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Serie A · Matchweek 29

Momentum

TorinoParma
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
29

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Torino
Capacity
28,177
Surface
grass
Attendance
4,800

Teams

Coaches
Roberto D'Aversa · Carlos Antón Cuesta
Position
15 · 12
Formation
3-4-1-2 · 3-1-4-2

Referee

Fabio Maresca

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
11.8° (feels 10.9°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
68%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Torino

DLLWL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 9 · xG 4.09–8.14 · xPts 4.13

  • L A Napoli 1–2 xG 0.61–1.53 ITA SA
  • W H Lazio 2–0 xG 1.2–1.29 ITA SA
  • L A Genoa 0–3 xG 0.53–1.56 ITA SA
  • L H Bologna 1–2 xG 0.63–2.18 ITA SA
  • D A Fiorentina 2–2 xG 1.12–1.58 ITA SA

Parma

WWWDD 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 2 · xG 4.06–6.24 · xPts 5.28

  • D A Fiorentina 0–0 xG 0.37–1.5 ITA SA
  • D H Cagliari 1–1 xG 1.06–0.52 ITA SA
  • W A AC Milan 1–0 xG 0.84–1.93 ITA SA
  • W H Hellas Verona 2–1 xG 1.6–0.86 ITA SA
  • W A Bologna 1–0 xG 0.19–1.44 ITA SA

All meetings · 20 matches since 2006

Torino 57 draws8 Parma

Goals 27–30 · 2.85 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Torino 34 draws3 Parma

Goals 15–11 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Torino 22 draws1 Parma

Goals 8–5 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Torino 4–1 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Parma 2–1 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Parma 2–2 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Torino 0–0 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Torino 1–0 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Parma 0–3 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Torino 1–1 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Parma 3–2 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Parma 0–0 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Torino 1–2 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricTorino all · 38Torino at home · 19Parma all · 38Parma away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.181.471.181.26
W / D / L12 / 9 / 178 / 4 / 711 / 12 / 156 / 6 / 7
Goals for / match1.161.420.740.63
Goals against / match1.661.531.211.11
Clean sheets32%26%34%42%
Failed to score29%16%42%47%
Both teams scored50%63%40%32%
Over 2.563%68%29%26%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.221.380.890.86
xG against / match1.481.601.561.59
xG difference-0.26-0.22-0.66-0.72
Finishing vs xG-0.060.05-0.15-0.23
xPts / match1.221.261.010.96
Points vs xPts-0.040.220.170.31
Game state
Scored first40%42%34%32%
PPG when scoring first2.132.252.462.67
PPG when conceding first0.470.900.370.44
Came back from behind29%42%25%22%
Leads held71%80%73%86%
Minutes leading19%28%13%14%
Minutes level46%43%63%63%
Minutes trailing35%29%24%23%
First goal (min)44414849
First goal conceded (min)29314139
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%56%64%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half51%52%63%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.320.260.260.21
Late goals against0.210.210.340.37
Style
Possession44%45%44%42%
Shots11.812.510.79.0
On target4.04.32.72.5
Shot conversion10%11%7%7%
Shots inside box62%65%56%56%
Big chances created2.02.51.61.7
Corners3.84.33.83.5
xG from set plays30%30%40%43%
Goals from headers23%22%36%42%
Pressure index9.110.79.17.5
Dominant minutes36.440.337.832.6
Pass accuracy79%79%80%80%
Fouls13.913.610.810.8
Cards1.921.791.971.84

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Torino

0–15'45
16–30'713
31–45'613
46–60'812
61–75'712
76–90'128

Parma

0–15'47
16–30'34
31–45'36
46–60'48
61–75'48
76–90'1013

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Torino · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.68

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.024
Early press (0-15, level)-0.184
Late push (76+, level)+0.302
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.093

Game state

When level+0.044
When behind-0.154
10 min after conceding-0.384
10 min after scoring+0.683

Situations

At home-0.192
Away+0.142
4+ days rest-0.024

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.192
v mid-tier opponents+0.142
As underdog-0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.374
Conceded late (76+)+0.244

Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.20

Parma · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.20) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.204
Early press (0-15, level)+0.534
Late push (76+, level)-0.722
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.523

Game state

When level-0.214
When behind-0.194
10 min after conceding-0.494
10 min after scoring-0.162

Situations

At home-0.242
Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.204

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.172
Evenly matched-0.242
As underdog-0.172

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.404
Conceded late (76+)+0.484

Behind vs level +0.02

Torino

Current: winless 1 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-216 42%1.01.381.881.281.51
3-4-1-29 24%1.891.560.891.261.18
3-4-2-14 10%1.01.252.01.71.47
5-3-22 5%2.00.50.01.191.3
4-3-32 5%0.50.02.50.941.71

Parma

Current: winless 4 · scoring 2 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-219 50%1.320.740.890.841.35
4-3-36 16%1.830.830.671.011.5
3-4-2-14 10%1.00.51.751.062.38
3-1-4-23 8%0.670.671.670.751.27
4-4-22 5%0.00.51.51.241.14

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.7h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.25Home 42% P 42%2.9Draw 32% P 33%3.6Away 26% P 25%

Double Chance

1.28Torino or Draw 37% P 37%1.4Torino or Parma 34% P 34%1.61Draw or Parma 29% P 29%

Draw No Bet

1.51 62%2.52 38%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 47%1.8No 52% P 53%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.37Over 40% P 39%1.57Under 60% P 61%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%15.0Over 14 6%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 25–27.5% · 232 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home42%42%47%+5.0
Draw33%32%29%-2.8
Away25%27%25%-2.2

In those fixtures: 2.3 goals a game · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 41%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes47%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 37.5–40% · 1,310 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.539%39%39%+0.7

Fabio Maresca

Career
165 matches · 14 seasons
Cards / match
5.7 (5.35 yellow · 0.2 red)
Fouls / match
25.0 · 4.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 67 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.394.49+1.2893
Fouls / match25.525.2+0.27
Fouls per card4.75.6-1.10 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.280.31-0.3244
Time added7.26.4+1.6195
First card
31' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.29

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-25 41 310 56'7
2026-01-14 30 250 17'8
2026-01-07 · Torino 30 240 11'6
2025-12-27 50 220 6'6
2025-12-08 10 281 66'7
2025-05-11 40 320 15'8
2025-04-28 50 320 50'6
2025-04-12 81 400 10'4
2025-03-14 50 221 29'7