Rating 7.33 (95th pct) · G+A 2 + 3 (9% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Team 1.97 ppg with (32) · 1.17 without (6)
Serie A · Matchweek 26
Momentum
– AC MilanParma –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| AC Milan | at home | Stat | league | away | Parma |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.8 #8 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 44.0 #17 |
| 13.2 #5 | – | Shots total | 12.3 | – | 10.7 #16 |
| 4.4 #7 | – | Shots on target | 4.0 | – | 2.7 #19 |
| 4.3 #11 | – | Corners | 4.4 | – | 3.8 #13 |
| 10.1 #20 | – | Fouls | 12.7 | – | 10.8 #18 |
| 1.9 #3 | – | Offsides | 1.6 | – | 1.3 #16 |
| 14.5 #13 | – | Tackles | 15.2 | – | 14.0 #16 |
| 99.2 #7 | – | Attacks | 92.8 | – | 81.8 #18 |
| 47.0 #7 | – | Dangerous attacks | 42.4 | – | 37.0 #13 |
| 483.7 #8 | – | Passes | 431.5 | – | 361.6 #17 |
| 1.7 #16 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 1.6 #18 |
| 0.0 #13 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.0 #13 |
| 1.0 #6 | – | Assists | 0.8 | – | 0.5 #18 |
| – #7 | – | Btts | 45.3 | – | – #17 |
| – #5 | – | Cleansheet | 32.1 | – | – #8 |
| – #10 | – | Draw | 26.1 | – | – #3 |
| 1.6 #5 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 0.9 #19 |
| -0.2 #15 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.2 #14 |
| – #18 | – | Failed to score | 32.1 | – | – #6 |
| 1.4 #6 | 1.3 | Goals | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.7 #17 |
| 0.9 #16 | 1.1 | Goals conceded | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 #11 |
| 0.2 #13 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #7 |
| 6.6 #19 | – | Interceptions | 7.9 | – | 7.1 #14 |
| – #16 | – | Lost | 37.0 | – | – #10 |
| 0.2 #1 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #16 |
| 6.9 #4 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.7 #15 |
| 3.3 #10 | – | Shots blocked | 3.4 | – | 3.6 #8 |
| 9.2 #6 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.9 | – | 5.9 #18 |
| 5.6 #7 | – | Shots off target | 5.0 | – | 4.4 #14 |
| 4.1 #16 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 4.7 #8 |
| – #4 | – | Win | 37.0 | – | – #13 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 380 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.43 (home 1.28 · away 1.15)
- Home / draw / away
- 39% · 26% · 35%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 45% · 46%
- Cards / match
- 4.11 (reds 0.16)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
AC Milan · 2025/2026 · Serie A
Rating 7.25 (92th pct) · G+A 6 + 4 (19% of team goals) · 75% of minutes
Team 2.0 ppg with (28) · 1.4 without (10)
Rating 7.13 (91th pct) · G+A 3 + 3 (11% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Team 1.73 ppg with (33) · 2.6 without (5)
Parma · 2025/2026 · Serie A
Rating 7.08 (82th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (14% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Team 1.29 ppg with (31) · 0.71 without (7)
Rating 6.84 (49th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (7% of team goals) · 88% of minutes
Rating 6.82 (45th pct) · G+A 0 + 2 (7% of team goals) · 77% of minutes
Team 1.31 ppg with (29) · 0.78 without (9)
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 26
Venue
- Stadium
- Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
- Capacity
- 75,817
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 73,017
Teams
- Coaches
- Marco Landucci · Carlos Antón Cuesta
- Position
- 2 · 13
- Formation
- 3-5-2 · 3-5-2
Referee
Marco Piccinini
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 9.6° (feels 9.6°)
- Wind
- 1.0
- Humidity
- 81%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter |
38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 35 | 54 | 87 | DWWDD |
| 2 |  Napoli |
38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58 | 36 | 22 | 76 | WDLWW |
| 3 |  Roma |
38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 73 | WWWWW |
| 4 |  Como |
38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 29 | 36 | 71 | WDWWW |
| 5 |  AC Milan |
38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 70 | DLLWL |
| 6 |  Juventus |
38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61 | 34 | 27 | 69 | DDWLD |
| 7 |  Atalanta |
38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 59 | LDWLD |
| 8 |  Bologna |
38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 56 | LDWWD |
| 9 |  Lazio |
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 54 | DWLLW |
| 10 |  Udinese |
38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 50 | DWWLL |
| 11 |  Sassuolo |
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 49 | DWLLL |
| 12 |  Torino |
