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Serie A · Matchweek 28

Momentum

NapoliTorino
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
28

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Napoli
Capacity
54,726
Surface
grass
Attendance
49,000

Teams

Coaches
Antonio Conte · Roberto D'Aversa
Position
3 · 14
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-1-2

Referee

Michael Fabbri

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
13.4° (feels 11.7°)
Wind
1.5
Humidity
34%

Where to watch · 320

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Napoli

WWDLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 10 GA 8 · xG 7.27–6.04 · xPts 7.47

  • W A Hellas Verona 2–1 xG 0.8–0.44 ITA SA
  • L A Atalanta 1–2 xG 0.68–1.0 ITA SA
  • D H Roma 2–2 xG 0.78–1.91 ITA SA
  • W A Genoa 3–2 xG 2.26–1.56 ITA SA
  • W H Fiorentina 2–1 xG 2.76–1.14 ITA SA

Torino

WDLLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 5.32–7.37 · xPts 5.55

  • W H Lazio 2–0 xG 1.2–1.29 ITA SA
  • L A Genoa 0–3 xG 0.53–1.56 ITA SA
  • L H Bologna 1–2 xG 0.63–2.18 ITA SA
  • D A Fiorentina 2–2 xG 1.12–1.58 ITA SA
  • W H Lecce 1–0 xG 1.84–0.76 ITA SA

All meetings · 32 matches since 2007

Napoli 197 draws6 Torino

Goals 56–30 · 2.69 per match · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Napoli 71 draws2 Torino

Goals 15–7 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Napoli 31 draws1 Torino

Goals 6–3 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • W Napoli 2–1 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Torino 1–0 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Napoli 2–0 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Torino 0–1 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Napoli 1–1 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Torino 3–0 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Torino 0–4 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Napoli 3–1 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Torino 0–1 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Napoli 1–0 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricNapoli all · 38Napoli at home · 19Torino all · 38Torino away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game2.002.261.180.89
W / D / L23 / 7 / 813 / 4 / 212 / 9 / 174 / 5 / 10
Goals for / match1.531.741.160.89
Goals against / match0.950.951.661.79
Clean sheets40%37%32%37%
Failed to score21%16%29%42%
Both teams scored47%58%50%37%
Over 2.553%63%63%58%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.471.451.221.07
xG against / match1.061.131.481.37
xG difference0.400.32-0.26-0.31
Finishing vs xG0.060.29-0.06-0.17
xPts / match1.631.601.221.19
Points vs xPts0.370.66-0.04-0.29
Game state
Scored first55%58%40%37%
PPG when scoring first2.863.002.132.00
PPG when conceding first0.931.330.470.00
Came back from behind47%67%29%17%
Leads held96%100%71%57%
Minutes leading40%40%19%10%
Minutes level40%43%46%49%
Minutes trailing20%18%35%40%
First goal (min)31354448
First goal conceded (min)37372926
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half47%54%61%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%56%51%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.320.320.37
Late goals against0.180.160.210.21
Style
Possession59%59%44%43%
Shots13.213.811.811.1
On target4.75.24.03.7
Shot conversion12%12%10%8%
Shots inside box64%66%62%59%
Big chances created2.01.92.01.6
Corners5.56.33.83.4
xG from set plays29%25%30%31%
Goals from headers17%12%23%24%
Pressure index20.422.09.17.4
Dominant minutes63.664.636.432.3
Pass accuracy87%87%79%80%
Fouls11.211.113.914.3
Cards1.371.001.922.05

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Napoli

0–15'118
16–30'93
31–45'114
46–60'118
61–75'66
76–90'107

Torino

0–15'45
16–30'713
31–45'613
46–60'812
61–75'712
76–90'128

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Napoli · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.82

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.015
Early press (0-15, level)-0.105
Late push (76+, level)+0.352
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.443

Game state

When ahead+0.473
When level-0.055
When behind-0.253
10 min after conceding-0.473
10 min after scoring+0.824

Situations

At home+0.023
Away-0.062
4+ days rest-0.015

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.322
As favourite+0.442
As underdog-0.432

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.305
Conceded when ahead+0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.115

Ahead vs level +0.52 · Behind vs level -0.20

Torino · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.68

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.024
Early press (0-15, level)-0.184
Late push (76+, level)+0.302
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.093

Game state

When level+0.044
When behind-0.154
10 min after conceding-0.384
10 min after scoring+0.683

Situations

At home-0.192
Away+0.142
4+ days rest-0.024

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.192
v mid-tier opponents+0.142
As underdog-0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.364
Conceded late (76+)+0.244

Ahead vs level +0.29 · Behind vs level -0.19

Napoli

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-121 55%1.861.521.11.391.03
4-1-4-18 21%2.251.881.02.011.36
3-4-36 16%2.51.670.51.410.74
4-3-33 8%1.330.330.670.641.14

Torino

Current: winless 1 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-216 42%1.01.381.881.281.51
3-4-1-29 24%1.891.560.891.261.18
3-4-2-14 10%1.01.252.01.71.47
5-3-22 5%2.00.50.01.191.3
3-4-32 5%1.51.01.00.851.42

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.55Home 61% P 61%3.9Draw 24% P 25%6.5Away 15% P 14%

Double Chance

1.11Napoli or Draw 26% P 43%1.1Napoli or Tie 26% P 38%1.25Napoli or Torino 23% P 38%2.5Tie or Torino 12% P 38%2.37Draw or Torino 12% P 19%

Draw No Bet

1.161 81%5.02 19%

Both Teams To Score

2.2Yes 42% P 43%1.61No 58% P 57%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 45%1.72Under 55% P 55%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 48%1.83Under 50% P 52%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 60–62.5% · away 12.5–15% · 241 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home61%61%62%+0.4
Draw25%24%24%-0.3
Away14%14%14%-0.1

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 48%

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes43%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,474 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%44%43%-1.2

Michael Fabbri

Career
176 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
4.58 (4.35 yellow · 0.11 red)
Fouls / match
24.3 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.27
Cards to home side
50%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 70 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.574.48+0.1256
Fouls / match24.125.1-0.67
Fouls per card5.35.6-0.56 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.20.31-1.0010
Time added6.56.4+0.1749
First card
33' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.19

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-28 30 211 9'5
2026-02-13 41 231 16'5
2026-01-19 80 231 21'7
2026-01-14 · Napoli 40 230 57'7
2026-01-03 30 310 19'13
2025-12-28 10 201 43'5
2025-12-07 61 310 20'8
2025-11-29 40 280 27'6
2025-11-01 40 250 64'5
2025-10-20 60 290 6'4