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Serie A · Matchweek 24

Momentum

SassuoloInter
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
24

Venue

Stadium
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia
Capacity
21,584
Surface
grass
Attendance
17,653

Teams

Coaches
Fabio Grosso · Cristian Chivu
Position
11 · 1
Formation
4-3-3 · 3-5-2

Referee

Daniele Chiffi

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
9.6° (feels 9.6°)
Wind
2.4
Humidity
81%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Sassuolo

LLLWW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 7 · xG 4.94–7.07 · xPts 5.88

  • W A Pisa 3–1 xG 2.04–0.96 ITA SA
  • W H Cremonese 1–0 xG 0.88–0.8 ITA SA
  • L A Napoli 0–1 xG 1.27–0.64 ITA SA
  • L A Roma 0–2 xG 0.47–2.76 ITA SA
  • L H Juventus 0–3 xG 0.29–1.91 ITA SA

Inter

WLWWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 12 GA 5 · xG 12.09–3.89 · xPts 10.61

  • W A Cremonese 2–0 xG 1.6–0.64 ITA SA
  • W A Borussia Dortmund 2–0 xG 1.28–0.62 UEFA CL
  • W H Pisa 6–2 xG 5.64–0.36 ITA SA
  • L H Arsenal 1–3 xG 1.72–2.04 UEFA CL
  • W A Udinese 1–0 xG 1.84–0.24 ITA SA

All meetings · 24 matches since 2013

Sassuolo 102 draws12 Inter

Goals 30–48 · 3.25 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 67%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Sassuolo 30 draws7 Inter

Goals 11–21 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Sassuolo 20 draws3 Inter

Goals 6–12 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Sassuolo 0–5 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Inter 2–1 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Sassuolo 1–0 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Inter 1–2 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Inter 4–2 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Sassuolo 1–2 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Inter 0–2 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Sassuolo 1–2 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Inter 2–1 Sassuolo neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Sassuolo 0–3 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricSassuolo all · 38Sassuolo at home · 19Inter all · 38Inter away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.291.532.292.21
W / D / L14 / 7 / 179 / 2 / 827 / 6 / 513 / 3 / 3
Goals for / match1.211.322.342.05
Goals against / match1.321.370.921.00
Clean sheets21%21%47%53%
Failed to score32%32%5%5%
Both teams scored53%47%47%42%
Over 2.555%58%55%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.151.161.941.64
xG against / match1.441.370.901.03
xG difference-0.29-0.201.040.61
Finishing vs xG0.060.150.400.41
xPts / match1.201.242.001.77
Points vs xPts0.090.280.290.44
Game state
Scored first37%42%84%79%
PPG when scoring first2.502.752.532.60
PPG when conceding first0.550.641.000.75
Came back from behind29%27%38%40%
Leads held82%90%77%76%
Minutes leading22%30%52%50%
Minutes level47%39%39%37%
Minutes trailing31%31%10%12%
First goal (min)38262929
First goal conceded (min)32285044
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half59%44%58%54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%46%54%53%
Late goals for (76'+)0.160.210.550.47
Late goals against0.320.260.320.26
Style
Possession46%47%60%60%
Shots10.710.717.116.0
On target3.73.76.05.2
Shot conversion11%12%14%13%
Shots inside box66%66%72%68%
Big chances created2.12.13.93.0
Corners3.83.86.35.3
xG from set plays29%25%28%26%
Goals from headers9%8%23%29%
Pressure index9.010.623.021.1
Dominant minutes38.642.666.161.9
Pass accuracy82%82%87%87%
Fouls12.011.813.113.1
Cards2.372.321.682.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sassuolo

0–15'811
16–30'49
31–45'74
46–60'118
61–75'106
76–90'612

Inter

0–15'122
16–30'115
31–45'149
46–60'153
61–75'164
76–90'2112

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sassuolo · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.20) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.50

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.205
Early press (0-15, level)-0.325
Late push (76+, level)-0.503
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.042

Game state

When ahead+0.143
When level+0.195
When behind+0.262
10 min after conceding-0.425
10 min after scoring+0.175

Situations

At home-0.032
Away+0.353
4+ days rest+0.205

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.112
Evenly matched+0.382
As underdog+0.073

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.055
Conceded when ahead+0.173
Conceded late (76+)+0.085

Ahead vs level -0.06 · Behind vs level +0.07

Inter · 5 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.71) · stands out: when behind +1.11

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.715
Early press (0-15, level)+0.205
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.202

Game state

When ahead+0.584
When level+0.455
When behind+1.113
10 min after conceding+0.514
10 min after scoring+0.425

Situations

At home+0.523
Away+0.962
4+ days rest+0.674

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.752
As favourite+0.674

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.365
Conceded when ahead-0.414
Conceded late (76+)-0.414

Congested vs rested +0.20 · Ahead vs level +0.13 · Behind vs level +0.66

Sassuolo

Current: winless 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-336 95%1.251.191.331.181.42
4-4-21 3%1.01.01.00.762.32
4-2-3-11 3%3.02.01.00.641.57

Inter

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 15 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-238 100%2.292.340.921.940.9

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

6.5Home 15% P 12%4.5Draw 21% P 20%1.48Away 64% P 68%

Double Chance

2.62Sassuolo or Draw 18% P 16%1.18Sassuolo or Inter Milan 40% P 40%1.1Draw or Inter Milan 43% P 44%

Draw No Bet

5.51 17%1.142 83%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 48%1.8No 52% P 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 54%2.0Under 47% P 46%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.52.25Over 41% P 39%1.57Under 59% P 61%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 10–12.5% · away 67.5–70% · 208 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home12%12%11%-0.9
Draw20%20%15%-4.3
Away68%69%74%+5.2

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 57%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes48%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%55%+0.8

Daniele Chiffi

Career
140 matches · 14 seasons
Cards / match
4.09 (3.85 yellow · 0.19 red)
Fouls / match
24.4 · 5.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.26
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 70 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.934.48-0.7924
Fouls / match22.925.1-1.46
Fouls per card5.95.6+0.07 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.210.31-0.8815
Time added6.76.4+0.5871
First card
38' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 39% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.13

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-24 30 220 51'6
2026-01-18 30 220 9'7
2026-01-03 40 260 37'8
2025-12-08 30 231 19'9
2025-11-09 40 290 63'9
2025-11-06 40 281 52'9
2025-11-01 10 240 74'9
2025-10-25 10 210 80'7
2025-09-28 11 141 57'8
2025-08-31 30 290 19'6