Rating 7.01 (78th pct) · G+A 3 + 0 (7% of team goals) · 62% of minutes
Team 1.42 ppg with (26) · 1.42 without (12)
Serie A · Matchweek 29
Momentum
– LazioAC Milan –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| Lazio | at home | Stat | league | away | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.3 #10 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 51.8 #8 |
| 11.0 #14 | – | Shots total | 12.3 | – | 13.2 #5 |
| 4.1 #8 | – | Shots on target | 4.0 | – | 4.4 #7 |
| 3.7 #17 | – | Corners | 4.4 | – | 4.3 #11 |
| 10.6 #19 | – | Fouls | 12.7 | – | 10.1 #20 |
| 1.0 #20 | – | Offsides | 1.6 | – | 1.9 #3 |
| 12.7 #18 | – | Tackles | 15.2 | – | 14.5 #13 |
| 89.9 #11 | – | Attacks | 92.8 | – | 99.2 #7 |
| 38.3 #11 | – | Dangerous attacks | 42.4 | – | 47.0 #7 |
| 491.9 #6 | – | Passes | 431.5 | – | 483.7 #8 |
| 2.0 #7 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 1.7 #16 |
| 0.2 #1 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.0 #13 |
| 0.7 #12 | – | Assists | 0.8 | – | 1.0 #6 |
| – #20 | – | Btts | 45.3 | – | – #7 |
| – #5 | – | Cleansheet | 32.1 | – | – #5 |
| – #3 | – | Draw | 26.1 | – | – #10 |
| 1.2 #12 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 1.6 #5 |
| -0.1 #10 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.2 #15 |
| – #4 | – | Failed to score | 32.1 | – | – #18 |
| 1.1 #12 | 1.4 | Goals | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.4 #6 |
| 1.1 #13 | 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.9 #16 |
| 0.3 #4 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #13 |
| 8.0 #9 | – | Interceptions | 7.9 | – | 6.6 #19 |
| – #13 | – | Lost | 37.0 | – | – #16 |
| 0.1 #11 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.2 #1 |
| 6.8 #8 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.9 #4 |
| 2.5 #19 | – | Shots blocked | 3.4 | – | 3.3 #10 |
| 6.7 #16 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.9 | – | 9.2 #6 |
| 4.4 #15 | – | Shots off target | 5.0 | – | 5.6 #7 |
| 4.3 #13 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 4.1 #16 |
| – #9 | – | Win | 37.0 | – | – #4 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 380 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.43 (home 1.28 · away 1.15)
- Home / draw / away
- 39% · 26% · 35%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 45% · 46%
- Cards / match
- 4.11 (reds 0.16)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Lazio · 2025/2026 · Serie A
Rating 6.92 (59th pct) · G+A 3 + 3 (15% of team goals) · 58% of minutes
Team 1.5 ppg with (24) · 1.29 without (14)
Rating 6.89 (61th pct) · G+A 4 + 2 (15% of team goals) · 51% of minutes
Team 1.19 ppg with (21) · 1.71 without (17)
AC Milan · 2025/2026 · Serie A
Rating 7.33 (95th pct) · G+A 2 + 3 (9% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Team 1.97 ppg with (32) · 1.17 without (6)
Rating 7.25 (93th pct) · G+A 6 + 4 (19% of team goals) · 75% of minutes
Team 2.0 ppg with (28) · 1.4 without (10)
Rating 7.13 (91th pct) · G+A 3 + 3 (11% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Team 1.73 ppg with (33) · 2.6 without (5)
Absences
Lazio
- injury Ivan Provedel goalkeeper · Shoulder Injury · 13 missed · until 2026-06-30
AC Milan
- suspension Adrien Rabiot #2 key player midfielder · Yellow Card Suspension · 1 missed · until 2026-03-16
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 29
Venue
- Stadium
- Stadio Olimpico, Roma
- Capacity
- 72,698
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 50,000
Teams
- Coaches
- Maurizio Sarri · Massimiliano Allegri
- Position
- 10 · 2
- Formation
- 4-3-3 · 3-5-2
Referee
Marco Guida
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 13.8° (feels 13.3°)
- Wind
- 2.1
- Humidity
- 76%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter |
38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 35 | 54 | 87 | DWWDD |
| 2 |  Napoli |
38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58 | 36 | 22 | 76 | WDLWW |
| 3 |  Roma |
38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 73 | WWWWW |
| 4 |  Como |
38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 29 | 36 | 71 | WDWWW |
| 5 |  AC Milan |
38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 70 | DLLWL |
| 6 |  Juventus |
38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61 | 34 | 27 | 69 | DDWLD |
| 7 |  Atalanta |
38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 59 | LDWLD |
| 8 |  Bologna |
38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 56 | LDWWD |
