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Serie A · Matchweek 29

Momentum

NapoliLecce
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
29

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Napoli
Capacity
54,726
Surface
grass
Attendance
50,000

Teams

Coaches
Antonio Conte · Eusebio Di Francesco
Position
3 · 16
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Rosario Abisso

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
12.8° (feels 11.2°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
37%

Where to watch · 286

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Napoli

WDLWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 10 GA 8 · xG 6.04–5.51 · xPts 7.22

  • W H Torino 2–1 xG 1.53–0.61 ITA SA
  • W A Hellas Verona 2–1 xG 0.8–0.44 ITA SA
  • L A Atalanta 1–2 xG 0.68–1.0 ITA SA
  • D H Roma 2–2 xG 0.78–1.91 ITA SA
  • W A Genoa 3–2 xG 2.26–1.56 ITA SA

Lecce

WWLLW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 7 · xG 5.47–8.85 · xPts 5.44

  • W H Cremonese 2–1 xG 1.78–1.11 ITA SA
  • L A Como 1–3 xG 0.21–2.43 ITA SA
  • L H Inter 0–2 xG 0.12–2.8 ITA SA
  • W A Cagliari 2–0 xG 1.66–1.56 ITA SA
  • W H Udinese 2–1 xG 1.71–0.95 ITA SA

All meetings · 16 matches since 2008

Napoli 113 draws2 Lecce

Goals 30–12 · 2.62 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Napoli 72 draws1 Lecce

Goals 18–7 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Napoli 41 draws0 Lecce

Goals 5–1 · 1.2 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • W Napoli 2–1 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Lecce 0–1 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Lecce 0–1 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Napoli 1–0 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Napoli 0–0 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Lecce 0–4 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Lecce 1–2 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Napoli 1–1 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Napoli 2–3 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Lecce 1–4 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricNapoli all · 38Napoli at home · 19Lecce all · 38Lecce away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game2.002.261.000.95
W / D / L23 / 7 / 813 / 4 / 210 / 8 / 205 / 3 / 11
Goals for / match1.531.740.740.79
Goals against / match0.950.951.321.37
Clean sheets40%37%26%26%
Failed to score21%16%50%47%
Both teams scored47%58%37%37%
Over 2.553%63%37%32%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.471.450.890.71
xG against / match1.061.131.531.68
xG difference0.400.32-0.64-0.97
Finishing vs xG0.060.29-0.150.08
xPts / match1.631.601.010.81
Points vs xPts0.370.66-0.010.14
Game state
Scored first55%58%42%42%
PPG when scoring first2.863.002.002.00
PPG when conceding first0.931.330.060.00
Came back from behind47%67%9%0%
Leads held96%100%62%62%
Minutes leading40%40%20%17%
Minutes level40%43%53%55%
Minutes trailing20%18%28%28%
First goal (min)31353239
First goal conceded (min)37374242
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half47%54%43%53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%56%64%62%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.320.160.21
Late goals against0.180.160.240.37
Style
Possession59%59%42%39%
Shots13.213.89.89.0
On target4.75.22.62.3
Shot conversion12%12%8%9%
Shots inside box64%66%58%54%
Big chances created2.01.91.31.2
Corners5.56.34.34.4
xG from set plays29%25%33%25%
Goals from headers17%12%29%27%
Pressure index20.422.07.25.7
Dominant minutes63.664.634.328.1
Pass accuracy87%87%74%73%
Fouls11.211.112.613.3
Cards1.371.001.871.84

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Napoli

0–15'118
16–30'93
31–45'114
46–60'118
61–75'66
76–90'107

Lecce

0–15'82
16–30'510
31–45'36
46–60'29
61–75'414
76–90'69

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Napoli · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.82

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.015
Early press (0-15, level)-0.105
Late push (76+, level)+0.352
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.433

Game state

When ahead+0.473
When level-0.055
When behind-0.253
10 min after conceding-0.473
10 min after scoring+0.824

Situations

At home+0.023
Away-0.062
4+ days rest-0.015

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.322
As favourite+0.442
As underdog-0.432

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.305
Conceded when ahead+0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.115

Ahead vs level +0.52 · Behind vs level -0.20

Lecce · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.31) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.43

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.314
Early press (0-15, level)-0.434

Game state

When ahead-0.342
When level-0.294
When behind-0.272
10 min after conceding-0.233
10 min after scoring-0.202

Situations

At home-0.372
Away-0.272
4+ days rest-0.314

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.382
As underdog-0.233

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.804
Conceded when ahead+0.912
Conceded late (76+)+0.563

Ahead vs level -0.05 · Behind vs level +0.02

Napoli

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-121 55%1.861.521.11.391.03
4-1-4-18 21%2.251.881.02.011.36
3-4-36 16%2.51.670.51.410.74
4-3-33 8%1.330.330.670.641.14

Lecce

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-122 58%1.140.821.230.971.44
4-3-313 34%0.770.621.310.731.65
4-1-4-12 5%1.50.51.51.421.31
3-5-1-11 3%0.01.03.00.212.43

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.44Home 66% P 68%4.33Draw 22% P 22%7.5Away 13% P 11%

Double Chance

1.08Napoli or Draw 44% P 44%1.2Napoli or Lecce 39% P 39%2.75Draw or Lecce 17% P 16%

Draw No Bet

1.141 83%5.52 17%

Both Teams To Score

2.62Yes 35% P 38%1.44No 65% P 62%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 45%1.66Under 57% P 55%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.52.0Over 46% P 43%1.72Under 54% P 57%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 67.5–70% · away 10–12.5% · 543 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home68%69%72%+3.5
Draw22%20%18%-1.5
Away11%11%9%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 37.5–40% · 337 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes38%39%41%+2.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%44%43%-1.2

Rosario Abisso

Career
124 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
4.81 (4.54 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
25.5 · 5.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.42
Cards to home side
50%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 52 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.794.49+0.4363
Fouls / match24.925.2-0.14
Fouls per card5.25.6-0.64 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.40.31+0.6576
Time added5.16.4-2.710
First card
33' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
53% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.22

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-01 50 180 45'7
2026-01-10 61 170 40'8
2026-01-02 30 180 83'5
2025-12-21 31 300 3'7
2025-11-08 · Lecce 50 280 31'8
2025-10-29 40 290 38'11
2025-10-05 11 280 36'2
2025-08-31 40 340 19'5
2025-05-18 40 230 22'6
2025-04-28 41 230 40'7