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Serie A · Matchweek 28

Momentum

LazioSassuolo
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
28

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Olimpico, Roma
Capacity
72,698
Surface
grass
Attendance
2,000

Teams

Coaches
Maurizio Sarri · Fabio Grosso
Position
11 · 9
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-3-3

Referee

Alberto Arena

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
12.7° (feels 12.1°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
80%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Lazio

WDLDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 8 · xG 7.49–8.56 · xPts 6.44

  • L A Torino 0–2 xG 1.29–1.2 ITA SA
  • D A Cagliari 0–0 xG 0.86–0.71 ITA SA
  • L H Atalanta 0–2 xG 1.57–1.63 ITA SA
  • D A Juventus 2–2 xG 1.34–3.07 ITA SA
  • W H Genoa 3–2 xG 2.43–1.95 ITA SA

Sassuolo

WLWWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 8 · xG 7.32–7.86 · xPts 7.08

  • W H Atalanta 2–1 xG 1.22–2.95 ITA SA
  • W H Hellas Verona 3–0 xG 1.82–0.74 ITA SA
  • W A Udinese 2–1 xG 1.4–0.73 ITA SA
  • L H Inter 0–5 xG 0.83–2.48 ITA SA
  • W A Pisa 3–1 xG 2.04–0.96 ITA SA

All meetings · 24 matches since 2013

Lazio 144 draws6 Sassuolo

Goals 45–28 · 3.04 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 67%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Lazio 61 draws3 Sassuolo

Goals 14–9 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Lazio 31 draws1 Sassuolo

Goals 7–3 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • W Lazio 2–1 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Sassuolo 1–0 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Lazio 1–1 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Sassuolo 0–2 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Lazio 2–0 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Sassuolo 0–2 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Lazio 2–1 Sassuolo neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Sassuolo 2–1 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Sassuolo 2–0 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Lazio 2–1 Sassuolo neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricLazio all · 38Lazio at home · 19Sassuolo all · 38Sassuolo away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.421.581.291.05
W / D / L14 / 12 / 128 / 6 / 514 / 7 / 175 / 5 / 9
Goals for / match1.081.421.211.11
Goals against / match1.051.321.321.26
Clean sheets40%32%21%21%
Failed to score45%32%32%32%
Both teams scored29%42%53%58%
Over 2.532%47%55%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.171.311.151.14
xG against / match1.361.421.441.52
xG difference-0.19-0.12-0.29-0.38
Finishing vs xG-0.090.120.06-0.04
xPts / match1.231.281.201.15
Points vs xPts0.190.300.09-0.10
Game state
Scored first42%47%37%32%
PPG when scoring first2.502.562.502.17
PPG when conceding first0.530.670.550.45
Came back from behind33%50%29%31%
Leads held70%67%82%71%
Minutes leading21%28%22%15%
Minutes level54%45%47%55%
Minutes trailing25%27%31%31%
First goal (min)42363850
First goal conceded (min)35283236
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%56%59%76%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%44%52%58%
Late goals for (76'+)0.390.530.160.11
Late goals against0.180.260.320.37
Style
Possession50%50%46%45%
Shots11.012.210.710.6
On target4.14.73.73.8
Shot conversion10%12%11%10%
Shots inside box61%61%66%66%
Big chances created1.91.92.12.0
Corners3.74.63.83.7
xG from set plays30%30%29%33%
Goals from headers7%11%9%10%
Pressure index12.214.69.07.3
Dominant minutes45.049.038.634.6
Pass accuracy86%86%82%82%
Fouls10.610.912.012.2
Cards2.292.472.372.42

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Lazio

0–15'65
16–30'47
31–45'67
46–60'67
61–75'47
76–90'157

Sassuolo

0–15'811
16–30'49
31–45'74
46–60'118
61–75'106
76–90'612

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Lazio · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.62

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.034
Early press (0-15, level)+0.254
Late push (76+, level)-0.102

Game state

When ahead+0.134
When level-0.104
10 min after conceding-0.612
10 min after scoring+0.624

Situations

At home-0.172
Away+0.232
4+ days rest+0.034

Opposition

Evenly matched+0.173

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.004
Conceded when ahead-0.064
Conceded late (76+)-0.244

Ahead vs level +0.23 · Behind vs level +0.30

Sassuolo · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.09) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.50

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.094
Early press (0-15, level)-0.244
Late push (76+, level)-0.503

Game state

When ahead+0.143
When level-0.074
10 min after conceding-0.424
10 min after scoring+0.184

Situations

At home-0.032
Away+0.222
4+ days rest+0.094

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.112
As underdog+0.073

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded when ahead+0.173
Conceded late (76+)+0.234

Ahead vs level +0.21 · Behind vs level +0.50

Lazio

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-336 95%1.390.971.031.121.37
4-2-3-12 5%2.03.01.52.031.32

Sassuolo

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-336 95%1.251.191.331.181.42
4-4-21 3%1.01.01.00.762.32
4-2-3-11 3%3.02.01.00.641.57

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.2Home 43% P 44%3.1Draw 30% P 30%3.5Away 27% P 27%

Double Chance

1.33Lazio or Draw 22% P 36%1.36Lazio or Sassuolo 21% P 35%1.28Lazio or Tie 22% P 35%1.72Tie or Sassuolo 17% P 35%1.57Draw or Sassuolo 18% P 28%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50% P 52%1.9No 50% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 45%1.66Under 57% P 55%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.52.0Over 46% P 43%1.72Under 54% P 57%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 25–27.5% · 725 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home44%44%44%-0.2
Draw30%30%28%-1.4
Away27%26%28%+1.6

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%46%45%-1.2

Alberto Arena

Career
14 matches · 3 seasons
Cards / match
3.14 (3.07 yellow · 0.07 red)
Fouls / match
22.2 · 7.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.21
Cards to home side
59%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 13 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.234.49-1.795
Fouls / match22.325.2-1.82
Fouls per card7.45.6+1.61 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.31-1.372
Time added7.26.4+1.6195
First card
38' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
59% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.25

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-31 · Sassuolo 60 210 23'8
2026-01-19 30 260 37'5
2026-01-03 40 271 32'5
2025-11-23 · Lazio 20 210 79'8
2025-11-02 30 221 27'7
2025-10-25 40 140 16'6
2025-10-05 30 300 21'7
2025-09-15 30 210 43'7
2025-08-24 20 190 28'6
2025-04-27 30 340 34'6