| 9 |  Lazio |
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 54 | DWLLW |
| 10 |  Udinese |
38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 50 | DWWLL |
| 11 |  Sassuolo |
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 49 | DWLLL |
| 12 |  Torino |
38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44 | 63 | -19 | 45 | DLWLD |
| 13 |  Parma |
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 45 | WLLLW |
| 14 |  Cagliari |
38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 43 | WDLWW |
| 15 |  Fiorentina |
38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 42 | DLDWD |
| 16 |  Genoa |
38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 41 | LDDLL |
| 17 |  Lecce |
38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28 | 50 | -22 | 38 | DWLWW |
| 18 |  Cremonese |
38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32 | 57 | -25 | 34 | LLWWL |
| 19 |  Hellas Verona |
38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25 | 61 | -36 | 21 | DDLDL |
| 20 |  Pisa |
38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26 | 71 | -45 | 18 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 50 | 16 | 34 | 45 | DWWDD |
| 2 | Napoli |
19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 43 | WDLWW |
| 3 | Roma |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 42 | WWWWW |
| 4 | Juventus |
19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 37 | DDWLD |
| 5 | Como |
19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 36 | WDWWW |
| 6 | Atalanta |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 33 | LDWLD |
| 7 | AC Milan |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 32 | DLLWL |
| 8 | Lazio |
19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 30 | DWLLW |
| 9 | Sassuolo |
19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 29 | DWLLL |
| 10 | Torino |
19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 28 | DLWLD |
| 11 | Cagliari |
19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 25 | WDLWW |
| 12 | Udinese |
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 23 | DWWLL |
| 13 | Genoa |
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 22 | LDDLL |
| 14 | Bologna |
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 22 | LDWWD |
| 15 | Fiorentina |
19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 21 | DLDWD |
| 16 | Parma |
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 21 | WLLLW |
| 17 | Lecce |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 20 | DWLWW |
| 18 | Cremonese |
19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 | LLWWL |
| 19 | Pisa |
19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 10 | LLLLL |
| 20 | Hellas Verona |
19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 | DDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 42 | DWWDD |
| 2 | AC Milan |
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 38 | DLLWL |
| 3 | Como |
19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 14 | 16 | 35 | WDWWW |
| 4 | Bologna |
19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 34 | LDWWD |
| 5 | Napoli |
19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 33 | WDLWW |
| 6 | Juventus |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 32 | DDWLD |
| 7 | Roma |
19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 31 | WWWWW |
| 8 | Udinese |
19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 27 | DWWLL |
| 9 | Atalanta |
19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 26 | LDWLD |
| 10 | Lazio |
19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 24 | DWLLW |
| 11 | Parma |
19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 24 | WLLLW |
| 12 | Fiorentina |
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 21 | DLDWD |
| 13 | Sassuolo |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 20 | DWLLL |
| 14 | Genoa |
19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 19 | LDDLL |
| 15 | Lecce |
19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 18 | DWLWW |
| 16 | Cagliari |
19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 18 | WDLWW |
| 17 | Cremonese |
19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 28 | -14 | 18 | LLWWL |
| 18 | Torino |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 17 | DLWLD |
| 19 | Hellas Verona |
19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 13 | DDLDL |
| 20 | Pisa |
