Rating 7.33 (95th pct) · G+A 2 + 3 (9% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Team 1.97 ppg with (32) · 1.17 without (6)
Serie A · Matchweek 28
Momentum
– AC MilanInter –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| AC Milan | at home | Stat | league | away | Inter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.8 #8 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 59.8 #2 |
| 13.2 #5 | – | Shots total | 12.3 | – | 17.1 #1 |
| 4.4 #7 | – | Shots on target | 4.0 | – | 6.0 #1 |
| 4.3 #11 | – | Corners | 4.4 | – | 6.3 #1 |
| 10.1 #20 | – | Fouls | 12.7 | – | 13.1 #9 |
| 1.9 #3 | – | Offsides | 1.6 | – | 1.6 #12 |
| 14.5 #13 | – | Tackles | 15.2 | – | 15.2 #10 |
| 99.2 #7 | – | Attacks | 92.8 | – | 102.7 #3 |
| 47.0 #7 | – | Dangerous attacks | 42.4 | – | 58.4 #2 |
| 483.7 #8 | – | Passes | 431.5 | – | 547.5 #2 |
| 1.7 #16 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 1.7 #14 |
| 0.0 #13 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | – |
| 1.0 #6 | – | Assists | 0.8 | – | 1.7 #1 |
| – #7 | – | Btts | 45.3 | – | – #7 |
| – #5 | – | Cleansheet | 32.1 | – | – #2 |
| – #10 | – | Draw | 26.1 | – | – #19 |
| 1.6 #5 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 1.9 #1 |
| -0.2 #15 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | 0.4 #1 |
| – #18 | – | Failed to score | 32.1 | – | – #20 |
| 1.4 #6 | 1.3 | Goals | 1.2 | 2.0 | 2.3 #1 |
| 0.9 #16 | 1.1 | Goals conceded | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.9 #16 |
| 0.2 #13 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #7 |
| 6.6 #19 | – | Interceptions | 7.9 | – | 6.7 #17 |
| – #16 | – | Lost | 37.0 | – | – #20 |
| 0.2 #1 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #4 |
| 6.9 #4 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 7.0 #1 |
| 3.3 #10 | – | Shots blocked | 3.4 | – | 4.5 #2 |
| 9.2 #6 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.9 | – | 12.2 #1 |
| 5.6 #7 | – | Shots off target | 5.0 | – | 6.6 #1 |
| 4.1 #16 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 4.8 #5 |
| – #4 | – | Win | 37.0 | – | – #1 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 380 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.43 (home 1.28 · away 1.15)
- Home / draw / away
- 39% · 26% · 35%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 45% · 46%
- Cards / match
- 4.11 (reds 0.16)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
AC Milan · 2025/2026 · Serie A
Rating 7.25 (92th pct) · G+A 6 + 4 (19% of team goals) · 75% of minutes
Team 2.0 ppg with (28) · 1.4 without (10)
Rating 7.13 (91th pct) · G+A 3 + 3 (11% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Team 1.73 ppg with (33) · 2.6 without (5)
Inter · 2025/2026 · Serie A
Rating 7.55 (100th pct) · G+A 7 + 17 (27% of team goals) · 79% of minutes
Team 2.27 ppg with (30) · 2.38 without (8)
Rating 7.31 (100th pct) · G+A 17 + 6 (26% of team goals) · 64% of minutes
Team 2.33 ppg with (27) · 2.18 without (11)
Rating 7.16 (89th pct) · G+A 3 + 8 (12% of team goals) · 74% of minutes
Team 2.19 ppg with (31) · 2.71 without (7)
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 28
Venue
- Stadium
- Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
- Capacity
- 75,817
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 75,627
Teams
- Coaches
- Massimiliano Allegri · Cristian Chivu
- Position
- 2 · 1
- Formation
- 3-5-2 · 3-5-2
Referee
Daniele Doveri
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 10.4° (feels 9.6°)
- Wind
- 1.5
- Humidity
- 79%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter |
38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 35 | 54 | 87 | DWWDD |
| 2 |  Napoli |
38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58 | 36 | 22 | 76 | WDLWW |
| 3 |  Roma |
38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 73 | WWWWW |
| 4 |  Como |
38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 29 | 36 | 71 | WDWWW |
| 5 |  AC Milan |
38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 70 | DLLWL |
| 6 |  Juventus |
38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61 | 34 | 27 | 69 | DDWLD |
| 7 |  Atalanta |
38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 59 | LDWLD |
| 8 |  Bologna |
38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 56 | LDWWD |
| 9 |  Lazio |
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 54 | DWLLW |
| 10 |  Udinese |
38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 50 | DWWLL |