38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44 | 63 | -19 | 45 | DLWLD |
| 13 |  Parma |
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 45 | WLLLW |
| 14 |  Cagliari |
38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 43 | WDLWW |
| 15 |  Fiorentina |
38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 42 | DLDWD |
| 16 |  Genoa |
38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 41 | LDDLL |
| 17 |  Lecce |
38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28 | 50 | -22 | 38 | DWLWW |
| 18 |  Cremonese |
38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32 | 57 | -25 | 34 | LLWWL |
| 19 |  Hellas Verona |
38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25 | 61 | -36 | 21 | DDLDL |
| 20 |  Pisa |
38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26 | 71 | -45 | 18 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 50 | 16 | 34 | 45 | DWWDD |
| 2 | Napoli |
19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 43 | WDLWW |
| 3 | Roma |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 42 | WWWWW |
| 4 | Juventus |
19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 37 | DDWLD |
| 5 | Como |
19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 36 | WDWWW |
| 6 | Atalanta |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 33 | LDWLD |
| 7 | AC Milan |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 32 | DLLWL |
| 8 | Lazio |
19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 30 | DWLLW |
| 9 | Sassuolo |
19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 29 | DWLLL |
| 10 | Torino |
19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 28 | DLWLD |
| 11 | Cagliari |
19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 25 | WDLWW |
| 12 | Udinese |
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 23 | DWWLL |
| 13 | Genoa |
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 22 | LDDLL |
| 14 | Bologna |
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 22 | LDWWD |
| 15 | Fiorentina |
19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 21 | DLDWD |
| 16 | Parma |
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 21 | WLLLW |
| 17 | Lecce |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 20 | DWLWW |
| 18 | Cremonese |
19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 | LLWWL |
| 19 | Pisa |
19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 10 | LLLLL |
| 20 | Hellas Verona |
19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 | DDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 42 | DWWDD |
| 2 | AC Milan |
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 38 | DLLWL |
| 3 | Como |
19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 14 | 16 | 35 | WDWWW |
| 4 | Bologna |
19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 34 | LDWWD |
| 5 | Napoli |
19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 33 | WDLWW |
| 6 | Juventus |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 32 | DDWLD |
| 7 | Roma |
19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 31 | WWWWW |
| 8 | Udinese |
19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 27 | DWWLL |
| 9 | Atalanta |
19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 26 | LDWLD |
| 10 | Lazio |
19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 24 | DWLLW |
| 11 | Parma |
19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 24 | WLLLW |
| 12 | Fiorentina |
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 21 | DLDWD |
| 13 | Sassuolo |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 20 | DWLLL |
| 14 | Genoa |
19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 19 | LDDLL |
| 15 | Lecce |
19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 18 | DWLWW |
| 16 | Cagliari |
19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 18 | WDLWW |
| 17 | Cremonese |
19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 28 | -14 | 18 | LLWWL |
| 18 | Torino |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 17 | DLWLD |
| 19 | Hellas Verona |
19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 13 | DDLDL |
| 20 | Pisa |
19 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 45 | -28 | 8 | LLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
AC Milan
WDWWD 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 8 GA 3 · xG 8.22–4.91 · xPts 8.78
- D
H
Como
1–1
xG 0.68–1.04
ITA SA
- W
A
Pisa
2–1
xG 1.91–0.46
ITA SA
- W
A
Bologna
3–0
xG 2.17–0.69
ITA SA
- D
A
Roma
1–1
xG 0.36–2.4
ITA SA
- W
H
Lecce
1–0
xG 3.1–0.31
ITA SA
WWDDWWDWWD 6W 4D 0L · 22 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 17 GA 6 · xG 16.94–11.26 · xPts 17.07
- D
H
Como
