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Serie A · Matchweek 26

Momentum

BolognaUdinese
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
26

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna
Capacity
36,532
Surface
grass
Attendance
23,238

Teams

Coaches
Vincenzo Italiano · Kosta Runjaic
Position
10 · 11
Formation
4-3-3 · 3-5-2

Referee

Matteo Marcenaro

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
9.3° (feels 9.0°)
Wind
1.3
Humidity
89%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Bologna

WLLWW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 5 · xG 8.1–4.24 · xPts 9.52

  • W A Brann 1–0 xG 1.2–0.71 UEFA EL
  • W A Torino 2–1 xG 2.18–0.63 ITA SA
  • L H Parma 0–1 xG 1.44–0.19 ITA SA
  • L H AC Milan 0–3 xG 0.69–2.17 ITA SA
  • W A Maccabi Tel Aviv 3–0 xG 2.6–0.53 UEFA EL

Udinese

LWWLL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6 · xG 3.89–6.78 · xPts 4.69

  • L H Sassuolo 1–2 xG 0.73–1.4 ITA SA
  • L A Lecce 1–2 xG 0.95–1.71 ITA SA
  • W H Roma 1–0 xG 0.33–0.98 ITA SA
  • W A Hellas Verona 3–1 xG 1.64–0.85 ITA SA
  • L H Inter 0–1 xG 0.24–1.84 ITA SA

All meetings · 34 matches since 2008

Bologna 913 draws12 Udinese

Goals 37–40 · 2.26 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Bologna 45 draws1 Udinese

Goals 14–9 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Bologna 23 draws0 Udinese

Goals 6–2 · 1.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • W Bologna 1–0 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Udinese 0–3 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Udinese 0–0 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Bologna 1–1 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Bologna 1–1 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Udinese 3–0 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Bologna 3–0 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Udinese 1–2 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Bologna 2–2 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Udinese 1–1 Bologna neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricBologna all · 38Bologna at home · 19Udinese all · 38Udinese away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.471.161.321.42
W / D / L16 / 8 / 146 / 4 / 914 / 8 / 168 / 3 / 8
Goals for / match1.291.001.181.42
Goals against / match1.211.211.261.42
Clean sheets32%37%29%26%
Failed to score29%42%29%21%
Both teams scored45%32%45%53%
Over 2.545%37%45%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.321.431.151.16
xG against / match1.121.011.461.73
xG difference0.200.42-0.32-0.58
Finishing vs xG-0.03-0.430.040.27
xPts / match1.491.621.191.06
Points vs xPts-0.01-0.460.120.36
Game state
Scored first47%37%45%47%
PPG when scoring first2.332.292.472.56
PPG when conceding first0.670.400.350.40
Came back from behind30%18%27%27%
Leads held70%67%74%80%
Minutes leading26%16%26%28%
Minutes level54%59%47%43%
Minutes trailing20%25%28%29%
First goal (min)44514138
First goal conceded (min)46453733
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%63%58%59%
Goals conceded in 2nd half63%56%58%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.160.210.26
Late goals against0.240.160.290.37
Style
Possession55%56%46%43%
Shots12.914.711.610.3
On target3.83.83.83.8
Shot conversion10%7%10%14%
Shots inside box63%62%60%64%
Big chances created1.81.81.91.9
Corners4.55.24.54.2
xG from set plays30%34%28%24%
Goals from headers6%16%20%15%
Pressure index13.814.49.88.6
Dominant minutes54.055.941.237.0
Pass accuracy82%83%80%79%
Fouls13.112.713.613.4
Cards1.971.421.922.11

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Bologna

0–15'35
16–30'83
31–45'109
46–60'129
61–75'611
76–90'109

Udinese

0–15'47
16–30'77
31–45'86
46–60'1010
61–75'87
76–90'811

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Bologna · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.21) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.62

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.214
Early press (0-15, level)+0.624
Late push (76+, level)+0.202
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.234

Game state

When level+0.394
When behind-0.104
10 min after conceding+0.384

Situations

At home+0.092
Away+0.342
4+ days rest+0.214

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.342
v mid-tier opponents+0.092
As underdog+0.342

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded late (76+)-0.144

Behind vs level -0.49

Udinese · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.21) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.44

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.214
Early press (0-15, level)-0.074
Late push (76+, level)-0.642
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.682

Game state

When ahead+0.004
When level-0.274
When behind-0.612
10 min after conceding-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.204

Situations

At home-0.352
Away-0.062
4+ days rest-0.214

Opposition

Evenly matched-0.002
As underdog-0.442

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.324
Conceded when ahead+0.244
Conceded late (76+)+0.304

Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.34

Bologna

Current: winless 5 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 71%1.481.371.191.431.15
4-3-38 21%1.631.131.131.020.89
4-1-4-12 5%1.51.51.51.311.64
3-4-2-11 3%0.00.02.00.711.4

Udinese

Current: winless 2 · scoring 4 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-219 50%1.371.161.161.081.29
3-4-2-19 24%1.221.221.441.081.49
4-4-23 8%1.331.332.01.611.43
3-1-4-22 5%1.51.00.50.822.06
3-5-1-11 3%0.00.03.01.642.62

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.85Home 40% P 51%3.5Draw 21% P 28%4.33Away 17% P 21%3.5Tie 21%

Double Chance

1.2Bologna or Draw 24% P 39%1.22Bologna or Tie 24% P 36%1.28Bologna or Udinese 22% P 36%1.9Tie or Udinese 15% P 36%1.9Draw or Udinese 15% P 25%

Draw No Bet

1.331 71%3.252 29%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 48%1.8No 52% P 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 43%1.72Under 55% P 57%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50% P 46%1.83Under 50% P 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 20–22.5% · 722 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home51%51%55%+3.6
Draw28%27%26%-1.4
Away21%21%19%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 47%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes48%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.543%44%43%-1.2

Matteo Marcenaro

Career
53 matches · 6 seasons
Cards / match
5.3 (4.96 yellow · 0.28 red)
Fouls / match
24.7 · 4.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.3
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 49 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.04.49+0.7276
Fouls / match24.325.2-0.50
Fouls per card4.95.6-0.96 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.330.31+0.0358
Time added6.36.4-0.2427
First card
30' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.17

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-09 60 320 5'5
2026-01-23 50 191 15'8
2026-01-10 40 310 22'8
2025-11-30 40 250 59'5
2025-11-07 60 280 17'5
2025-10-29 50 320 26'8
2025-10-18 30 180 10'6
2025-09-14 · Bologna 50 330 10'8
2025-08-24 31 220 14'6
2025-07-24 20 150 43'8