152
As favourite+0.275

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.285
Conceded when ahead-0.343
Conceded late (76+)-0.494

Ahead vs level +0.20 · Behind vs level -0.07

Napoli · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.82

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.015
Early press (0-15, level)-0.105
Late push (76+, level)+0.352
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.443

Game state

When ahead+0.473
When level-0.055
When behind-0.253
10 min after conceding-0.473
10 min after scoring+0.824

Situations

At home+0.023
Away-0.062
4+ days rest-0.015

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.322
As favourite+0.442
As underdog-0.432

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.305
Conceded when ahead+0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.115

Ahead vs level +0.52 · Behind vs level -0.20

Juventus

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-124 63%2.041.540.671.690.99
4-2-3-16 16%1.671.830.832.610.73
4-1-4-12 5%2.01.50.52.281.11
3-5-22 5%0.00.51.51.01.33
4-3-32 5%0.01.02.51.21.6

Napoli

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-121 55%1.861.521.11.391.03
4-1-4-18 21%2.251.881.02.011.36
3-4-36 16%2.51.670.51.410.74
4-3-33 8%1.330.330.670.641.14

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.9Home 50% P 51%3.1Draw 30% P 29%4.75Away 20% P 19%

Double Chance

1.2Juventus or Draw 39% P 40%1.36Juventus or Napoli 35% P 35%1.8Draw or Napoli 26% P 24%

Draw No Bet

1.361 69%3.02 31%

Both Teams To Score

2.1Yes 44% P 44%1.66No 56% P 56%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.5Over 38% P 38%1.53Under 62% P 62%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 17.5–20% · 120 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home51%52%49%-2.4
Draw29%29%33%+4.1
Away19%19%18%-1.8

In those fixtures: 2.0 goals a game · BTTS 41% · over 2.5 38%

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes44%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 37.5–40% · 1,310 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.538%39%39%+0.7

Maurizio Mariani

Career
229 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
4.68 (4.44 yellow · 0.15 red)
Fouls / match
25.6 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 76 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.334.48-0.2237
Fouls / match25.125.1-0.02
Fouls per card5.85.6-0.04 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.260.31-0.4939
Time added6.66.4+0.3758
First card
35' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.16

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-20 30 220 5'6
2026-01-15 30 270 12'10
2026-01-08 50 201 70'6
2025-12-28 · Napoli 40 210 34'7
2025-12-21 41 180 7'8
2025-12-06 30 211 45'9
2025-11-30 50 381 78'7
2025-11-25 80 180 3'8
2025-11-04 41 160 45'8
2025-10-25 · Napoli 30 252 43'12