| 11 |  Sassuolo |
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 49 | DWLLL |
| 12 |  Torino |
38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44 | 63 | -19 | 45 | DLWLD |
| 13 |  Parma |
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 45 | WLLLW |
| 14 |  Cagliari |
38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 43 | WDLWW |
| 15 |  Fiorentina |
38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 42 | DLDWD |
| 16 |  Genoa |
38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 41 | LDDLL |
| 17 |  Lecce |
38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28 | 50 | -22 | 38 | DWLWW |
| 18 |  Cremonese |
38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32 | 57 | -25 | 34 | LLWWL |
| 19 |  Hellas Verona |
38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25 | 61 | -36 | 21 | DDLDL |
| 20 |  Pisa |
38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26 | 71 | -45 | 18 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 50 | 16 | 34 | 45 | DWWDD |
| 2 | Napoli |
19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 43 | WDLWW |
| 3 | Roma |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 42 | WWWWW |
| 4 | Juventus |
19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 37 | DDWLD |
| 5 | Como |
19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 36 | WDWWW |
| 6 | Atalanta |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 33 | LDWLD |
| 7 | AC Milan |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 32 | DLLWL |
| 8 | Lazio |
19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 30 | DWLLW |
| 9 | Sassuolo |
19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 29 | DWLLL |
| 10 | Torino |
19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 28 | DLWLD |
| 11 | Cagliari |
19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 25 | WDLWW |
| 12 | Udinese |
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 23 | DWWLL |
| 13 | Genoa |
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 22 | LDDLL |
| 14 | Bologna |
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 22 | LDWWD |
| 15 | Fiorentina |
19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 21 | DLDWD |
| 16 | Parma |
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 21 | WLLLW |
| 17 | Lecce |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 20 | DWLWW |
| 18 | Cremonese |
19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 | LLWWL |
| 19 | Pisa |
19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 10 | LLLLL |
| 20 | Hellas Verona |
19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 | DDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 42 | DWWDD |
| 2 | AC Milan |
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 38 | DLLWL |
| 3 | Como |
19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 14 | 16 | 35 | WDWWW |
| 4 | Bologna |
19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 34 | LDWWD |
| 5 | Napoli |
19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 33 | WDLWW |
| 6 | Juventus |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 32 | DDWLD |
| 7 | Roma |
19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 31 | WWWWW |
| 8 | Udinese |
19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 27 | DWWLL |
| 9 | Atalanta |
19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 26 | LDWLD |
| 10 | Lazio |
19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 24 | DWLLW |
| 11 | Parma |
19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 24 | WLLLW |
| 12 | Fiorentina |
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 21 | DLDWD |
| 13 | Sassuolo |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 20 | DWLLL |
| 14 | Genoa |
19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 19 | LDDLL |
| 15 | Lecce |
19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 18 | DWLWW |
| 16 | Cagliari |
19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 18 | WDLWW |
| 17 | Cremonese |
19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 28 | -14 | 18 | LLWWL |
| 18 | Torino |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 17 | DLWLD |
| 19 | Hellas Verona |
19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 13 | DDLDL |
| 20 | Pisa |
19 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 45 | -28 | 8 | LLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
AC Milan
WWDLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 3 · xG 9.19–4.12 · xPts 10.05
- W