1–1
xG 0.68–1.04
ITA SA
- W
A
Pisa
2–1
xG 1.91–0.46
ITA SA
- W
A
Bologna
3–0
xG 2.17–0.69
ITA SA
- D
A
Roma
1–1
xG 0.36–2.4
ITA SA
- W
H
Lecce
1–0
xG 3.1–0.31
ITA SA
- W
A
Como
3–1
xG 1.36–1.96
ITA SA
- D
A
Fiorentina
1–1
xG 1.25–2.1
ITA SA
- D
H
Genoa
1–1
xG 2.98–1.43
ITA SA
- W
A
Cagliari
1–0
xG 0.77–0.44
ITA SA
- W
H
Hellas Verona
3–0
xG 2.36–0.43
ITA SA
Parma
DLLWW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 9 · xG 4.8–12.06 · xPts 3.7
- W
H
Hellas Verona
2–1
xG 1.6–0.86
ITA SA
- W
A
Bologna
1–0
xG 0.19–1.44
ITA SA
- L
H
Juventus
1–4
xG 0.72–4.37
ITA SA
- L
A
Atalanta
0–4
xG 1.68–4.25
ITA SA
- D
H
Genoa
0–0
xG 0.61–1.14
ITA SA
WDLWDDLLWW 4W 3D 3L · 15 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 8 GA 13 · xG 9.46–19.69 · xPts 8.95
- W
H
Hellas Verona
2–1
xG 1.6–0.86
ITA SA
- W
A
Bologna
1–0
xG 0.19–1.44
ITA SA
- L
H
Juventus
1–4
xG 0.72–4.37
ITA SA
- L
A
Atalanta
0–4
xG 1.68–4.25
ITA SA
- D
H
Genoa
0–0
xG 0.61–1.14
ITA SA
- D
A
Napoli
0–0
xG 0.34–1.51
ITA SA
- W
A
Lecce
2–1
xG 1.37–0.76
ITA SA
- L
H
Inter
0–2
xG 0.49–2.89
ITA SA
- D
A
Sassuolo
1–1
xG 1.3–1.02
ITA SA
- W
H
Fiorentina
1–0
xG 1.14–1.45
ITA SA
All meetings · 28 matches since 2006
Goals 57–35 · 3.29 per match · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 57%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 18–13 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 70%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 9–8 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- L AC Milan 0–1 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Parma 2–2 AC Milan ITA SA · Regular Season
- W AC Milan 3–2 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Parma 2–1 AC Milan ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Parma 1–3 AC Milan ITA SA · Regular Season
- D AC Milan 2–2 Parma neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
- W AC Milan 3–1 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Parma 0–1 AC Milan ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Parma 1–1 AC Milan ITA SA · Regular Season
- W AC Milan 2–1 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
| Metric | AC Milan all · 38 | AC Milan at home · 19 | Parma all · 38 | Parma away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 38 | 19 | 38 | 19 |
| Points per game | 1.84 | 1.68 | 1.18 | 1.26 |
| W / D / L | 20 / 10 / 8 | 9 / 5 / 5 | 11 / 12 / 15 | 6 / 6 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 1.39 | 1.32 | 0.74 | 0.63 |
| Goals against / match | 0.92 | 1.11 | 1.21 | 1.11 |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 37% | 34% | 42% |
| Failed to score | 18% | 16% | 42% | 47% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 53% | 40% | 32% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 53% | 29% | 26% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.59 | 1.84 | 0.89 | 0.86 |
| xG against / match | 1.24 | 1.24 | 1.56 | 1.59 |
| xG difference | 0.35 | 0.59 | -0.66 | -0.72 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.20 | -0.52 | -0.15 | -0.23 |
| xPts / match | 1.59 | 1.73 | 1.01 | 0.96 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.25 | -0.05 | 0.17 | 0.31 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 58% | 53% | 34% | 32% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.50 | 2.50 | 2.46 | 2.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.93 | 0.75 | 0.37 | 0.44 |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 50% | 25% | 22% |
| Leads held | 77% | 75% | 73% | 86% |
| Minutes leading | 28% | 27% | 13% | 14% |
| Minutes level | 53% | 51% | 63% | 63% |
| Minutes trailing | 19% | 21% | 24% | 23% |
| First goal (min) | 46 | 46 | 48 | 49 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 38 | 41 | 39 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 62% | 60% | 64% | 58% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 51% | 52% | 63% | 67% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.37 | 0.32 | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| Late goals against | 0.16 | 0.21 | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 52% | 54% | 44% | 42% |
| Shots | 13.2 | 16.1 | 10.7 | 9.0 |
| On target | 4.4 | 4.9 | 2.7 | 2.5 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% |
| Shots inside box | 69% | 68% | 56% | 56% |
| Big chances created | 2.6 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 4.9 | 3.8 | 3.5 |
| xG from set plays | 29% | 27% | 40% | 43% |
| Goals from headers | 13% | 16% | 36% | 42% |
| Pressure index | 15.2 | 18.4 | 9.1 | 7.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 51.1 | 56.3 | 37.8 | 32.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 88% | 80% | 80% |
