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Serie A · Matchweek 25

Momentum

CremoneseGenoa
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
25

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona
Capacity
16,003
Surface
grass
Attendance
13,128

Teams

Coaches
Davide Nicola · Daniele De Rossi
Position
15 · 16
Formation
3-5-2 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Simone Sozza

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
8.4° (feels 8.4°)
Wind
1.3
Humidity
65%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Cremonese

LDLLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 1 GA 10 · xG 4.52–8.0 · xPts 4.74

  • L A Atalanta 1–2 xG 0.96–2.35 ITA SA
  • L H Inter 0–2 xG 0.64–1.6 ITA SA
  • L A Sassuolo 0–1 xG 0.8–0.88 ITA SA
  • D H Hellas Verona 0–0 xG 0.81–0.61 ITA SA
  • L A Juventus 0–5 xG 1.32–2.56 ITA SA

Genoa

WDWLL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 8 · xG 6.3–7.07 · xPts 6.48

  • L H Napoli 2–3 xG 1.56–2.26 ITA SA
  • L A Lazio 2–3 xG 1.95–2.43 ITA SA
  • W H Bologna 3–2 xG 0.86–0.64 ITA SA
  • D A Parma 0–0 xG 1.14–0.61 ITA SA
  • W H Cagliari 3–0 xG 0.79–1.14 ITA SA

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Cremonese 11 draws0 Genoa

Goals 2–0 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Cremonese 11 draws0 Genoa

Goals 2–0 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Cremonese 11 draws0 Genoa

Goals 2–0 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

  • D Cremonese 0–0 Genoa ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Genoa 0–2 Cremonese ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricCremonese all · 38Cremonese at home · 19Genoa all · 38Genoa away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game0.890.841.081.00
W / D / L8 / 10 / 203 / 7 / 910 / 11 / 174 / 7 / 8
Goals for / match0.840.951.081.00
Goals against / match1.501.531.341.32
Clean sheets29%32%24%26%
Failed to score45%37%40%37%
Both teams scored42%53%53%58%
Over 2.545%47%53%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.951.181.221.18
xG against / match1.591.421.481.64
xG difference-0.64-0.24-0.26-0.46
Finishing vs xG-0.11-0.23-0.14-0.18
xPts / match1.011.251.221.10
Points vs xPts-0.11-0.40-0.14-0.10
Game state
Scored first32%37%40%42%
PPG when scoring first2.251.711.671.38
PPG when conceding first0.050.000.590.57
Came back from behind5%0%26%27%
Leads held67%43%56%44%
Minutes leading18%17%17%18%
Minutes level48%52%54%56%
Minutes trailing34%30%29%27%
First goal (min)49514146
First goal conceded (min)37393941
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half62%61%61%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half51%62%55%56%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.370.340.32
Late goals against0.240.320.210.21
Style
Possession46%47%49%46%
Shots9.110.311.410.8
On target3.33.73.83.6
Shot conversion9%9%9%9%
Shots inside box61%62%62%65%
Big chances created1.61.92.02.2
Corners3.53.63.73.7
xG from set plays34%36%43%40%
Goals from headers19%22%10%10%
Pressure index6.98.110.68.2
Dominant minutes32.836.542.232.9
Pass accuracy78%78%80%80%
Fouls13.513.412.412.2
Cards2.082.111.761.68

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Cremonese

0–15'49
16–30'37
31–45'512
46–60'810
61–75'310
76–90'99

Genoa

0–15'58
16–30'58
31–45'67
46–60'410
61–75'810
76–90'138

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Cremonese

No pressure profile yet.

Genoa · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.14) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.31

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.144
Early press (0-15, level)+0.094
Late push (76+, level)-0.672
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.313

Game state

When level-0.174
When behind-0.084
10 min after conceding-0.234
10 min after scoring-0.662

Situations

At home-0.083
4+ days rest-0.144

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.202
Evenly matched-0.082
As underdog-0.202

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.204
Conceded late (76+)+0.444

Ahead vs level -0.48 · Behind vs level +0.09

Cremonese

Current: winless 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-226 68%0.770.691.580.961.66
4-4-25 13%1.41.01.00.630.89
3-1-4-24 10%1.751.50.751.312.02
3-4-31 3%0.01.02.00.80.84
4-1-3-21 3%0.01.02.01.471.24

Genoa

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 9 · scoring 2 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-218 47%1.441.671.441.131.43
3-4-2-19 24%1.110.560.891.391.33
4-2-3-17 18%0.290.431.571.111.74
3-4-1-21 3%3.02.01.01.790.87
3-5-1-11 3%0.00.01.00.891.36

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.3Home 28% P 27%2.9Draw 32% P 34%2.4Away 39% P 39%

Double Chance

1.5Cremonese or Draw 32% P 31%1.4Cremonese or Genoa 34% P 33%1.36Draw or Genoa 35% P 36%

Draw No Bet

2.11 44%1.662 56%

Both Teams To Score

2.05Yes 45% P 46%1.7No 55% P 54%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.62Over 36% P 36%1.5Under 64% P 64%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–30% · away 35–40% · 173 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home27%29%24%-4.8
Draw34%32%37%+5.0
Away39%39%39%-0.2

In those fixtures: 2.2 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 36%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes46%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 35–37.5% · 819 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.536%36%41%+4.2

Simone Sozza

Career
103 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
4.63 (4.41 yellow · 0.15 red)
Fouls / match
25.2 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.49
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 69 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.484.49-0.0249
Fouls / match25.725.2+0.40
Fouls per card5.75.6-0.09 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.480.31+1.2485
Time added6.36.4-0.2427
First card
34' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.42

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-01 40 260 45'7
2026-01-22 60 251 26'6
2026-01-07 80 262 20'9
2025-12-20 50 270 21'6
2025-12-14 10 250 33'6
2025-11-27 60 300 8'7
2025-11-23 30 161 45'8
2025-11-05 50 160 41'7
2025-10-29 31 271 49'5
2025-10-19 · Genoa 71 271 28'8