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Serie A · Matchweek 27

Momentum

TorinoLazio
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
27

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Torino
Capacity
28,177
Surface
grass
Attendance
15,000

Teams

Coaches
Roberto D'Aversa · Maurizio Sarri
Position
15 · 10
Formation
3-4-1-2 · 4-3-3

Referee

Rosario Abisso

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
10.6° (feels 9.8°)
Wind
2.2
Humidity
83%

Where to watch · 327

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Torino

LWDLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 13 · xG 4.72–9.08 · xPts 4.49

  • L A Genoa 0–3 xG 0.53–1.56 ITA SA
  • L H Bologna 1–2 xG 0.63–2.18 ITA SA
  • D A Fiorentina 2–2 xG 1.12–1.58 ITA SA
  • W H Lecce 1–0 xG 1.84–0.76 ITA SA
  • L A Como 0–6 xG 0.59–3.01 ITA SA

Lazio

DWDLD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 6.79–8.24 · xPts 6.08

  • D A Cagliari 0–0 xG 0.86–0.71 ITA SA
  • L H Atalanta 0–2 xG 1.57–1.63 ITA SA
  • D A Juventus 2–2 xG 1.34–3.07 ITA SA
  • W H Genoa 3–2 xG 2.43–1.95 ITA SA
  • D A Lecce 0–0 xG 0.6–0.88 ITA SA

All meetings · 34 matches since 2006

Torino 614 draws14 Lazio

Goals 37–56 · 2.74 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Torino 25 draws3 Lazio

Goals 11–13 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 20%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Torino 12 draws2 Lazio

Goals 8–9 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Torino 2–0 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Lazio 3–3 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Lazio 1–1 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Torino 2–3 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Torino 0–2 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Lazio 2–0 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Lazio 0–1 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Torino 0–0 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Lazio 1–1 Torino neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Torino 1–1 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricTorino all · 38Torino at home · 19Lazio all · 38Lazio away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.181.471.421.26
W / D / L12 / 9 / 178 / 4 / 714 / 12 / 126 / 6 / 7
Goals for / match1.161.421.080.74
Goals against / match1.661.531.050.79
Clean sheets32%26%40%47%
Failed to score29%16%45%58%
Both teams scored50%63%29%16%
Over 2.563%68%32%16%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.221.381.171.04
xG against / match1.481.601.361.30
xG difference-0.26-0.22-0.19-0.26
Finishing vs xG-0.060.05-0.09-0.30
xPts / match1.221.261.231.18
Points vs xPts-0.040.220.190.08
Game state
Scored first40%42%42%37%
PPG when scoring first2.132.252.502.43
PPG when conceding first0.470.900.530.38
Came back from behind29%42%33%12%
Leads held71%80%70%75%
Minutes leading19%28%21%15%
Minutes level46%43%54%62%
Minutes trailing35%29%25%23%
First goal (min)44414253
First goal conceded (min)29313544
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%56%61%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half51%52%52%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.320.260.390.26
Late goals against0.210.210.180.11
Style
Possession44%45%50%51%
Shots11.812.511.09.8
On target4.04.34.13.5
Shot conversion10%11%10%8%
Shots inside box62%65%61%61%
Big chances created2.02.51.91.9
Corners3.84.33.72.9
xG from set plays30%30%30%30%
Goals from headers23%22%7%0%
Pressure index9.110.712.29.8
Dominant minutes36.440.345.041.0
Pass accuracy79%79%86%86%
Fouls13.913.610.610.3
Cards1.921.792.292.11

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Torino

0–15'45
16–30'713
31–45'613
46–60'812
61–75'712
76–90'128

Lazio

0–15'65
16–30'47
31–45'67
46–60'67
61–75'47
76–90'157

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Torino · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.68

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.024
Early press (0-15, level)-0.184
Late push (76+, level)+0.302
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.093

Game state

When level+0.044
When behind-0.154
10 min after conceding-0.384
10 min after scoring+0.683

Situations

At home-0.192
Away+0.142
4+ days rest-0.024

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.192
v mid-tier opponents+0.142
As underdog-0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.374
Conceded late (76+)+0.244

Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.20

Lazio · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.62

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.034
Early press (0-15, level)+0.254
Late push (76+, level)-0.102

Game state

When ahead+0.134
When level-0.104
10 min after conceding-0.612
10 min after scoring+0.624

Situations

At home-0.172
Away+0.232
4+ days rest+0.034

Opposition

Evenly matched+0.173

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.004
Conceded when ahead-0.064
Conceded late (76+)-0.244

Ahead vs level +0.23 · Behind vs level +0.30

Torino

Current: winless 1 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-216 42%1.01.381.881.281.51
3-4-1-29 24%1.891.560.891.261.18
3-4-2-14 10%1.01.252.01.71.47
4-3-32 5%0.50.02.50.941.71
3-4-32 5%1.51.01.00.851.42

Lazio

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-336 95%1.390.971.031.121.37
4-2-3-12 5%2.03.01.52.031.32

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.87Home 25% P 33%2.8Draw 26% P 35%2.87Away 25% P 33%3.0Tie 24%

Double Chance

1.4Torino or Draw 20% P 34%1.4Tie or Lazio 20% P 33%1.36Torino or Lazio 20% P 33%1.4Torino or Tie 20% P 33%1.4Draw or Lazio 20% P 34%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 46%1.8No 52% P 54%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.37Over 40% P 34%1.57Under 60% P 66%

Total Corners

6.0Under 6 15%2.66 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 32%6.012 - 14 15%15.0Over 14 6%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50% P 48%1.83Under 50% P 52%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 32.5–35% · 336 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home33%34%36%+2.3
Draw35%32%29%-3.3
Away33%34%35%+1.0

In those fixtures: 2.2 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 40%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes46%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 32.5–35% · 400 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.534%34%31%-3.0

Rosario Abisso

Career
124 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
4.81 (4.54 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
25.5 · 5.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.42
Cards to home side
50%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 52 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.794.49+0.4363
Fouls / match24.925.2-0.14
Fouls per card5.25.6-0.64 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.40.31+0.6576
Time added5.16.4-2.710
First card
33' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
53% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.22

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-10 61 170 40'8
2026-01-02 30 180 83'5
2025-12-21 31 300 3'7
2025-11-08 50 280 31'8
2025-10-29 40 290 38'11
2025-10-05 11 280 36'2
2025-08-31 · Torino 40 340 19'5
2025-05-18 40 230 22'6
2025-04-28 41 230 40'7