A
Cremonese
2–0
xG 2.5–1.09
ITA SA
- L
H
Parma
0–1
xG 1.93–0.84
ITA SA
- D
H
Como
1–1
xG 0.68–1.04
ITA SA
- W
A
Pisa
2–1
xG 1.91–0.46
ITA SA
- W
A
Bologna
3–0
xG 2.17–0.69
ITA SA
DDWWDWWDLW 5W 4D 1L · 19 pts (1.9 ppg) · GF 15 GA 7 · xG 18.24–12.31 · xPts 17.23
- W
A
Cremonese
2–0
xG 2.5–1.09
ITA SA
- L
H
Parma
0–1
xG 1.93–0.84
ITA SA
- D
H
Como
1–1
xG 0.68–1.04
ITA SA
- W
A
Pisa
2–1
xG 1.91–0.46
ITA SA
- W
A
Bologna
3–0
xG 2.17–0.69
ITA SA
- D
A
Roma
1–1
xG 0.36–2.4
ITA SA
- W
H
Lecce
1–0
xG 3.1–0.31
ITA SA
- W
A
Como
3–1
xG 1.36–1.96
ITA SA
- D
A
Fiorentina
1–1
xG 1.25–2.1
ITA SA
- D
H
Genoa
1–1
xG 2.98–1.43
ITA SA
Inter
WLWLW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 9 GA 7 · xG 11.19–4.0 · xPts 11.26
- W
H
Genoa
2–0
xG 1.76–0.23
ITA SA
- L
H
Bodø / Glimt
1–2
xG 2.81–1.31
UEFA CL - W
A
Lecce
2–0
xG 2.8–0.12
ITA SA
- L
A
Bodø / Glimt
1–3
xG 1.95–1.12
UEFA CL
- W
H
Juventus
3–2
xG 1.87–1.22
ITA SA
LWWWWWLWLW 7W 0D 3L · 21 pts (2.1 ppg) · GF 25 GA 12 · xG 23.91–8.49 · xPts 21.73
- W
H
Genoa
2–0
xG 1.76–0.23
ITA SA
- L
H
Bodø / Glimt
1–2
xG 2.81–1.31
UEFA CL
- W
A
Lecce
2–0
xG 2.8–0.12
ITA SA
- L
A
Bodø / Glimt
1–3
xG 1.95–1.12
UEFA CL
- W
H
Juventus
3–2
xG 1.87–1.22
ITA SA
- W
A
Sassuolo
5–0
xG 2.48–0.83
ITA SA
- W
A
Cremonese
2–0
xG 1.6–0.64
ITA SA
- W
A
Borussia Dortmund
2–0
xG 1.28–0.62
UEFA CL - W
H
Pisa
6–2
xG 5.64–0.36
ITA SA
- L
H
Arsenal
1–3
xG 1.72–2.04
UEFA CL
All meetings · 48 matches since 2003
Goals 55–69 · 2.58 per match · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 48%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 10–15 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 40%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 6–4 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- W AC Milan 1–0 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Inter 0–1 AC Milan ITA SA · Regular Season
- D AC Milan 1–1 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Inter 1–2 AC Milan neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
- L AC Milan 1–2 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Inter 5–1 AC Milan neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Inter 1–0 AC Milan UEFA CL · Semi-finals · leg 2/2
- L AC Milan 0–2 Inter neutral UEFA CL · Semi-finals · leg 1/2
- L Inter 1–0 AC Milan neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
- W AC Milan 3–2 Inter neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
| Metric | AC Milan all · 38 | AC Milan at home · 19 | Inter all · 38 | Inter away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 38 | 19 | 38 | 19 |
| Points per game | 1.84 | 1.68 | 2.29 | 2.21 |
| W / D / L | 20 / 10 / 8 | 9 / 5 / 5 | 27 / 6 / 5 | 13 / 3 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 1.39 | 1.32 | 2.34 | 2.05 |
| Goals against / match | 0.92 | 1.11 | 0.92 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 37% | 47% | 53% |
| Failed to score | 18% | 16% | 5% | 5% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 53% | 47% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 53% | 55% | 47% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.59 | 1.84 | 1.94 | 1.64 |
| xG against / match | 1.24 | 1.24 | 0.90 | 1.03 |
| xG difference | 0.35 | 0.59 | 1.04 | 0.61 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.20 | -0.52 | 0.40 | 0.41 |
| xPts / match | 1.59 | 1.73 | 2.00 | 1.77 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.25 | -0.05 | 0.29 | 0.44 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 58% | 53% | 84% | 79% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.50 | 2.50 | 2.53 | 2.60 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.93 | 0.75 | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 50% | 38% | 40% |
| Leads held | 77% | 75% | 77% | 76% |
| Minutes leading | 28% | 27% | 52% | 50% |
| Minutes level | 53% | 51% | 39% | 37% |
| Minutes trailing | 19% | 21% | 10% | 12% |
| First goal (min) | 46 | 46 | 29 | 29 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 38 | 50 | 44 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 62% | 60% | 58% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 51% | 52% | 54% | 53% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.37 | 0.32 | 0.55 | 0.47 |
| Late goals against | 0.16 | 0.21 | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 52% | 54% | 60% | 60% |
| Shots | 13.2 | 16.1 | 17.1 | 16.0 |