19 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 45 | -28 | 8 | LLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Lazio
DLDLW 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 7 · xG 6.96–7.55 · xPts 6.79
- W
H
Sassuolo
2–1
xG 1.89–0.94
ITA SA
- L
A
Torino
0–2
xG 1.29–1.2
ITA SA
- D
A
Cagliari
0–0
xG 0.86–0.71
ITA SA
- L
H
Atalanta
0–2
xG 1.57–1.63
ITA SA
- D
A
Juventus
2–2
xG 1.34–3.07
ITA SA
DWLDWDLDLW 3W 4D 3L · 13 pts (1.3 ppg) · GF 10 GA 14 · xG 14.02–14.93 · xPts 13.54
- W
H
Sassuolo
2–1
xG 1.89–0.94
ITA SA
- L
A
Torino
0–2
xG 1.29–1.2
ITA SA
- D
A
Cagliari
0–0
xG 0.86–0.71
ITA SA
- L
H
Atalanta
0–2
xG 1.57–1.63
ITA SA
- D
A
Juventus
2–2
xG 1.34–3.07
ITA SA
- W
H
Genoa
3–2
xG 2.43–1.95
ITA SA
- D
A
Lecce
0–0
xG 0.6–0.88
ITA SA
- L
H
Como
0–3
xG 0.35–2.5
ITA SA
- W
A
Hellas Verona
1–0
xG 1.11–0.64
ITA SA
- D
H
Fiorentina
2–2
xG 2.58–1.41
ITA SA
AC Milan
WDLWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 3 · xG 7.94–4.61 · xPts 8.88
- W
H
Inter
1–0
xG 0.92–1.18
ITA SA
- W
A
Cremonese
2–0
xG 2.5–1.09
ITA SA
- L
H
Parma
0–1
xG 1.93–0.84
ITA SA
- D
H
Como
1–1
xG 0.68–1.04
ITA SA
- W
A
Pisa
2–1
xG 1.91–0.46
ITA SA
DWWDWWDLWW 6W 3D 1L · 21 pts (2.1 ppg) · GF 15 GA 6 · xG 16.18–12.06 · xPts 16.16
- W
H
Inter
1–0
xG 0.92–1.18
ITA SA
- W
A
Cremonese
2–0
xG 2.5–1.09
ITA SA
- L
H
Parma
0–1
xG 1.93–0.84
ITA SA
- D
H
Como
1–1
xG 0.68–1.04
ITA SA
- W
A
Pisa
2–1
xG 1.91–0.46
ITA SA
- W
A
Bologna
3–0
xG 2.17–0.69
ITA SA
- D
A
Roma
1–1
xG 0.36–2.4
ITA SA
- W
H
Lecce
1–0
xG 3.1–0.31
ITA SA
- W
A
Como
3–1
xG 1.36–1.96
ITA SA
- D
A
Fiorentina
1–1
xG 1.25–2.1
ITA SA
All meetings · 43 matches since 2005
Goals 48–68 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 51%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 12–13 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 50%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 7–6 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- D Lazio 2–2 AC Milan ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Lazio 1–0 AC Milan ITA SA · Regular Season
- L AC Milan 1–0 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
- W AC Milan 1–2 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Lazio 2–2 AC Milan ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Lazio 0–1 AC Milan ITA SA · Regular Season
- L AC Milan 2–0 Lazio neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
- L AC Milan 2–0 Lazio neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Lazio 4–0 AC Milan neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Lazio 1–2 AC Milan neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
| Metric | Lazio all · 38 | Lazio at home · 19 | AC Milan all · 38 | AC Milan away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 38 | 19 | 38 | 19 |
| Points per game | 1.42 | 1.58 | 1.84 | 2.00 |
| W / D / L | 14 / 12 / 12 | 8 / 6 / 5 | 20 / 10 / 8 | 11 / 5 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 1.08 | 1.42 | 1.39 | 1.47 |
| Goals against / match | 1.05 | 1.32 | 0.92 | 0.74 |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 32% | 40% | 42% |
| Failed to score | 45% | 32% | 18% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 29% | 42% | 47% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 | 32% | 47% | 45% | 37% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.17 | 1.31 | 1.59 | 1.34 |
| xG against / match | 1.36 | 1.42 | 1.24 | 1.24 |
| xG difference | -0.19 | -0.12 | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.09 | 0.12 | -0.20 | 0.13 |
| xPts / match | 1.23 | 1.28 | 1.59 | 1.46 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.19 | 0.30 | 0.25 | 0.54 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 42% | 47% | 58% | 63% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.50 | 2.56 | 2.50 | 2.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.53 | 0.67 | 0.93 | 1.17 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Leads held | 70% | 67% | 77% | 79% |
| Minutes leading | 21% | 28% | 28% | 29% |
| Minutes level | 54% | 45% | 53% | 55% |
| Minutes trailing | 25% | 27% | 19% | 16% |
| First goal (min) | 42 | 36 | 46 | 46 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 35 | 28 | 42 | 46 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 61% | 56% | 62% | 64% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 52% | 44% | 51% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.39 | 0.53 | 0.37 | 0.42 |
| Late goals against | 0.18 | 0.26 | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 50% | 52% | 50% |