| Fouls | 10.1 | 10.3 | 10.8 | 10.8 |
| Cards | 1.82 | 1.95 | 1.97 | 1.84 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
AC Milan
0–15'55
16–30'37
31–45'125
46–60'136
61–75'66
76–90'146
Parma
0–15'47
16–30'34
31–45'36
46–60'48
61–75'48
76–90'1013
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
AC Milan · 5 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.45) · stands out: as favourite +0.68
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.455
Early press (0-15, level)+0.485
Late push (76+, level)+0.022
Game state
When ahead-0.083
When level+0.485
When behind+0.712
10 min after conceding+0.404
10 min after scoring+0.574
Situations
At home+0.472
Away+0.433
4+ days rest+0.455
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.102
As favourite+0.683
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.175
Conceded when ahead-0.003
Conceded late (76+)-0.055
Ahead vs level -0.56 · Behind vs level +0.23
Parma · 4 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.20) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.53
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.204
Early press (0-15, level)+0.534
Late push (76+, level)-0.722
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.523
Game state
When level-0.214
When behind-0.194
10 min after conceding-0.494
10 min after scoring-0.162
Situations
At home-0.242
Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.204
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.172
Evenly matched-0.242
As underdog-0.172
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.404
Conceded late (76+)+0.494
Behind vs level +0.02
AC Milan
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 34 90% | 1.85 | 1.41 | 0.88 | 1.59 | 1.28 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 5% | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.15 | 0.51 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.38 | 1.5 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.66 | 1.14 |
Parma
Current: winless 4 · scoring 2 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 19 50% | 1.32 | 0.74 | 0.89 | 0.84 | 1.35 |
| 4-3-3 | 6 16% | 1.83 | 0.83 | 0.67 | 1.01 | 1.5 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 10% | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.75 | 1.06 | 2.38 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 3 8% | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.67 | 0.75 | 1.27 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 5% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.24 | 1.14 |
| Metric | AC Milan all · 10 | AC Milan at home · 10 | Parma all · 10 | Parma away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 3 / 4 | 3 / 2 / 5 | 3 / 1 / 6 | 3 / 2 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.20 | 1.00 | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| Goals against / match | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% | 30% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 40% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.42 | 1.59 | 0.93 | 0.61 |
| xG against / match | 1.41 | 1.32 | 1.68 | 1.68 |
| xG difference | 0.01 | 0.27 | -0.76 | -1.08 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.22 | -0.59 | -0.23 | -0.01 |
| xPts / match | 1.36 | 1.54 | 0.92 | 0.66 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.16 | -0.44 | 0.08 | 0.44 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 40% | 30% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | 2.25 | 3.00 | 2.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.25 | 0.20 | 0.14 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 20% | 17% | 14% | 0% |
| Leads held | 60% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Minutes leading | 14% | 15% | 7% | 12% |
| Minutes level | 49% | 52% | 68% | 63% |
| Minutes trailing | 37% | 33% | 26% | 25% |
| First goal (min) | 58 | 49 | 68 | 58 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 32 | 47 | 45 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 92% | 70% | 100% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 43% | 67% | 75% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 53% | 56% | 42% | 41% |
| Shots | 13.0 | 15.2 | 9.4 | 6.7 |
| On target | 4.1 | 4.3 | 2.6 | 2.1 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 7% | 7% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 65% | 64% | 66% | 57% |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Corners | 3.7 | 3.8 | 3.6 | 3.3 |
| xG from set plays | 30% | 21% | 32% | 40% |
| Goals from headers | 8% | 10% | 14% | 33% |
| Pressure index | 14.4 | 15.9 | 9.1 | 6.6 |
