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Serie A · Matchweek 23

Momentum

ComoAtalanta
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
23

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como
Capacity
12,064
Surface
grass
Attendance
11,925

Teams

Coaches
Cesc Fàbregas · Raffaele Palladino
Position
6 · 7
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Luca Pairetto

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
5.8° (feels 5.8°)
Wind
0.5
Humidity
88%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Como

WDLWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 14 GA 4 · xG 10.72–5.06 · xPts 10.16

  • W H Torino 6–0 xG 3.01–0.59 ITA SA
  • W A Lazio 3–0 xG 2.5–0.35 ITA SA
  • L H AC Milan 1–3 xG 1.96–1.36 ITA SA
  • D H Bologna 1–1 xG 1.39–1.21 ITA SA
  • W A Pisa 3–0 xG 1.86–1.54 ITA SA

Atalanta

WDLWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 9 GA 5 · xG 10.88–6.09 · xPts 9.51

  • L A Union Saint-Gilloise 0–1 xG 1.16–0.88 UEFA CL
  • W H Parma 4–0 xG 4.25–1.68 ITA SA
  • L H Athletic Club 2–3 xG 1.71–1.24 UEFA CL
  • D A Pisa 1–1 xG 1.85–1.52 ITA SA
  • W H Torino 2–0 xG 1.91–0.76 ITA SA

All meetings · 4 matches since 2024

Como 12 draws1 Atalanta

Goals 5–5 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 75% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 4 matches

Como 12 draws1 Atalanta

Goals 5–5 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 75% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 4 matches

Como 12 draws1 Atalanta

Goals 5–5 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 75% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • D Como 0–0 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Atalanta 1–1 Como ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Como 1–2 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Atalanta 2–3 Como ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricComo all · 38Como at home · 19Atalanta all · 38Atalanta away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.871.891.551.37
W / D / L20 / 11 / 710 / 6 / 315 / 14 / 96 / 8 / 5
Goals for / match1.711.841.341.37
Goals against / match0.760.790.951.11
Clean sheets50%53%34%32%
Failed to score24%16%21%10%
Both teams scored42%47%53%63%
Over 2.545%42%37%37%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.601.921.711.46
xG against / match0.910.861.181.42
xG difference0.691.060.530.04
Finishing vs xG0.11-0.07-0.36-0.10
xPts / match1.782.001.711.44
Points vs xPts0.09-0.11-0.16-0.07
Game state
Scored first58%63%50%53%
PPG when scoring first2.452.172.472.20
PPG when conceding first1.101.750.560.38
Came back from behind42%50%44%38%
Leads held80%71%75%60%
Minutes leading38%44%28%22%
Minutes level48%43%51%52%
Minutes trailing14%13%21%26%
First goal (min)32314657
First goal conceded (min)41414849
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half58%54%53%54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half59%60%50%43%
Late goals for (76'+)0.390.420.340.42
Late goals against0.110.110.240.32
Style
Possession62%64%55%54%
Shots14.416.714.812.5
On target5.16.34.64.2
Shot conversion12%11%9%11%
Shots inside box66%67%66%66%
Big chances created2.63.32.52.2
Corners4.55.05.74.5
xG from set plays32%28%25%21%
Goals from headers15%14%14%4%
Pressure index21.125.115.912.7
Dominant minutes67.274.455.449.1
Pass accuracy87%88%84%83%
Fouls13.412.511.812.3
Cards2.212.161.682.11

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Como

0–15'115
16–30'72
31–45'95
46–60'910
61–75'143
76–90'154

Atalanta

0–15'83
16–30'58
31–45'117
46–60'84
61–75'65
76–90'139

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Como · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.34) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.69

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.345
Early press (0-15, level)+0.415

Game state

When ahead+0.224
When level+0.565
When behind+0.302
10 min after conceding+0.075
10 min after scoring+0.695

Situations

At home+0.342
Away+0.353
4+ days rest+0.345

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.012
As favourite+0.394

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.145
Conceded when ahead-0.004
Conceded late (76+)-0.135

Ahead vs level -0.34 · Behind vs level -0.26

Atalanta · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.066
Early press (0-15, level)-0.016
Late push (76+, level)-0.393
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.582

Game state

When ahead-0.174
When level-0.086
When behind+0.312
10 min after conceding-0.463
10 min after scoring+0.205

Situations

At home+0.024
Away-0.212
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.023
As favourite+0.025

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.466
Conceded when ahead+0.404
Conceded late (76+)+0.076

Congested vs rested -0.08 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.39

Como

Current: unbeaten 10 · wins 4 · scoring 8 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-134 90%1.791.710.791.560.95
3-4-2-12 5%2.01.51.01.520.83
4-3-31 3%3.01.00.02.230.19
4-3-2-11 3%3.03.00.02.50.35

Atalanta

Current: winless 2 · scoring 5 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-134 90%1.651.410.911.711.2
3-4-1-23 8%0.670.671.331.640.91
4-3-31 3%1.01.01.01.921.05

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.35Home 41% P 40%3.25Draw 29% P 30%3.2Away 30% P 30%

Double Chance

1.36Como or Draw 35% P 35%1.33Como or Atalanta 35% P 35%1.57Draw or Atalanta 30% P 30%

Draw No Bet

1.611 58%2.22 42%

Both Teams To Score

1.75Yes 53% P 54%2.0No 47% P 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 47%1.9Under 50% P 53%

Total Corners

6.0Under 6 15%2.66 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 32%6.012 - 14 15%15.0Over 14 6%

Number of Cards

4.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%
5.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 27.5–30% · 815 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home40%41%42%+0.5
Draw30%30%27%-2.4
Away30%29%31%+1.9

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 43%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes54%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.547%46%45%-1.2

Luca Pairetto

Career
158 matches · 14 seasons
Cards / match
4.98 (4.66 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
27.0 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.45
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 60 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.94.48+0.5968
Fouls / match25.525.1+0.30
Fouls per card5.35.6-0.53 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.530.31+1.6893
Time added6.26.4-0.4520
First card
28' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.18

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-18 50 310 20'5
2026-01-06 · Como 40 222 22'7
2025-12-20 71 340 38'6
2025-12-06 50 301 7'8
2025-11-23 70 300 8'8
2025-11-06 30 160 55'5
2025-10-30 80 410 12'8
2025-07-31 51 290 17'3
2025-07-24 60 230 3'9
2025-05-18 20 160 4'8