| On target | 4.4 | 4.9 | 6.0 | 5.2 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 8% | 14% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 69% | 68% | 72% | 68% |
| Big chances created | 2.6 | 2.6 | 3.9 | 3.0 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 4.9 | 6.3 | 5.3 |
| xG from set plays | 29% | 27% | 28% | 26% |
| Goals from headers | 13% | 16% | 23% | 29% |
| Pressure index | 15.2 | 18.4 | 23.0 | 21.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 51.1 | 56.3 | 66.1 | 61.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 88% | 87% | 87% |
| Fouls | 10.1 | 10.3 | 13.1 | 13.1 |
| Cards | 1.82 | 1.95 | 1.68 | 2.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
AC Milan
0–15'55
16–30'37
31–45'125
46–60'136
61–75'66
76–90'146
Inter
0–15'122
16–30'115
31–45'149
46–60'153
61–75'164
76–90'2112
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
AC Milan · 5 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.45) · stands out: as favourite +0.68
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.455
Early press (0-15, level)+0.485
Late push (76+, level)+0.022
Game state
When ahead-0.083
When level+0.485
When behind+0.712
10 min after conceding+0.404
10 min after scoring+0.574
Situations
At home+0.472
Away+0.433
4+ days rest+0.455
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.102
As favourite+0.683
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.175
Conceded when ahead-0.003
Conceded late (76+)-0.055
Ahead vs level -0.56 · Behind vs level +0.23
Inter · 5 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.71) · stands out: when behind +1.11
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.715
Early press (0-15, level)+0.205
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.202
Game state
When ahead+0.584
When level+0.455
When behind+1.113
10 min after conceding+0.514
10 min after scoring+0.425
Situations
At home+0.523
Away+0.962
4+ days rest+0.674
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.752
As favourite+0.674
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.365
Conceded when ahead-0.414
Conceded late (76+)-0.414
Congested vs rested +0.20 · Ahead vs level +0.13 · Behind vs level +0.66
AC Milan
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 34 90% | 1.85 | 1.41 | 0.88 | 1.59 | 1.28 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 5% | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.15 | 0.51 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.66 | 1.14 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.38 | 1.5 |
Inter
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 15 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 38 100% | 2.29 | 2.34 | 0.92 | 1.94 | 0.9 |
| Metric | AC Milan all · 10 | AC Milan at home · 10 | Inter all · 10 | Inter away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.10 | 2.10 | 1.50 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 3 / 4 | 3 / 2 / 5 | 6 / 3 / 1 | 4 / 3 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 1.20 | 1.00 | 2.50 | 1.80 |
| Goals against / match | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 40% | 0% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 40% | 70% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 40% | 70% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.42 | 1.59 | 2.26 | 1.79 |
| xG against / match | 1.41 | 1.32 | 1.40 | 1.55 |
| xG difference | 0.01 | 0.27 | 0.86 | 0.23 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.22 | -0.59 | 0.24 | 0.01 |
| xPts / match | 1.36 | 1.54 | 1.87 | 1.53 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.16 | -0.44 | 0.23 | -0.03 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 40% | 70% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | 2.25 | 2.14 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.25 | 0.20 | 2.00 | 0.75 |
| Came back from behind | 20% | 17% | 75% | 40% |
| Leads held | 60% | 75% | 67% | 57% |
| Minutes leading | 14% | 15% | 46% | 39% |
| Minutes level | 49% | 52% | 35% | 36% |
| Minutes trailing | 37% | 33% | 20% | 25% |
| First goal (min) | 58 | 49 | 32 | 32 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 32 | 41 | 40 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 92% | 70% | 64% | 56% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 43% | 50% | 47% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 53% | 56% | 64% | 59% |
| Shots | 13.0 | 15.2 | 18.9 | 16.0 |