| Dominant minutes | 53.8 | 55.7 | 37.6 | 30.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 89% | 82% | 82% |
| Fouls | 11.7 | 10.0 | 9.7 | 10.4 |
| Cards | 2.50 | 1.90 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
AC Milan
0–15'13
16–30'03
31–45'01
46–60'14
61–75'60
76–90'43
Parma
0–15'00
16–30'02
31–45'02
46–60'31
61–75'01
76–90'46
AC Milan
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 5 50% | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.61 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 5 50% | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.53 | 1.21 |
Parma
Current: winless 4 · scoring 2 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 5 50% | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.89 | 1.76 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 30% | 1.33 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.22 | 1.72 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.27 | 1.64 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.88 | 1.24 |
| Metric | AC Milan all · 40 | AC Milan at home · 19 | Parma all · 39 | Parma away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 40 | 19 | 39 | 19 |
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.68 | 1.15 | 1.26 |
| W / D / L | 20 / 12 / 8 | 9 / 5 / 5 | 11 / 12 / 16 | 6 / 6 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 1.40 | 1.32 | 0.74 | 0.68 |
| Goals against / match | 0.97 | 1.11 | 1.21 | 1.11 |
| Clean sheets | 35% | 37% | 33% | 42% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 21% | 41% | 42% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 47% | 41% | 37% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 47% | 31% | 32% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.58 | 1.85 | 0.88 | 0.81 |
| xG against / match | 1.30 | 1.31 | 1.55 | 1.60 |
| xG difference | 0.28 | 0.54 | -0.67 | -0.78 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.18 | -0.53 | -0.14 | -0.13 |
| xPts / match | 1.54 | 1.70 | 1.00 | 0.91 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.26 | -0.01 | 0.16 | 0.36 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 58% | 53% | 33% | 32% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.43 | 2.50 | 2.46 | 2.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.93 | 0.75 | 0.35 | 0.44 |
| Came back from behind | 53% | 50% | 24% | 22% |
| Leads held | 74% | 75% | 73% | 86% |
| Minutes leading | 27% | 27% | 13% | 14% |
| Minutes level | 53% | 50% | 63% | 63% |
| Minutes trailing | 20% | 23% | 24% | 24% |
| First goal (min) | 47 | 47 | 48 | 52 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 44 | 37 | 40 | 38 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 66% | 64% | 66% | 62% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 51% | 52% | 62% | 67% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.35 | 0.37 | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.21 | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 53% | 55% | 44% | 42% |
| Shots | 13.0 | 15.8 | 10.5 | 8.5 |
| On target | 4.3 | 4.9 | 2.7 | 2.5 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 8% | 7% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 69% | 67% | 57% | 56% |
| Big chances created | 2.5 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| Corners | 4.1 | 4.7 | 3.8 | 3.3 |
| xG from set plays | 29% | 28% | 40% | 42% |
| Goals from headers | 9% | 12% | 34% | 38% |
| Pressure index | 15.8 | 19.5 | 9.4 | 7.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 51.8 | 58.2 | 38.2 | 33.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 88% | 80% | 80% |
| Fouls | 10.1 | 10.0 | 10.4 | 10.0 |
| Cards | 1.85 | 1.84 | 1.92 | 1.84 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
AC Milan
0–15'56
16–30'37
31–45'116
46–60'137
61–75'105
76–90'148
Parma
0–15'47
16–30'35
31–45'36
46–60'57
61–75'49
76–90'1013
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
AC Milan · 40 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.23) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.92
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2340
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0540
Late push (76+, level)+0.0719
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.6410
Game state
When ahead+0.0927
When level+0.1740
When behind+0.6117
10 min after conceding+0.0726
10 min after scoring+0.6432
Situations
With ten men-0.035
Against ten men-0.782
At home+0.3119
Away+0.1721
3 days rest or fewer+0.722
4+ days rest+0.2138
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1412
v mid-tier opponents+0.2510
v bottom-tier opponents+0.924
As favourite+0.4725
Evenly matched-0.1313
As underdog-0.322