| Shots | 11.0 | 12.2 | 13.2 | 10.4 |
| On target | 4.1 | 4.7 | 4.4 | 3.8 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 12% | 10% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 61% | 61% | 69% | 71% |
| Big chances created | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 2.6 |
| Corners | 3.7 | 4.6 | 4.3 | 3.6 |
| xG from set plays | 30% | 30% | 29% | 32% |
| Goals from headers | 7% | 11% | 13% | 11% |
| Pressure index | 12.2 | 14.6 | 15.2 | 11.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 45.0 | 49.0 | 51.1 | 46.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 86% | 87% | 86% |
| Fouls | 10.6 | 10.9 | 10.1 | 10.0 |
| Cards | 2.29 | 2.47 | 1.82 | 1.68 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Lazio
0–15'65
16–30'47
31–45'67
46–60'67
61–75'47
76–90'157
AC Milan
0–15'55
16–30'37
31–45'125
46–60'136
61–75'66
76–90'146
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Lazio · 4 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.62
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.034
Early press (0-15, level)+0.254
Late push (76+, level)-0.102
Game state
When ahead+0.134
When level-0.104
10 min after conceding-0.612
10 min after scoring+0.624
Situations
At home-0.172
Away+0.232
4+ days rest+0.034
Opposition
Evenly matched+0.173
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.004
Conceded when ahead-0.064
Conceded late (76+)-0.244
Ahead vs level +0.23 · Behind vs level +0.30
AC Milan · 5 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.45) · stands out: as favourite +0.69
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.455
Early press (0-15, level)+0.485
Late push (76+, level)+0.022
Game state
When ahead-0.083
When level+0.495
When behind+0.712
10 min after conceding+0.404
10 min after scoring+0.564
Situations
At home+0.472
Away+0.443
4+ days rest+0.455
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.102
As favourite+0.693
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.175
Conceded when ahead+0.003
Conceded late (76+)-0.055
Ahead vs level -0.56 · Behind vs level +0.22
Lazio
Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 36 95% | 1.39 | 0.97 | 1.03 | 1.12 | 1.37 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 5% | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.03 | 1.32 |
AC Milan
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 34 90% | 1.85 | 1.41 | 0.88 | 1.59 | 1.28 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 5% | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.15 | 0.51 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.38 | 1.5 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.66 | 1.14 |
| Metric | Lazio all · 10 | Lazio at home · 10 | AC Milan all · 10 | AC Milan away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.20 | 1.70 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 2 / 2 | 5 / 3 / 2 | 3 / 3 / 4 | 5 / 2 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals against / match | 1.30 | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 20% | 30% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 60% | 50% | 40% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.37 | 1.39 | 1.42 | 1.35 |
| xG against / match | 1.32 | 1.37 | 1.41 | 1.18 |
| xG difference | 0.05 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.17 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.13 | 0.11 | -0.22 | -0.15 |
| xPts / match | 1.40 | 1.38 | 1.36 | 1.45 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.60 | 0.42 | -0.16 | 0.25 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 40% | 50% | 50% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.50 | 2.60 | 2.00 | 2.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.67 | 1.00 | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| Came back from behind | 67% | 60% | 20% | 25% |
| Leads held | 75% | 71% | 60% | 83% |
| Minutes leading | 33% | 33% | 14% | 19% |
| Minutes level | 42% | 40% | 49% | 56% |
| Minutes trailing | 25% | 26% | 37% | 24% |
| First goal (min) | 39 | 35 | 58 | 59 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 33 | 34 | 40 | 57 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 60% | 53% | 92% | 83% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 54% | 53% | 50% | 60% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 46% | 48% | 53% | 53% |
| Shots | 11.7 | 11.9 | 13.0 | 11.0 |
