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Serie A · Matchweek 24

Momentum

JuventusLazio
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
24

Venue

Stadium
Juventus Stadium, Torino
Capacity
45,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
41,405

Teams

Coaches
Luciano Spalletti · Maurizio Sarri
Position
4 · 8
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Marco Guida

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Juventus

LWWDW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 2 · xG 8.61–3.66 · xPts 9.13

  • W A Parma 4–1 xG 4.37–0.72 ITA SA
  • D A Monaco 0–0 xG 0.28–0.53 UEFA CL
  • W H Napoli 3–0 xG 1.3–0.61 ITA SA
  • W H Benfica 2–0 xG 1.13–1.52 UEFA CL
  • L A Cagliari 0–1 xG 1.52–0.29 ITA SA

Lazio

DWLDW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 7.06–7.38 · xPts 6.75

  • W H Genoa 3–2 xG 2.43–1.95 ITA SA
  • D A Lecce 0–0 xG 0.6–0.88 ITA SA
  • L H Como 0–3 xG 0.35–2.5 ITA SA
  • W A Hellas Verona 1–0 xG 1.11–0.64 ITA SA
  • D H Fiorentina 2–2 xG 2.58–1.41 ITA SA

All meetings · 40 matches since 2005

Juventus 2510 draws5 Lazio

Goals 70–31 · 2.53 per match · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 42%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Juventus 43 draws3 Lazio

Goals 15–10 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Juventus 12 draws2 Lazio

Goals 4–5 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D Juventus 2–2 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Lazio 1–0 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Lazio 1–1 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Juventus 1–0 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Lazio 1–0 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Juventus 3–1 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Lazio 2–1 Juventus neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Juventus 3–0 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Juventus 2–2 Lazio neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Lazio 0–2 Juventus neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricJuventus all · 38Juventus at home · 19Lazio all · 38Lazio away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.821.951.421.26
W / D / L19 / 12 / 710 / 7 / 214 / 12 / 126 / 6 / 7
Goals for / match1.611.841.080.74
Goals against / match0.890.841.050.79
Clean sheets42%42%40%47%
Failed to score21%21%45%58%
Both teams scored45%47%29%16%
Over 2.540%42%32%16%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.832.061.171.04
xG against / match1.000.921.361.30
xG difference0.831.14-0.19-0.26
Finishing vs xG-0.22-0.22-0.09-0.30
xPts / match1.832.011.231.18
Points vs xPts-0.02-0.070.190.08
Game state
Scored first58%53%42%37%
PPG when scoring first2.642.802.502.43
PPG when conceding first0.621.000.530.38
Came back from behind50%75%33%12%
Leads held83%91%70%75%
Minutes leading35%36%21%15%
Minutes level49%49%54%62%
Minutes trailing17%15%25%23%
First goal (min)35344253
First goal conceded (min)40403544
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%60%61%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half56%44%52%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.340.470.390.26
Late goals against0.210.110.180.11
Style
Possession58%59%50%51%
Shots16.819.711.09.8
On target6.06.84.13.5
Shot conversion10%9%10%8%
Shots inside box65%64%61%61%
Big chances created2.93.21.91.9
Corners5.46.53.72.9
xG from set plays26%29%30%30%
Goals from headers24%30%7%0%
Pressure index22.525.512.29.8
Dominant minutes64.769.145.041.0
Pass accuracy86%87%86%86%
Fouls12.111.410.610.3
Cards1.451.112.292.11

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Juventus

0–15'104
16–30'73
31–45'78
46–60'116
61–75'135
76–90'138

Lazio

0–15'65
16–30'47
31–45'67
46–60'67
61–75'47
76–90'157

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Juventus · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.27) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.64

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.275
Early press (0-15, level)-0.165
Late push (76+, level)+1.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.212

Game state

When ahead+0.423
When level+0.215
When behind+0.142
10 min after conceding-0.112
10 min after scoring+0.645

Situations

At home+0.163
Away+0.402
4+ days rest+0.275

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.152
As favourite+0.275

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.285
Conceded when ahead-0.343
Conceded late (76+)-0.494

Ahead vs level +0.20 · Behind vs level -0.07

Lazio · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.62

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.034
Early press (0-15, level)+0.254
Late push (76+, level)-0.102

Game state

When ahead+0.134
When level-0.104
10 min after conceding-0.612
10 min after scoring+0.624

Situations

At home-0.172
Away+0.232
4+ days rest+0.034

Opposition

Evenly matched+0.173

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.004
Conceded when ahead-0.064
Conceded late (76+)-0.244

Ahead vs level +0.23 · Behind vs level +0.30

Juventus

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-124 63%2.041.540.671.690.99
4-2-3-16 16%1.671.830.832.610.73
4-3-32 5%0.01.02.51.21.6
3-5-22 5%0.00.51.51.01.33
4-1-4-12 5%2.01.50.52.281.11

Lazio

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-336 95%1.390.971.031.121.37
4-2-3-12 5%2.03.01.52.031.32

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.42Home 67% P 69%4.5Draw 21% P 21%8.5Away 11% P 10%

Double Chance

1.07Juventus or Draw 44% P 45%1.18Juventus or Lazio 39% P 40%2.75Draw or Lazio 17% P 16%

Draw No Bet

1.111 85%6.52 15%

Both Teams To Score

2.37Yes 39% P 40%1.53No 61% P 60%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 46%1.72Under 55% P 54%

Total Corners

6.0Under 6 15%2.66 - 8 34%2.759 - 11 32%6.012 - 14 15%17.0Over 14 5%

Number of Cards

4.52.1Over 44% P 41%1.66Under 56% P 59%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 67.5–70% · away 10–12.5% · 543 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home69%69%72%+3.5
Draw21%20%18%-1.5
Away10%11%9%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 37.5–40% · 337 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes40%39%41%+2.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.546%46%45%-1.2

Marco Guida

Career
277 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
4.94 (4.73 yellow · 0.14 red)
Fouls / match
23.6 · 4.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.37
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 60 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.384.49-0.1642
Fouls / match24.525.2-0.37
Fouls per card5.65.6-0.24 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.40.31+0.6271
Time added6.06.4-0.8617
First card
33' on average
Card timing
20% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.13

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-28 30 190 22'6
2026-01-24 50 280 56'8
2026-01-15 10 121 90'7
2026-01-11 · Lazio 30 190 6'6
2026-01-04 60 410 29'6
2025-12-27 40 250 20'6
2025-11-30 30 280 26'6
2025-11-26 40 290 23'7
2025-11-09 50 352 23'7
2025-11-02 60 251 34'5