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Serie A · Matchweek 23

Momentum

UdineseRoma
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
23

Venue

Stadium
Dacia Arena, Udine
Capacity
25,132
Surface
grass
Attendance
23,598

Teams

Coaches
Kosta Runjaic · Gian Gasperini
Position
11 · 5
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Juan Luca Sacchi

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
5.9° (feels 5.1°)
Wind
1.3
Humidity
78%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Udinese

LWDLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 6.44–7.69 · xPts 6.18

  • W A Hellas Verona 3–1 xG 1.64–0.85 ITA SA
  • L H Inter 0–1 xG 0.24–1.84 ITA SA
  • D H Pisa 2–2 xG 2.01–1.64 ITA SA
  • W A Torino 2–1 xG 2.37–1.12 ITA SA
  • L A Como 0–1 xG 0.19–2.23 ITA SA

Roma

WWWDD 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 8 GA 2 · xG 9.22–3.83 · xPts 10.14

  • D A Panathinaikos 1–1 xG 1.31–0.93 UEFA EL
  • D H AC Milan 1–1 xG 2.4–0.36 ITA SA
  • W H VfB Stuttgart 2–0 xG 1.05–1.44 UEFA EL
  • W A Torino 2–0 xG 1.7–0.63 ITA SA
  • W H Sassuolo 2–0 xG 2.76–0.47 ITA SA

All meetings · 42 matches since 2005

Udinese 93 draws30 Roma

Goals 39–78 · 2.79 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 57%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Udinese 21 draws7 Roma

Goals 9–17 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Udinese 10 draws4 Roma

Goals 3–9 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Udinese 1–0 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Roma 2–0 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Udinese 1–2 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Roma 3–0 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Udinese 1–2 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Roma 3–1 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Roma 3–0 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Udinese 4–0 Roma neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Udinese 1–1 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Roma 1–0 Udinese neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricUdinese all · 38Udinese at home · 19Roma all · 38Roma away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.321.211.921.63
W / D / L14 / 8 / 166 / 5 / 823 / 4 / 1110 / 1 / 8
Goals for / match1.180.951.551.37
Goals against / match1.261.110.821.11
Clean sheets29%32%47%37%
Failed to score29%37%18%21%
Both teams scored45%37%34%42%
Over 2.545%37%37%42%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.151.141.481.39
xG against / match1.461.200.991.26
xG difference-0.32-0.050.490.14
Finishing vs xG0.04-0.190.07-0.02
xPts / match1.191.321.701.50
Points vs xPts0.12-0.110.220.13
Game state
Scored first45%42%66%58%
PPG when scoring first2.472.382.722.55
PPG when conceding first0.350.300.380.38
Came back from behind27%27%27%20%
Leads held74%67%88%83%
Minutes leading26%23%40%39%
Minutes level47%50%44%41%
Minutes trailing28%26%16%20%
First goal (min)41443630
First goal conceded (min)37424644
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half58%56%54%50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%67%68%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.210.160.240.16
Late goals against0.290.210.260.32
Style
Possession46%48%56%55%
Shots11.612.813.211.2
On target3.83.94.74.2
Shot conversion10%7%12%12%
Shots inside box60%57%74%71%
Big chances created1.91.82.22.0
Corners4.54.75.24.6
xG from set plays28%33%31%36%
Goals from headers20%29%20%12%
Pressure index9.811.018.616.3
Dominant minutes41.245.461.955.8
Pass accuracy80%82%83%82%
Fouls13.613.713.814.8
Cards1.921.741.892.16

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Udinese

0–15'47
16–30'77
31–45'86
46–60'1010
61–75'87
76–90'811

Roma

0–15'85
16–30'90
31–45'105
46–60'108
61–75'133
76–90'910

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Udinese · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.21) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.44

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.214
Early press (0-15, level)-0.074
Late push (76+, level)-0.642
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.682

Game state

When ahead+0.004
When level-0.274
When behind-0.612
10 min after conceding-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.204

Situations

At home-0.352
Away-0.062
4+ days rest-0.214

Opposition

Evenly matched-0.002
As underdog-0.442

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.324
Conceded when ahead+0.244
Conceded late (76+)+0.304

Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.34

Roma · 5 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.66) · stands out: when level +0.82

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.665
Early press (0-15, level)+0.385
Late push (76+, level)+0.042

Game state

When ahead+0.365
When level+0.825
10 min after conceding-0.312
10 min after scoring+0.545

Situations

At home+1.332
Away+0.173
4+ days rest+0.665

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.912
As favourite+0.665

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.195
Conceded when ahead-0.195
Conceded late (76+)-0.563

Ahead vs level -0.46 · Behind vs level -0.11

Udinese

Current: winless 2 · scoring 4 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-219 50%1.371.161.161.081.29
3-4-2-19 24%1.221.221.441.081.49
4-4-23 8%1.331.332.01.611.43
3-1-4-22 5%1.51.00.50.822.06
3-4-31 3%3.02.00.01.91.49

Roma

Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 1 · scoring 22 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-130 79%1.91.630.871.450.98
3-4-1-24 10%2.251.250.251.710.58
3-5-23 8%1.331.331.331.781.78
3-4-31 3%3.01.00.00.780.6

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.33Home 22% P 21%3.2Draw 30% P 31%1.95Away 49% P 49%

Double Chance

1.8Udinese or Draw 26% P 26%1.36Udinese or Roma 34% P 35%1.18Draw or Roma 40% P 40%

Draw No Bet

3.251 29%1.332 71%

Both Teams To Score

2.2Yes 42% P 43%1.61No 58% P 57%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.62Over 36% P 37%1.5Under 64% P 63%

Total Corners

6.5Under 6 14%2.626 - 8 34%2.759 - 11 32%6.012 - 14 15%17.0Over 14 5%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51%1.9Under 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 20–25% · away 45–50% · 672 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home21%24%21%-2.5
Draw31%28%29%+0.4
Away49%48%50%+2.2

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 44%

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes43%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 35–37.5% · 819 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.537%36%41%+4.2

Juan Luca Sacchi

Career
80 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
4.0 (3.86 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
26.1 · 6.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
42%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 57 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.984.49-0.7327
Fouls / match25.625.2+0.30
Fouls per card6.55.6+0.71 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.230.31-0.7724
Time added6.66.4+0.3758
First card
35' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
Cards to home side
40% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-25 10 221 53'5
2026-01-06 · Roma 40 300 5'5
2025-12-28 50 370 21'7
2025-12-12 30 230 33'8
2025-11-22 · Udinese 10 351 45'11
2025-11-03 20 260 46'5
2025-04-28 40 230 50'8
2025-03-31 30 200 65'6