| On target | 4.9 | 4.6 | 4.1 | 3.4 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 13% | 9% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 60% | 65% | 74% |
| Big chances created | 2.3 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| Corners | 4.0 | 3.9 | 3.7 | 3.8 |
| xG from set plays | 20% | 22% | 30% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 13% | 13% | 8% | 8% |
| Pressure index | 11.1 | 12.8 | 14.4 | 12.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 44.7 | 47.8 | 53.8 | 50.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 88% | 87% | 86% |
| Fouls | 13.6 | 11.7 | 11.7 | 11.7 |
| Cards | 2.50 | 1.90 | 2.50 | 2.20 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Lazio
0–15'21
16–30'13
31–45'32
46–60'41
61–75'13
76–90'43
AC Milan
0–15'13
16–30'03
31–45'01
46–60'14
61–75'60
76–90'43
Lazio
Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 10 100% | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.37 | 1.32 |
AC Milan
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 5 50% | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.53 | 1.21 |
| 3-5-2 | 5 50% | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.61 |
| Metric | Lazio all · 39 | Lazio at home · 20 | AC Milan all · 40 | AC Milan away · 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 39 | 20 | 40 | 21 |
| Points per game | 1.56 | 1.55 | 1.80 | 1.90 |
| W / D / L | 16 / 13 / 10 | 8 / 7 / 5 | 20 / 12 / 8 | 11 / 7 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 1.10 | 1.30 | 1.40 | 1.48 |
| Goals against / match | 1.03 | 1.35 | 0.97 | 0.86 |
| Clean sheets | 41% | 30% | 35% | 33% |
| Failed to score | 38% | 30% | 20% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 45% | 50% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 45% | 45% | 43% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.18 | 1.24 | 1.58 | 1.34 |
| xG against / match | 1.37 | 1.41 | 1.30 | 1.29 |
| xG difference | -0.19 | -0.17 | 0.28 | 0.05 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.07 | 0.06 | -0.18 | 0.14 |
| xPts / match | 1.25 | 1.26 | 1.54 | 1.40 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.32 | 0.29 | 0.26 | 0.50 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 46% | 50% | 58% | 62% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.44 | 2.40 | 2.43 | 2.38 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.75 | 0.67 | 0.93 | 1.14 |
| Came back from behind | 41% | 50% | 53% | 57% |
| Leads held | 70% | 62% | 74% | 73% |
| Minutes leading | 23% | 28% | 27% | 27% |
| Minutes level | 54% | 46% | 53% | 55% |
| Minutes trailing | 23% | 26% | 20% | 18% |
| First goal (min) | 44 | 35 | 47 | 48 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 35 | 31 | 44 | 50 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 63% | 54% | 66% | 68% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 52% | 48% | 51% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.38 | 0.45 | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| Late goals against | 0.18 | 0.25 | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 49% | 48% | 53% | 51% |
| Shots | 11.0 | 11.6 | 13.0 | 10.5 |
| On target | 4.2 | 4.5 | 4.3 | 3.8 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 11% | 11% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 60% | 61% | 69% | 72% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 2.4 |
| Corners | 3.8 | 4.3 | 4.1 | 3.5 |
| xG from set plays | 29% | 28% | 29% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 9% | 12% | 9% | 6% |
| Pressure index | 12.1 | 13.6 | 15.8 | 12.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 45.1 | 47.2 | 51.8 | 46.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 86% | 87% | 86% |
| Fouls | 11.1 | 11.6 | 10.1 | 10.2 |
| Cards | 2.28 | 2.50 | 1.85 | 1.86 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Lazio
0–15'55
16–30'57
31–45'67
46–60'77
61–75'57
76–90'157
AC Milan
0–15'56
16–30'37
31–45'116
46–60'137
61–75'105
76–90'148
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Lazio · 39 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.08) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.74
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0839
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3239
Late push (76+, level)-0.0819
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1413
Game state
When ahead+0.0523
When level+0.1839
When behind-0.1317
10 min after conceding-0.3423
10 min after scoring+0.3724
Situations
With ten men+0.066
Against ten men+0.413
At home+0.0720
