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Serie A · Matchweek 25

Momentum

LazioAtalanta
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
25

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Olimpico, Roma
Capacity
72,698
Surface
grass
Attendance
5,131

Teams

Coaches
Maurizio Sarri · Raffaele Palladino
Position
8 · 7
Formation
4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Juan Luca Sacchi

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
12.2° (feels 11.7°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
86%

Where to watch · 350

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Lazio

WLDWD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 5.83–9.05 · xPts 5.24

  • D A Juventus 2–2 xG 1.34–3.07 ITA SA
  • W H Genoa 3–2 xG 2.43–1.95 ITA SA
  • D A Lecce 0–0 xG 0.6–0.88 ITA SA
  • L H Como 0–3 xG 0.35–2.5 ITA SA
  • W A Hellas Verona 1–0 xG 1.11–0.64 ITA SA

Atalanta

LWLDW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 5 · xG 10.41–9.23 · xPts 8.15

  • W H Cremonese 2–1 xG 2.35–0.96 ITA SA
  • D A Como 0–0 xG 0.93–4.47 ITA SA
  • L A Union Saint-Gilloise 0–1 xG 1.16–0.88 UEFA CL
  • W H Parma 4–0 xG 4.25–1.68 ITA SA
  • L H Athletic Club 2–3 xG 1.71–1.24 UEFA CL

All meetings · 38 matches since 2006

Lazio 159 draws14 Atalanta

Goals 51–49 · 2.63 per match · BTTS 45% · over 2.5 45%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Lazio 34 draws3 Atalanta

Goals 10–12 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Lazio 12 draws2 Atalanta

Goals 3–6 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • L Lazio 0–2 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Atalanta 0–0 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Atalanta 0–1 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Lazio 1–1 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Atalanta 3–1 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Lazio 3–2 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Lazio 0–2 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Atalanta 0–2 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Lazio 0–0 Atalanta neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Atalanta 2–2 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricLazio all · 38Lazio at home · 19Atalanta all · 38Atalanta away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.421.581.551.37
W / D / L14 / 12 / 128 / 6 / 515 / 14 / 96 / 8 / 5
Goals for / match1.081.421.341.37
Goals against / match1.051.320.951.11
Clean sheets40%32%34%32%
Failed to score45%32%21%10%
Both teams scored29%42%53%63%
Over 2.532%47%37%37%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.171.311.711.46
xG against / match1.361.421.181.42
xG difference-0.19-0.120.530.04
Finishing vs xG-0.090.12-0.36-0.10
xPts / match1.231.281.711.44
Points vs xPts0.190.30-0.16-0.07
Game state
Scored first42%47%50%53%
PPG when scoring first2.502.562.472.20
PPG when conceding first0.530.670.560.38
Came back from behind33%50%44%38%
Leads held70%67%75%60%
Minutes leading21%28%28%22%
Minutes level54%45%51%52%
Minutes trailing25%27%21%26%
First goal (min)42364657
First goal conceded (min)35284849
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%56%53%54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%44%50%43%
Late goals for (76'+)0.390.530.340.42
Late goals against0.180.260.240.32
Style
Possession50%50%55%54%
Shots11.012.214.812.5
On target4.14.74.64.2
Shot conversion10%12%9%11%
Shots inside box61%61%66%66%
Big chances created1.91.92.52.2
Corners3.74.65.74.5
xG from set plays30%30%25%21%
Goals from headers7%11%14%4%
Pressure index12.214.615.912.7
Dominant minutes45.049.055.449.1
Pass accuracy86%86%84%83%
Fouls10.610.911.812.3
Cards2.292.471.682.11

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Lazio

0–15'65
16–30'47
31–45'67
46–60'67
61–75'47
76–90'157

Atalanta

0–15'83
16–30'58
31–45'117
46–60'84
61–75'65
76–90'139

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Lazio · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.62

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.034
Early press (0-15, level)+0.254
Late push (76+, level)-0.102

Game state

When ahead+0.134
When level-0.104
10 min after conceding-0.612
10 min after scoring+0.624

Situations

At home-0.172
Away+0.232
4+ days rest+0.034

Opposition

Evenly matched+0.173

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.004
Conceded when ahead-0.064
Conceded late (76+)-0.244

Ahead vs level +0.23 · Behind vs level +0.30

Atalanta · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.066
Early press (0-15, level)-0.016
Late push (76+, level)-0.393
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.582

Game state

When ahead-0.174
When level-0.086
When behind+0.312
10 min after conceding-0.463
10 min after scoring+0.205

Situations

At home+0.024
Away-0.212
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.023
As favourite+0.025

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.466
Conceded when ahead+0.404
Conceded late (76+)+0.076

Congested vs rested -0.08 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.39

Lazio

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-336 95%1.390.971.031.121.37
4-2-3-12 5%2.03.01.52.031.32

Atalanta

Current: winless 2 · scoring 5 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-134 90%1.651.410.911.711.2
3-4-1-23 8%0.670.671.331.640.91
4-3-31 3%1.01.01.01.921.05

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.5h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.4Home 27% P 27%3.1Draw 30% P 30%2.2Away 42% P 43%

Double Chance

1.66Lazio or Draw 29% P 28%1.36Lazio or Atalanta 35% P 35%1.3Draw or Atalanta 37% P 36%

Draw No Bet

2.371 39%1.532 61%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52% P 53%1.95No 48% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 48%1.72Under 55% P 52%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 33%5.512 - 14 16%15.0Over 14 6%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.0Over 46% P 42%1.72Under 54% P 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 42.5–45% · 322 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home27%27%26%-0.8
Draw30%29%32%+2.9
Away43%44%42%-2.0

In those fixtures: 2.3 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 39%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.548%49%50%+1.3

Juan Luca Sacchi

Career
80 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
4.0 (3.86 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
26.1 · 6.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
42%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 57 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.984.48-0.7227
Fouls / match25.625.1+0.30
Fouls per card6.55.6+0.70 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.230.31-0.7724
Time added6.66.4+0.3758
First card
35' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
Cards to home side
40% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-02 90 350 7'7
2026-01-25 · Atalanta 10 221 53'5
2026-01-06 40 300 5'5
2025-12-28 50 370 21'7
2025-12-12 30 230 33'8
2025-11-22 10 351 45'11
2025-11-03 · Lazio 20 260 46'5
2025-04-28 · Lazio 40 230 50'8
2025-03-31 30 200 65'6