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0540
Conceded when ahead+0.0927
Conceded late (76+)-0.0636
Congested vs rested +0.52 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.43
Parma · 38 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.14) · stands out: with ten men -0.41
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1438
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0838
Late push (76+, level)-0.3820
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.3314
Game state
When ahead-0.1513
When level-0.1338
When behind-0.1521
10 min after conceding-0.3625
10 min after scoring+0.0721
Situations
With ten men-0.414
Against ten men+0.185
At home-0.1519
Away-0.1319
4+ days rest-0.1337
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.3312
v mid-tier opponents-0.0510
v bottom-tier opponents+0.065
As favourite+0.054
Evenly matched+0.099
As underdog-0.2525
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.3638
Conceded when ahead+0.3013
Conceded late (76+)+0.2935
Congested vs rested -0.37 · Ahead vs level -0.01 · Behind vs level -0.01
AC Milan
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 33 82% | 1.91 | 1.42 | 0.85 | 1.56 | 1.31 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 5 12% | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.53 | 1.21 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.38 | 1.5 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.66 | 1.14 |
Parma
Current: winless 4 · scoring 2 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 18 46% | 1.39 | 0.78 | 0.83 | 0.79 | 1.35 |
| 4-3-3 | 7 18% | 1.57 | 0.71 | 0.71 | 1.0 | 1.47 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 10% | 1.0 | 0.75 | 1.75 | 1.34 | 2.35 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 3 8% | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.67 | 0.75 | 1.27 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 8% | 0.0 | 0.33 | 1.67 | 0.92 | 1.31 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 74.1h before kick-off · stale. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.3Home 53% P 74%5.5Draw 12% P 17%9.5Away 7% P 9%5.0Empate 14%5.0Tie 14%
Double Chance
1.08AC Milan or Draw 17% P 46%1.16AC Milan or Parma 16% P 42%1.08AC Milan or Tie 17% P 42%3.0Tie or Parma 6% P 42%3.25Draw or Parma 6% P 13%1.07AC Milan ou Empate 17%1.16AC Milan ou Parma 16%3.25Empate ou Parma 6%
Draw No Bet
1.11 86%7.02 14%
Both Teams To Score
2.1Yes 22% P 41%1.66No 28% P 59%1.61Não 29%2.2Sim 21%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.72Over 28% P 54%2.1Under 23% P 46%1.8Mais de 26%2.0Menos de 24%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%
Number of Cards
3.52.0Over 46% P 54%1.72Under 54% P 46%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 72.5–75% · away 7.5–10% · 458 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 74% | 74% | 74% | +0.5 |
| Draw | 17% | 17% | 18% | +0.9 |
| Away | 9% | 9% | 8% | -1.5 |
In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 60%
Both teams to score · yes 40–42.5% · 664 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41% | 41% | 41% | -0.7 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 54% | 55% | +0.8 |
Marco Piccinini
- Career
- 87 matches · 9 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.44 (4.24 yellow · 0.13 red)
- Fouls / match
- 25.3 · 5.7 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.36
- Cards to home side
- 43%
Style in Serie A (5-year window · 52 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.31 | 4.48 | -0.25 | 34 |
| Fouls / match | 24.4 | 25.1 | -0.45 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.7 | 5.6 | -0.16 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.33 | 0.31 | +0.02 | 58 |
| Time added | 6.6 | 6.4 | +0.37 | 58 |
- First card
- 34' on average
- Card timing
- 16% in first 30' · 28% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 42% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.08
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 49' | 6 |
| 2025-11-29 · Parma | 3 | 1 | 25 | 1 | 7' | 7 |
| 2025-10-04 | 6 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 32' | 5 |
| 2025-09-27 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 45' | 6 |
| 2025-09-15 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 0 | 29' | 8 |
| 2025-05-18 · AC Milan | 5 | 1 | 28 | 0 | 21' | 6 |
| 2025-05-11 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 45' | 8 |
| 2025-04-20 · AC Milan | 1 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 56' | 5 |
| 2025-04-06 | 6 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 39' | 5 |
| 2025-03-16 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 26' | 7 |