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Serie A · Matchweek 28

Momentum

GenoaRoma
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
28

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, Genova
Capacity
33,205
Surface
grass
Attendance
30,758

Teams

Coaches
Daniele De Rossi · Gian Gasperini
Position
15 · 4
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Andrea Colombo

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
13.3° (feels 12.9°)
Wind
1.5
Humidity
81%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Genoa

LLDWL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 8 · xG 7.05–9.74 · xPts 5.47

  • L A Inter 0–2 xG 0.23–1.76 ITA SA
  • W H Torino 3–0 xG 1.56–0.53 ITA SA
  • D A Cremonese 0–0 xG 1.76–2.77 ITA SA
  • L H Napoli 2–3 xG 1.56–2.26 ITA SA
  • L A Lazio 2–3 xG 1.95–2.43 ITA SA

Roma

LWDWD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 10 GA 6 · xG 9.0–2.68 · xPts 11.01

  • D H Juventus 3–3 xG 1.76–1.05 ITA SA
  • W H Cremonese 3–0 xG 2.63–0.1 ITA SA
  • D A Napoli 2–2 xG 1.91–0.78 ITA SA
  • W H Cagliari 2–0 xG 1.72–0.42 ITA SA
  • L A Udinese 0–1 xG 0.98–0.33 ITA SA

All meetings · 36 matches since 2007

Genoa 75 draws24 Roma

Goals 42–72 · 3.17 per match · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 61%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Genoa 22 draws6 Roma

Goals 10–16 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Genoa 11 draws3 Roma

Goals 5–9 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Genoa 2–1 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Roma 3–1 Genoa ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Roma 3–1 Genoa ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Genoa 1–1 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Roma 1–0 Genoa ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Genoa 4–1 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Roma 0–0 Genoa ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Genoa 0–2 Roma neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Roma 1–0 Genoa neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Genoa 1–3 Roma neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricGenoa all · 38Genoa at home · 19Roma all · 38Roma away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.081.161.921.63
W / D / L10 / 11 / 176 / 4 / 923 / 4 / 1110 / 1 / 8
Goals for / match1.081.161.551.37
Goals against / match1.341.370.821.11
Clean sheets24%21%47%37%
Failed to score40%42%18%21%
Both teams scored53%47%34%42%
Over 2.553%58%37%42%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.221.261.481.39
xG against / match1.481.310.991.26
xG difference-0.26-0.050.490.14
Finishing vs xG-0.14-0.100.07-0.02
xPts / match1.221.341.701.50
Points vs xPts-0.14-0.180.220.13
Game state
Scored first40%37%66%58%
PPG when scoring first1.672.002.722.55
PPG when conceding first0.590.600.380.38
Came back from behind26%25%27%20%
Leads held56%67%88%83%
Minutes leading17%16%40%39%
Minutes level54%53%44%41%
Minutes trailing29%30%16%20%
First goal (min)41353630
First goal conceded (min)39374644
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%64%54%50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%54%68%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.340.370.240.16
Late goals against0.210.210.260.32
Style
Possession49%51%56%55%
Shots11.412.113.211.2
On target3.83.94.74.2
Shot conversion9%10%12%12%
Shots inside box62%59%74%71%
Big chances created2.01.92.22.0
Corners3.73.65.24.6
xG from set plays43%46%31%36%
Goals from headers10%10%20%12%
Pressure index10.613.118.616.3
Dominant minutes42.251.561.955.8
Pass accuracy80%79%83%82%
Fouls12.412.613.814.8
Cards1.761.841.892.16

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Genoa

0–15'58
16–30'58
31–45'67
46–60'410
61–75'810
76–90'138

Roma

0–15'85
16–30'90
31–45'105
46–60'108
61–75'133
76–90'910

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Genoa · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.14) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.32

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.144
Early press (0-15, level)+0.094
Late push (76+, level)-0.672
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.323

Game state

When level-0.174
When behind-0.084
10 min after conceding-0.234
10 min after scoring-0.662

Situations

At home-0.083
4+ days rest-0.144

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.202
Evenly matched-0.082
As underdog-0.202

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.204
Conceded late (76+)+0.444

Ahead vs level -0.48 · Behind vs level +0.09

Roma · 5 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.66) · stands out: when level +0.82

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.665
Early press (0-15, level)+0.385
Late push (76+, level)+0.042

Game state

When ahead+0.365
When level+0.825
10 min after conceding-0.312
10 min after scoring+0.545

Situations

At home+1.332
Away+0.173
4+ days rest+0.665

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.912
As favourite+0.665

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.195
Conceded when ahead-0.195
Conceded late (76+)-0.563

Ahead vs level -0.46 · Behind vs level -0.11

Genoa

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 9 · scoring 2 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-218 47%1.441.671.441.131.43
3-4-2-19 24%1.110.560.891.391.33
4-2-3-17 18%0.290.431.571.111.74
5-4-11 3%0.00.02.01.472.25
3-4-1-21 3%3.02.01.01.790.87

Roma

Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 1 · scoring 22 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-130 79%1.91.630.871.450.98
3-4-1-24 10%2.251.250.251.710.58
3-5-23 8%1.331.331.331.781.78
3-4-31 3%3.01.00.00.780.6

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.33Home 22% P 21%3.1Draw 31% P 31%2.0Away 47% P 48%

Double Chance

1.8Genoa or Draw 16% P 26%1.36Genoa or Roma 21% P 35%1.83Genoa or Tie 16% P 35%1.22Tie or Roma 24% P 35%1.22Draw or Roma 24% P 39%

Draw No Bet

2.751 34%1.42 66%

Both Teams To Score

2.1Yes 44% P 44%1.66No 56% P 56%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.62Over 36% P 37%1.5Under 64% P 63%

Total Corners

6.5Under 6 13%2.626 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%15.0Over 14 6%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50% P 47%1.83Under 50% P 53%
5.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 20–25% · away 45–50% · 672 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home21%24%21%-2.5
Draw31%28%29%+0.4
Away48%48%50%+2.2

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 44%

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes44%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 35–37.5% · 819 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.537%36%41%+4.2

Andrea Colombo

Career
72 matches · 6 seasons
Cards / match
5.17 (4.96 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
24.9 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.21
Cards to home side
42%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 62 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.04.48+0.7378
Fouls / match25.225.1+0.05
Fouls per card5.15.6-0.71 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.160.31-1.315
Time added6.56.4+0.1749
First card
30' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.37

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-28 70 220 45'7
2026-02-15 · Roma 20 281 26'6
2026-02-07 70 290 31'7
2026-01-29 30 300 35'9
2026-01-25 · Roma 40 261 51'5
2026-01-07 40 240 34'5
2025-12-27 70 330 13'7
2025-12-14 60 320 25'9
2025-12-11 31 250 19'5
2025-10-26 60 290 30'6