| On target | 4.1 | 4.3 | 6.5 | 5.3 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 7% | 13% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 65% | 64% | 74% | 77% |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | 2.3 | 4.0 | 3.0 |
| Corners | 3.7 | 3.8 | 6.8 | 5.2 |
| xG from set plays | 30% | 21% | 22% | 24% |
| Goals from headers | 8% | 10% | 13% | 29% |
| Pressure index | 14.4 | 15.9 | 21.0 | 17.6 |
| Dominant minutes | 53.8 | 55.7 | 65.5 | 57.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 89% | 91% | 88% |
| Fouls | 11.7 | 10.0 | 8.1 | 9.7 |
| Cards | 2.50 | 1.90 | 1.40 | 2.40 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
AC Milan
0–15'13
16–30'03
31–45'01
46–60'14
61–75'60
76–90'43
Inter
0–15'32
16–30'34
31–45'31
46–60'53
61–75'41
76–90'73
AC Milan
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 5 50% | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.61 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 5 50% | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.53 | 1.21 |
Inter
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 15 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 10 100% | 2.1 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 2.26 | 1.4 |
| Metric | AC Milan all · 40 | AC Milan at home · 19 | Inter all · 49 | Inter away · 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 40 | 19 | 49 | 24 |
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.68 | 2.20 | 2.13 |
| W / D / L | 20 / 12 / 8 | 9 / 5 / 5 | 34 / 6 / 9 | 16 / 3 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.40 | 1.32 | 2.22 | 1.92 |
| Goals against / match | 0.97 | 1.11 | 1.00 | 0.92 |
| Clean sheets | 35% | 37% | 43% | 54% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 21% | 6% | 4% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 47% | 51% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 47% | 59% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.58 | 1.85 | 2.10 | 1.87 |
| xG against / match | 1.30 | 1.31 | 1.00 | 1.15 |
| xG difference | 0.28 | 0.54 | 1.11 | 0.72 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.18 | -0.53 | 0.12 | 0.04 |
| xPts / match | 1.54 | 1.70 | 2.01 | 1.81 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.26 | -0.01 | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 58% | 53% | 74% | 75% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.43 | 2.50 | 2.67 | 2.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.93 | 0.75 | 0.92 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 53% | 50% | 36% | 29% |
| Leads held | 74% | 75% | 85% | 84% |
| Minutes leading | 27% | 27% | 46% | 46% |
| Minutes level | 53% | 50% | 42% | 39% |
| Minutes trailing | 20% | 23% | 13% | 15% |
| First goal (min) | 47 | 47 | 33 | 34 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 44 | 37 | 47 | 39 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 66% | 64% | 60% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 51% | 52% | 57% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.35 | 0.37 | 0.57 | 0.50 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.21 | 0.29 | 0.17 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 53% | 55% | 60% | 60% |
| Shots | 13.0 | 15.8 | 18.0 | 16.8 |
| On target | 4.3 | 4.9 | 6.1 | 5.5 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 8% | 12% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 69% | 67% | 73% | 72% |
| Big chances created | 2.5 | 2.7 | 4.0 | 3.4 |
| Corners | 4.1 | 4.7 | 6.3 | 5.2 |
| xG from set plays | 29% | 28% | 27% | 25% |
| Goals from headers | 9% | 12% | 17% | 23% |
| Pressure index | 15.8 | 19.5 | 22.7 | 21.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 51.8 | 58.2 | 65.3 | 62.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 88% | 88% | 87% |
| Fouls | 10.1 | 10.0 | 11.9 | 11.8 |
| Cards | 1.85 | 1.84 | 1.67 | 1.88 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
AC Milan
0–15'56
16–30'37
31–45'116
46–60'137
61–75'105
76–90'148
Inter
0–15'145
16–30'128
31–45'188
46–60'207
61–75'177
76–90'2814
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
AC Milan · 40 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.23) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.92
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2340
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0540
Late push (76+, level)+0.0719
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.6410
Game state
When ahead+0.0927
When level+0.1740
When behind+0.6117
10 min after conceding+0.0726
10 min after scoring+0.6432
Situations
