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Serie A · Matchweek 25

Momentum

TorinoBologna
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
25

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Torino
Capacity
28,177
Surface
grass
Attendance
5,000

Teams

Coaches
Marco Baroni · Vincenzo Italiano
Position
14 · 8
Formation
3-5-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Francesco Fourneau

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
8.8° (feels 6.7°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
61%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Torino

LLLWD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 3 GA 12 · xG 4.94–8.96 · xPts 4.69

  • D A Fiorentina 2–2 xG 1.12–1.58 ITA SA
  • W H Lecce 1–0 xG 1.84–0.76 ITA SA
  • L A Como 0–6 xG 0.59–3.01 ITA SA
  • L H Roma 0–2 xG 0.63–1.7 ITA SA
  • L A Atalanta 0–2 xG 0.76–1.91 ITA SA

Bologna

DLWLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 7.9–5.5 · xPts 8.39

  • L H Parma 0–1 xG 1.44–0.19 ITA SA
  • L H AC Milan 0–3 xG 0.69–2.17 ITA SA
  • W A Maccabi Tel Aviv 3–0 xG 2.6–0.53 UEFA EL
  • L A Genoa 2–3 xG 0.64–0.86 ITA SA
  • D H Celtic 2–2 xG 2.53–1.75 UEFA EL

All meetings · 28 matches since 2008

Torino 910 draws9 Bologna

Goals 36–35 · 2.54 per match · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 43%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Torino 23 draws5 Bologna

Goals 7–12 · 1.9 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Torino 02 draws3 Bologna

Goals 3–7 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Torino 1–2 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Bologna 0–0 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Bologna 3–2 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Torino 0–2 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Torino 0–0 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Bologna 2–0 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Torino 1–0 Bologna neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Bologna 2–1 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Bologna 0–0 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Torino 2–1 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricTorino all · 38Torino at home · 19Bologna all · 38Bologna away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.181.471.471.79
W / D / L12 / 9 / 178 / 4 / 716 / 8 / 1410 / 4 / 5
Goals for / match1.161.421.291.58
Goals against / match1.661.531.211.21
Clean sheets32%26%32%26%
Failed to score29%16%29%16%
Both teams scored50%63%45%58%
Over 2.563%68%45%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.221.381.321.21
xG against / match1.481.601.121.24
xG difference-0.26-0.220.20-0.03
Finishing vs xG-0.060.05-0.030.37
xPts / match1.221.261.491.36
Points vs xPts-0.040.22-0.010.43
Game state
Scored first40%42%47%58%
PPG when scoring first2.132.252.332.36
PPG when conceding first0.470.900.671.00
Came back from behind29%42%30%44%
Leads held71%80%70%71%
Minutes leading19%28%26%35%
Minutes level46%43%54%50%
Minutes trailing35%29%20%15%
First goal (min)44414440
First goal conceded (min)29314646
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%56%57%53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half51%52%63%70%
Late goals for (76'+)0.320.260.260.37
Late goals against0.210.210.240.32
Style
Possession44%45%55%54%
Shots11.812.512.911.1
On target4.04.33.83.8
Shot conversion10%11%10%14%
Shots inside box62%65%63%63%
Big chances created2.02.51.81.9
Corners3.84.34.53.7
xG from set plays30%30%30%27%
Goals from headers23%22%6%0%
Pressure index9.110.713.813.2
Dominant minutes36.440.354.052.2
Pass accuracy79%79%82%82%
Fouls13.913.613.113.4
Cards1.921.791.972.53

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Torino

0–15'45
16–30'713
31–45'613
46–60'812
61–75'712
76–90'128

Bologna

0–15'35
16–30'83
31–45'109
46–60'129
61–75'611
76–90'109

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Torino · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.68

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.024
Early press (0-15, level)-0.184
Late push (76+, level)+0.302
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.093

Game state

When level+0.044
When behind-0.154
10 min after conceding-0.384
10 min after scoring+0.683

Situations

At home-0.192
Away+0.142
4+ days rest-0.024

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.192
v mid-tier opponents+0.142
As underdog-0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.364
Conceded late (76+)+0.244

Ahead vs level +0.29 · Behind vs level -0.19

Bologna · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.21) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.62

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.214
Early press (0-15, level)+0.624
Late push (76+, level)+0.202
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.234

Game state

When level+0.394
When behind-0.104
10 min after conceding+0.384

Situations

At home+0.092
Away+0.342
4+ days rest+0.214

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.342
v mid-tier opponents+0.092
As underdog+0.342

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded late (76+)-0.144

Behind vs level -0.48

Torino

Current: winless 1 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-216 42%1.01.381.881.281.51
3-4-1-29 24%1.891.560.891.261.18
3-4-2-14 10%1.01.252.01.71.47
4-3-32 5%0.50.02.50.941.71
3-4-32 5%1.51.01.00.851.42

Bologna

Current: winless 5 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 71%1.481.371.191.431.15
4-3-38 21%1.631.131.131.020.89
4-1-4-12 5%1.51.51.51.311.64
3-4-2-11 3%0.00.02.00.711.4

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.9Home 33% P 31%3.2Draw 30% P 31%2.5Away 38% P 38%

Double Chance

1.5Torino or Draw 32% P 31%1.36Torino or Bologna 35% P 35%1.4Draw or Bologna 34% P 35%

Draw No Bet

2.01 46%1.722 54%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52% P 54%1.95No 48% P 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 46%1.72Under 55% P 54%

Total Corners

6.0Under 6 15%2.66 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 32%6.012 - 14 15%15.0Over 14 6%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 37.5–40% · 556 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home31%31%31%-0.2
Draw31%30%31%+1.5
Away38%39%38%-1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 44%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes54%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.546%46%45%-1.2

Francesco Fourneau

Career
67 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
5.06 (4.9 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
26.8 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 51 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.514.48+0.0351
Fouls / match26.125.1+0.65
Fouls per card5.85.6-0.05 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.280.31-0.3942
Time added5.86.4-1.2810
First card
32' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.29

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-01 40 230 17'7
2026-01-17 20 210 53'6
2026-01-10 · Torino 30 310 25'7
2025-12-21 50 351 52'7
2025-10-03 50 261 34'9
2025-09-28 · Bologna 60 261 29'5
2025-09-13 40 330 23'11
2025-05-10 40 240 18'10
2025-03-30 40 280 12'6
2025-03-08 · Torino 60 310 13'6