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Serie A · Matchweek 26

Momentum

RomaCremonese
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
26

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Olimpico, Roma
Capacity
72,698
Surface
grass
Attendance
59,025

Teams

Coaches
Gian Gasperini · Davide Nicola
Position
4 · 16
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-5-2

Referee

Marco Di Bello

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
11.0° (feels 10.3°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
84%

Where to watch · 353

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Roma

DDLWD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 5 · xG 8.33–2.82 · xPts 10.61

  • D A Napoli 2–2 xG 1.91–0.78 ITA SA
  • W H Cagliari 2–0 xG 1.72–0.42 ITA SA
  • L A Udinese 0–1 xG 0.98–0.33 ITA SA
  • D A Panathinaikos 1–1 xG 1.31–0.93 UEFA EL
  • D H AC Milan 1–1 xG 2.4–0.36 ITA SA

Cremonese

DLLLD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 1 GA 5 · xG 5.97–7.21 · xPts 5.96

  • D H Genoa 0–0 xG 2.77–1.76 ITA SA
  • L A Atalanta 1–2 xG 0.96–2.35 ITA SA
  • L H Inter 0–2 xG 0.64–1.6 ITA SA
  • L A Sassuolo 0–1 xG 0.8–0.88 ITA SA
  • D H Hellas Verona 0–0 xG 0.81–0.61 ITA SA

All meetings · 4 matches since 2022

Roma 30 draws1 Cremonese

Goals 8–3 · 2.75 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 75%

Last 10 · 4 matches

Roma 30 draws1 Cremonese

Goals 8–3 · 2.75 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 75%

Last 5 · 4 matches

Roma 30 draws1 Cremonese

Goals 8–3 · 2.75 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 75%

Recent meetings

  • W Roma 3–0 Cremonese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Cremonese 1–3 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Cremonese 2–1 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Roma 1–0 Cremonese ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricRoma all · 38Roma at home · 19Cremonese all · 38Cremonese away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.922.210.890.95
W / D / L23 / 4 / 1113 / 3 / 38 / 10 / 205 / 3 / 11
Goals for / match1.551.740.840.74
Goals against / match0.820.531.501.47
Clean sheets47%58%29%26%
Failed to score18%16%45%53%
Both teams scored34%26%42%32%
Over 2.537%32%45%42%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.481.570.950.73
xG against / match0.990.731.591.77
xG difference0.490.85-0.64-1.04
Finishing vs xG0.070.16-0.110.01
xPts / match1.701.911.010.77
Points vs xPts0.220.30-0.110.18
Game state
Scored first66%74%32%26%
PPG when scoring first2.722.862.253.00
PPG when conceding first0.380.400.050.08
Came back from behind27%40%5%8%
Leads held88%93%67%100%
Minutes leading40%41%18%18%
Minutes level44%46%48%44%
Minutes trailing16%12%34%38%
First goal (min)36424947
First goal conceded (min)46493735
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%58%62%64%
Goals conceded in 2nd half68%70%51%39%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.320.240.11
Late goals against0.260.210.240.16
Style
Possession56%58%46%46%
Shots13.215.39.17.9
On target4.75.23.32.9
Shot conversion12%11%9%9%
Shots inside box74%75%61%59%
Big chances created2.22.41.61.3
Corners5.25.73.53.4
xG from set plays31%27%34%32%
Goals from headers20%27%19%14%
Pressure index18.621.06.95.7
Dominant minutes61.968.032.829.1
Pass accuracy83%85%78%77%
Fouls13.812.713.513.7
Cards1.891.632.082.05

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Roma

0–15'85
16–30'90
31–45'105
46–60'108
61–75'133
76–90'910

Cremonese

0–15'49
16–30'37
31–45'512
46–60'810
61–75'310
76–90'99

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Roma · 5 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.66) · stands out: when level +0.82

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.665
Early press (0-15, level)+0.385
Late push (76+, level)+0.042

Game state

When ahead+0.365
When level+0.825
10 min after conceding-0.312
10 min after scoring+0.545

Situations

At home+1.332
Away+0.173
4+ days rest+0.665

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.912
As favourite+0.665

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.195
Conceded when ahead-0.195
Conceded late (76+)-0.563

Ahead vs level -0.46 · Behind vs level -0.11

Cremonese

No pressure profile yet.

Roma

Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 1 · scoring 22 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-130 79%1.91.630.871.450.98
3-4-1-24 10%2.251.250.251.710.58
3-5-23 8%1.331.331.331.781.78
3-4-31 3%3.01.00.00.780.6

Cremonese

Current: winless 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-226 68%0.770.691.580.961.66
4-4-25 13%1.41.01.00.630.89
3-1-4-24 10%1.751.50.751.312.02
4-1-3-21 3%0.01.02.01.471.24
3-4-31 3%0.01.02.00.80.84

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.3Home 60% P 73%5.0Draw 15% P 18%10.0Away 8% P 9%4.5Tie 17%

Double Chance

1.06Roma or Draw 28% P 46%1.16Roma or Cremonese 26% P 41%1.06Roma or Tie 28% P 41%3.25Tie or Cremonese 9% P 41%3.4Draw or Cremonese 9% P 13%

Draw No Bet

1.081 88%8.02 12%

Both Teams To Score

2.2Yes 42% P 42%1.61No 58% P 58%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 55%2.0Under 47% P 45%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

2.51.57Over 59%2.25Under 41%
3.52.0Over 46% P 54%1.72Under 54% P 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 72.5–75% · away 7.5–10% · 458 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home73%74%74%+0.5
Draw18%17%18%+0.9
Away9%9%8%-1.5

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 60%

Both teams to score · yes 40–42.5% · 664 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes42%41%41%-0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.555%56%56%-0.2

Marco Di Bello

Career
216 matches · 16 seasons
Cards / match
4.83 (4.55 yellow · 0.19 red)
Fouls / match
26.6 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.36
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 67 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.94.49-0.8420
Fouls / match26.125.2+0.65
Fouls per card6.85.6+0.98 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.390.31+0.5268
Time added6.36.4-0.2427
First card
37' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.04

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-17 10 280 70'6
2026-01-07 10 310 88'6
2025-12-29 · Roma 10 260 50'5
2025-12-06 30 290 44'5
2025-11-22 30 230 59'6
2025-11-08 20 241 70'9
2025-10-29 50 252 3'8
2025-09-27 · Cremonese 71 330 9'7
2025-05-25 · Roma 20 261 63'5
2025-05-03 20 300 12'6