With ten men-0.035
Against ten men-0.782
At home+0.3119
Away+0.1721
3 days rest or fewer+0.722
4+ days rest+0.2138
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1412
v mid-tier opponents+0.2510
v bottom-tier opponents+0.924
As favourite+0.4725
Evenly matched-0.1313
As underdog-0.322
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0540
Conceded when ahead+0.0927
Conceded late (76+)-0.0636
Congested vs rested +0.52 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.43
Inter · 49 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.58) · stands out: 3 days rest or fewer +0.96
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.5849
Early press (0-15, level)+0.5149
Late push (76+, level)+0.1713
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.3411
Game state
When ahead+0.4639
When level+0.7049
When behind+0.5914
10 min after conceding+0.1527
10 min after scoring+0.6545
Situations
Against ten men+0.104
At home+0.5425
Away+0.6224
3 days rest or fewer+0.9613
4+ days rest+0.4536
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.4419
v mid-tier opponents+0.3612
v bottom-tier opponents+0.785
As favourite+0.6044
Evenly matched+0.304
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2349
Conceded when ahead-0.2739
Conceded late (76+)-0.2142
Congested vs rested +0.51 · Ahead vs level -0.24 · Behind vs level -0.10
AC Milan
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 33 82% | 1.91 | 1.42 | 0.85 | 1.56 | 1.31 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 5 12% | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.53 | 1.21 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.38 | 1.5 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.66 | 1.14 |
Inter
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 15 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 49 100% | 2.2 | 2.22 | 1.0 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
3.2Home 29% P 30%3.0Draw 31% P 30%2.4Away 39% P 40%
Double Chance
1.53AC Milan or Draw 19% P 30%1.36AC Milan or Inter Milan 21% P 35%1.66AC Milan or Tie 17% P 35%1.36Tie or Inter Milan 21% P 35%1.33Draw or Inter Milan 22% P 35%
Draw No Bet
2.21 42%1.612 58%
Both Teams To Score
1.75Yes 53% P 54%2.0No 47% P 46%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.0Over 47% P 47%1.8Under 53% P 53%
Total Corners
8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%11.0Over 14 8%
Number of Cards
3.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%
4.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 37.5–40% · 145 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 30% | 29% | 25% | -4.4 |
| Draw | 30% | 32% | 35% | +3.5 |
| Away | 40% | 39% | 40% | +0.9 |
In those fixtures: 2.2 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 37%
Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54% | 54% | 54% | -0.2 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 46% | 45% | -1.2 |
Daniele Doveri
- Career
- 267 matches · 18 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.48 (4.25 yellow · 0.1 red)
- Fouls / match
- 24.9 · 4.7 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.32
- Cards to home side
- 49%
Style in Serie A (5-year window · 83 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.7 | 4.48 | -1.12 | 10 |
| Fouls / match | 24.9 | 25.1 | -0.15 | |
| Fouls per card | 7.0 | 5.6 | +1.13 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.23 | 0.31 | -0.76 | 27 |
| Time added | 6.7 | 6.4 | +0.58 | 71 |
- First card
- 41' on average
- Card timing
- 10% in first 30' · 40% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 51% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.15
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 73' | 9 |
| 2026-02-06 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 32' | 7 |
| 2026-01-18 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 38' | 7 |
| 2026-01-11 · Inter | 2 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 71' | 7 |
| 2025-12-27 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 31' | 7 |
| 2025-12-14 · Inter | 5 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 54' | 8 |
| 2025-12-08 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 1 | 41' | 6 |
| 2025-11-22 | 6 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 7' | 10 |
| 2025-11-02 · Inter | 3 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 41' | 9 |
| 2025-10-28 · AC Milan | 4 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 9' | 7 |