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Serie A · Matchweek 22

Momentum

LecceLazio
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
22

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare, Lecce
Capacity
40,800
Surface
grass
Attendance
24,435

Teams

Coaches
Eusebio Di Francesco · Maurizio Sarri
Position
17 · 9
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Daniele Chiffi

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
15.0° (feels 14.8°)
Wind
6.2
Humidity
88%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Lecce

DLLLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 2 GA 7 · xG 2.35–10.36 · xPts 2.47

  • L A AC Milan 0–1 xG 0.31–3.1 ITA SA
  • L A Inter 0–1 xG 0.51–1.8 ITA SA
  • L H Parma 1–2 xG 0.76–1.37 ITA SA
  • L H Roma 0–2 xG 0.5–1.15 ITA SA
  • D A Juventus 1–1 xG 0.27–2.94 ITA SA

Lazio

DLDWL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 8 · xG 5.24–7.41 · xPts 5.62

  • L H Como 0–3 xG 0.35–2.5 ITA SA
  • W A Hellas Verona 1–0 xG 1.11–0.64 ITA SA
  • D H Fiorentina 2–2 xG 2.58–1.41 ITA SA
  • L H Napoli 0–2 xG 0.45–1.92 ITA SA
  • D A Udinese 1–1 xG 0.75–0.93 ITA SA

All meetings · 18 matches since 2005

Lecce 55 draws8 Lazio

Goals 20–27 · 2.61 per match · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Lecce 42 draws4 Lazio

Goals 12–14 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Lecce 11 draws3 Lazio

Goals 2–5 · 1.4 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D Lecce 0–0 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Lazio 2–0 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Lazio 0–1 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Lecce 1–2 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Lazio 1–0 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Lecce 2–1 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Lazio 2–2 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Lecce 2–1 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Lecce 2–1 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Lazio 4–2 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricLecce all · 38Lecce at home · 19Lazio all · 38Lazio away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.001.051.421.26
W / D / L10 / 8 / 205 / 5 / 914 / 12 / 126 / 6 / 7
Goals for / match0.740.681.080.74
Goals against / match1.321.261.050.79
Clean sheets26%26%40%47%
Failed to score50%53%45%58%
Both teams scored37%37%29%16%
Over 2.537%42%32%16%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.891.071.171.04
xG against / match1.531.381.361.30
xG difference-0.64-0.31-0.19-0.26
Finishing vs xG-0.15-0.39-0.09-0.30
xPts / match1.011.211.231.18
Points vs xPts-0.01-0.160.190.08
Game state
Scored first42%42%42%37%
PPG when scoring first2.002.002.502.43
PPG when conceding first0.060.130.530.38
Came back from behind9%18%33%12%
Leads held62%62%70%75%
Minutes leading20%22%21%15%
Minutes level53%51%54%62%
Minutes trailing28%26%25%23%
First goal (min)32244253
First goal conceded (min)42413544
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half43%31%61%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half64%67%52%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.160.110.390.26
Late goals against0.240.110.180.11
Style
Possession42%44%50%51%
Shots9.810.611.09.8
On target2.62.84.13.5
Shot conversion8%6%10%8%
Shots inside box58%61%61%61%
Big chances created1.31.51.91.9
Corners4.34.23.72.9
xG from set plays33%39%30%30%
Goals from headers29%31%7%0%
Pressure index7.28.712.29.8
Dominant minutes34.340.545.041.0
Pass accuracy74%76%86%86%
Fouls12.612.010.610.3
Cards1.871.892.292.11

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Lecce

0–15'82
16–30'510
31–45'36
46–60'29
61–75'414
76–90'69

Lazio

0–15'65
16–30'47
31–45'67
46–60'67
61–75'47
76–90'157

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Lecce · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.31) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.43

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.314
Early press (0-15, level)-0.434

Game state

When ahead-0.342
When level-0.294
When behind-0.272
10 min after conceding-0.233
10 min after scoring-0.202

Situations

At home-0.372
Away-0.272
4+ days rest-0.314

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.382
As underdog-0.233

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.804
Conceded when ahead+0.912
Conceded late (76+)+0.563

Ahead vs level -0.05 · Behind vs level +0.02

Lazio · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.62

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.034
Early press (0-15, level)+0.254
Late push (76+, level)-0.102

Game state

When ahead+0.134
When level-0.104
10 min after conceding-0.612
10 min after scoring+0.624

Situations

At home-0.172
Away+0.232
4+ days rest+0.034

Opposition

Evenly matched+0.173

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.004
Conceded when ahead-0.064
Conceded late (76+)-0.244

Ahead vs level +0.23 · Behind vs level +0.30

Lecce

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-122 58%1.140.821.230.971.44
4-3-313 34%0.770.621.310.731.65
4-1-4-12 5%1.50.51.51.421.31
3-5-1-11 3%0.01.03.00.212.43

Lazio

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-336 95%1.390.971.031.121.37
4-2-3-12 5%2.03.01.52.031.32

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.75Home 20% P 20%2.9Draw 32% P 32%1.95Away 48% P 48%

Double Chance

1.8Lecce or Draw 26% P 26%1.4Lecce or Lazio 34% P 34%1.18Draw or Lazio 40% P 40%

Draw No Bet

3.251 29%1.332 71%

Both Teams To Score

2.5Yes 38% P 39%1.5No 62% P 61%

Goals Over/Under

2.53.0Over 32% P 32%1.4Under 68% P 68%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.756 - 8 32%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.1Over 44% P 43%1.66Under 56% P 57%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 20–25% · away 45–50% · 672 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home20%24%21%-2.5
Draw32%28%29%+0.4
Away48%48%50%+2.2

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 44%

Both teams to score · yes 37.5–40% · 337 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes39%39%41%+2.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 30–32.5% · 151 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.532%31%31%-0.3

Daniele Chiffi

Career
140 matches · 14 seasons
Cards / match
4.09 (3.85 yellow · 0.19 red)
Fouls / match
24.4 · 5.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.26
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 70 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.934.48-0.7924
Fouls / match22.925.1-1.46
Fouls per card5.95.6+0.07 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.210.31-0.8815
Time added6.76.4+0.5871
First card
38' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 39% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.13

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-18 30 220 9'7
2026-01-03 40 260 37'8
2025-12-08 30 231 19'9
2025-11-09 40 290 63'9
2025-11-06 40 281 52'9
2025-11-01 10 240 74'9
2025-10-25 10 210 80'7
2025-09-28 11 141 57'8
2025-08-31 30 290 19'6
2025-08-28 41 300 59'8