Away+0.1019
4+ days rest+0.0638
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.3112
v mid-tier opponents+0.158
v bottom-tier opponents+0.745
As favourite+0.3311
Evenly matched+0.1716
As underdog-0.2712
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0739
Conceded when ahead+0.0523
Conceded late (76+)-0.1637
Congested vs rested +0.75 · Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level -0.32
AC Milan · 40 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.24) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.92
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2440
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0540
Late push (76+, level)+0.0719
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.6410
Game state
When ahead+0.0927
When level+0.1740
When behind+0.6117
10 min after conceding+0.0726
10 min after scoring+0.6432
Situations
With ten men-0.035
Against ten men-0.782
At home+0.3119
Away+0.1721
3 days rest or fewer+0.722
4+ days rest+0.2138
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1412
v mid-tier opponents+0.2510
v bottom-tier opponents+0.924
As favourite+0.4725
Evenly matched-0.1313
As underdog-0.322
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0540
Conceded when ahead+0.0927
Conceded late (76+)-0.0636
Congested vs rested +0.52 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.43
Lazio
Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 37 95% | 1.54 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.13 | 1.37 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 5% | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.03 | 1.32 |
AC Milan
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 33 82% | 1.91 | 1.42 | 0.85 | 1.56 | 1.31 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 5 12% | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.53 | 1.21 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.66 | 1.14 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.38 | 1.5 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
4.33Home 22% P 21%3.5Draw 27% P 27%1.85Away 51% P 52%
Double Chance
1.9Lazio or Draw 25% P 24%1.28Lazio or AC Milan 37% P 36%1.22Draw or AC Milan 39% P 40%
Draw No Bet
3.01 31%1.362 69%
Both Teams To Score
1.95Yes 48% P 50%1.8No 52% P 50%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.1Over 45% P 46%1.72Under 55% P 54%
Total Corners
7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 33%5.512 - 14 16%15.0Over 14 6%
Number of Cards
4.52.2Over 42% P 42%1.61Under 58% P 58%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 20–22.5% · away 50–52.5% · 274 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 21% | 22% | 15% | -7.0 |
| Draw | 27% | 27% | 27% | +0.4 |
| Away | 52% | 51% | 58% | +6.6 |
In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 51%
Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50% | 49% | 49% | +0.0 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 46% | 45% | -1.2 |
Marco Guida
- Career
- 277 matches · 18 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.94 (4.73 yellow · 0.14 red)
- Fouls / match
- 23.6 · 4.1 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.37
- Cards to home side
- 47%
Style in Serie A (5-year window · 60 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.38 | 4.49 | -0.16 | 42 |
| Fouls / match | 24.5 | 25.2 | -0.37 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.6 | 5.6 | -0.24 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.4 | 0.31 | +0.62 | 71 |
| Time added | 6.0 | 6.4 | -0.86 | 17 |
- First card
- 33' on average
- Card timing
- 20% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 50% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.13
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 34' | 9 |
| 2026-02-26 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 40' | 7 |
| 2026-02-22 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 45' | 5 |
| 2026-02-08 · Lazio | 2 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 33' | 8 |
| 2026-01-28 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 22' | 6 |
| 2026-01-24 | 5 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 56' | 8 |
| 2026-01-15 · AC Milan | 1 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 90' | 7 |
| 2026-01-11 · Lazio | 3 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 6' | 6 |
| 2026-01-04 | 6 | 0 | 41 | 0 | 29' | 6 |
| 2025-12-27 | 4 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 20' | 6 |