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Serie A · Matchweek 25

Momentum

UdineseSassuolo
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
25

Venue

Stadium
Dacia Arena, Udine
Capacity
25,132
Surface
grass
Attendance
21,199

Teams

Coaches
Kosta Runjaic · Fabio Grosso
Position
9 · 11
Formation
4-4-1-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
14.5° (feels 13.0°)
Wind
2.2
Humidity
37%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Udinese

DLWWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 5.17–7.02 · xPts 5.45

  • L A Lecce 1–2 xG 0.95–1.71 ITA SA
  • W H Roma 1–0 xG 0.33–0.98 ITA SA
  • W A Hellas Verona 3–1 xG 1.64–0.85 ITA SA
  • L H Inter 0–1 xG 0.24–1.84 ITA SA
  • D H Pisa 2–2 xG 2.01–1.64 ITA SA

Sassuolo

LLWWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 9 · xG 5.49–7.63 · xPts 6.04

  • L H Inter 0–5 xG 0.83–2.48 ITA SA
  • W A Pisa 3–1 xG 2.04–0.96 ITA SA
  • W H Cremonese 1–0 xG 0.88–0.8 ITA SA
  • L A Napoli 0–1 xG 1.27–0.64 ITA SA
  • L A Roma 0–2 xG 0.47–2.76 ITA SA

All meetings · 24 matches since 2013

Udinese 810 draws6 Sassuolo

Goals 29–24 · 2.21 per match · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 42%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Udinese 35 draws2 Sassuolo

Goals 16–14 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Udinese 03 draws2 Sassuolo

Goals 7–10 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Udinese 1–2 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Sassuolo 3–1 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Sassuolo 1–1 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Udinese 2–2 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Udinese 2–2 Sassuolo neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Sassuolo 1–3 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Sassuolo 1–1 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Udinese 3–2 Sassuolo neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Udinese 2–0 Sassuolo neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Sassuolo 0–0 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricUdinese all · 38Udinese at home · 19Sassuolo all · 38Sassuolo away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.321.211.291.05
W / D / L14 / 8 / 166 / 5 / 814 / 7 / 175 / 5 / 9
Goals for / match1.180.951.211.11
Goals against / match1.261.111.321.26
Clean sheets29%32%21%21%
Failed to score29%37%32%32%
Both teams scored45%37%53%58%
Over 2.545%37%55%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.151.141.151.14
xG against / match1.461.201.441.52
xG difference-0.32-0.05-0.29-0.38
Finishing vs xG0.04-0.190.06-0.04
xPts / match1.191.321.201.15
Points vs xPts0.12-0.110.09-0.10
Game state
Scored first45%42%37%32%
PPG when scoring first2.472.382.502.17
PPG when conceding first0.350.300.550.45
Came back from behind27%27%29%31%
Leads held74%67%82%71%
Minutes leading26%23%22%15%
Minutes level47%50%47%55%
Minutes trailing28%26%31%31%
First goal (min)41443850
First goal conceded (min)37423236
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half58%56%59%76%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%67%52%58%
Late goals for (76'+)0.210.160.160.11
Late goals against0.290.210.320.37
Style
Possession46%48%46%45%
Shots11.612.810.710.6
On target3.83.93.73.8
Shot conversion10%7%11%10%
Shots inside box60%57%66%66%
Big chances created1.91.82.12.0
Corners4.54.73.83.7
xG from set plays28%33%29%33%
Goals from headers20%29%9%10%
Pressure index9.811.09.07.3
Dominant minutes41.245.438.634.6
Pass accuracy80%82%82%82%
Fouls13.613.712.012.2
Cards1.921.742.372.42

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Udinese

0–15'47
16–30'77
31–45'86
46–60'1010
61–75'87
76–90'811

Sassuolo

0–15'811
16–30'49
31–45'74
46–60'118
61–75'106
76–90'612

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Udinese · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.21) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.44

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.214
Early press (0-15, level)-0.074
Late push (76+, level)-0.642
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.682

Game state

When ahead+0.004
When level-0.274
When behind-0.612
10 min after conceding-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.204

Situations

At home-0.352
Away-0.062
4+ days rest-0.214

Opposition

Evenly matched-0.002
As underdog-0.442

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.324
Conceded when ahead+0.244
Conceded late (76+)+0.304

Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.34

Sassuolo · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.09) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.50

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.094
Early press (0-15, level)-0.244
Late push (76+, level)-0.503

Game state

When ahead+0.143
When level-0.074
10 min after conceding-0.424
10 min after scoring+0.184

Situations

At home-0.032
Away+0.222
4+ days rest+0.094

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.112
As underdog+0.073

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded when ahead+0.173
Conceded late (76+)+0.234

Ahead vs level +0.21 · Behind vs level +0.50

Udinese

Current: winless 2 · scoring 4 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-219 50%1.371.161.161.081.29
3-4-2-19 24%1.221.221.441.081.49
4-4-23 8%1.331.332.01.611.43
3-1-4-22 5%1.51.00.50.822.06
5-4-11 3%3.03.00.01.52.38

Sassuolo

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-336 95%1.251.191.331.181.42
4-4-21 3%1.01.01.00.762.32
4-2-3-11 3%3.02.01.00.641.57

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.55Home 37% P 36%3.0Draw 31% P 32%3.0Away 31% P 32%

Double Chance

1.33Udinese or Draw 35% P 34%1.36Udinese or Sassuolo 34% P 34%1.53Draw or Sassuolo 31% P 32%

Draw No Bet

1.661 56%2.12 44%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50% P 51%1.9No 50% P 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 42%1.66Under 57% P 58%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 30–32.5% · 302 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home36%37%38%+1.6
Draw32%32%31%-0.7
Away32%32%31%-0.8

In those fixtures: 2.2 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 39%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes51%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.542%41%41%-0.4

Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi

Career
15 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
4.07 (3.87 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
24.8 · 6.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.4
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 15 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.074.48-0.5929
Fouls / match24.825.1-0.19
Fouls per card6.15.6+0.27 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.470.31+1.1583
Time added6.96.4+0.9990
First card
29' on average
Card timing
18% in first 30' · 28% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.33