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Serie A · Matchweek 29

Momentum

InterAtalanta
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
29

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
Capacity
75,817
Surface
grass
Attendance
74,364

Teams

Coaches
Cristian Chivu · Raffaele Palladino
Position
1 · 7
Formation
3-5-2 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Gianluca Manganiello

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
9.7° (feels 8.1°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
91%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Inter

LWLWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6 · xG 10.49–3.7 · xPts 11.0

  • L A AC Milan 0–1 xG 1.18–0.92 ITA SA
  • W H Genoa 2–0 xG 1.76–0.23 ITA SA
  • L H Bodø / Glimt 1–2 xG 2.81–1.31 UEFA CL
  • W A Lecce 2–0 xG 2.8–0.12 ITA SA
  • L A Bodø / Glimt 1–3 xG 1.95–1.12 UEFA CL

Atalanta

WWLDL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 12 · xG 11.19–7.45 · xPts 9.36

  • L H FC Bayern München 1–6 xG 2.25–3.81 UEFA CL
  • D H Udinese 2–2 xG 2.28–0.65 ITA SA
  • L A Sassuolo 1–2 xG 2.95–1.22 ITA SA
  • W H Borussia Dortmund 4–1 xG 2.71–1.09 UEFA CL
  • W H Napoli 2–1 xG 1.0–0.68 ITA SA

All meetings · 38 matches since 2006

Inter 1913 draws6 Atalanta

Goals 70–41 · 2.92 per match · BTTS 63% · over 2.5 47%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Inter 73 draws0 Atalanta

Goals 22–8 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Inter 41 draws0 Atalanta

Goals 12–1 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Inter 1–1 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Atalanta 0–1 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Atalanta 0–2 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Inter 4–0 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Inter 4–0 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Atalanta 1–2 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Inter 3–2 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Atalanta 2–3 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Atalanta 0–0 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Inter 2–2 Atalanta neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricInter all · 38Inter at home · 19Atalanta all · 38Atalanta away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game2.292.371.551.37
W / D / L27 / 6 / 514 / 3 / 215 / 14 / 96 / 8 / 5
Goals for / match2.342.631.341.37
Goals against / match0.920.840.951.11
Clean sheets47%42%34%32%
Failed to score5%5%21%10%
Both teams scored47%53%53%63%
Over 2.555%63%37%37%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.942.241.711.46
xG against / match0.900.771.181.42
xG difference1.041.470.530.04
Finishing vs xG0.400.39-0.36-0.10
xPts / match2.002.221.711.44
Points vs xPts0.290.15-0.16-0.07
Game state
Scored first84%90%50%53%
PPG when scoring first2.532.472.472.20
PPG when conceding first1.001.500.560.38
Came back from behind38%33%44%38%
Leads held77%78%75%60%
Minutes leading52%53%28%22%
Minutes level39%40%51%52%
Minutes trailing10%7%21%26%
First goal (min)29294657
First goal conceded (min)50564849
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half58%62%53%54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half54%56%50%43%
Late goals for (76'+)0.550.630.340.42
Late goals against0.320.370.240.32
Style
Possession60%60%55%54%
Shots17.118.214.812.5
On target6.06.84.64.2
Shot conversion14%14%9%11%
Shots inside box72%75%66%66%
Big chances created3.94.72.52.2
Corners6.37.45.74.5
xG from set plays28%30%25%21%
Goals from headers23%18%14%4%
Pressure index23.024.915.912.7
Dominant minutes66.170.355.449.1
Pass accuracy87%88%84%83%
Fouls13.113.211.812.3
Cards1.681.371.682.11

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Inter

0–15'122
16–30'115
31–45'149
46–60'153
61–75'164
76–90'2112

Atalanta

0–15'83
16–30'58
31–45'117
46–60'84
61–75'65
76–90'139

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Inter · 5 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.71) · stands out: when behind +1.11

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.715
Early press (0-15, level)+0.205
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.202

Game state

When ahead+0.584
When level+0.455
When behind+1.113
10 min after conceding+0.514
10 min after scoring+0.425

Situations

At home+0.523
Away+0.962
4+ days rest+0.674

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.752
As favourite+0.674

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.365
Conceded when ahead-0.414
Conceded late (76+)-0.414

Congested vs rested +0.20 · Ahead vs level +0.13 · Behind vs level +0.66

Atalanta · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.066
Early press (0-15, level)-0.016
Late push (76+, level)-0.393
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.582

Game state

When ahead-0.174
When level-0.086
When behind+0.312
10 min after conceding-0.463
10 min after scoring+0.205

Situations

At home+0.024
Away-0.212
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.023
As favourite+0.025

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.466
Conceded when ahead+0.404
Conceded late (76+)+0.076

Congested vs rested -0.08 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.39

Inter

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 15 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-238 100%2.292.340.921.940.9

Atalanta

Current: winless 2 · scoring 5 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-134 90%1.651.410.911.711.2
3-4-1-23 8%0.670.671.331.640.91
4-3-31 3%1.01.01.01.921.05

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.5Home 63% P 64%4.5Draw 21% P 22%6.0Away 16% P 14%

Double Chance

1.14Inter Milan or Draw 41% P 42%1.18Inter Milan or Atalanta 39% P 40%2.37Draw or Atalanta 20% P 18%

Draw No Bet

1.21 78%4.332 22%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 56%2.1No 44% P 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.57Over 60% P 60%2.37Under 40% P 40%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

2.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
3.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 62.5–65% · away 12.5–15% · 544 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home64%64%63%-0.9
Draw22%22%24%+2.1
Away14%14%13%-1.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 55%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes56%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,029 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.560%61%63%+1.6

Gianluca Manganiello

Career
121 matches · 14 seasons
Cards / match
3.89 (3.68 yellow · 0.14 red)
Fouls / match
23.9 · 6.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.26
Cards to home side
50%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 55 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.824.48-0.9517
Fouls / match24.125.1-0.64
Fouls per card6.55.6+0.71 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.220.31-0.8520
Time added5.96.4-1.0715
First card
36' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.18

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-21 · Inter 30 180 10'11
2026-02-03 30 241 51'7
2026-01-26 20 190 46'6
2025-11-09 · Inter 40 370 25'6
2025-10-26 50 340 24'8
2025-09-28 10 300 42'9
2025-09-14 · Atalanta 19 5
2025-08-24 50 270 17'6
2025-05-03 · Inter 40 171 23'5
2025-04-27 10 270 55'8