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Serie A · Matchweek 29

Momentum

UdineseJuventus
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
29

Venue

Stadium
Dacia Arena, Udine
Capacity
25,132
Surface
grass
Attendance
25,022

Teams

Coaches
Kosta Runjaic · Luciano Spalletti
Position
11 · 6
Formation
3-1-4-2 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Maurizio Mariani

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
10.9° (feels 10.2°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
83%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Udinese

LLLWD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 7 · xG 4.68–7.58 · xPts 4.99

  • D A Atalanta 2–2 xG 0.65–2.28 ITA SA
  • W H Fiorentina 3–0 xG 1.61–0.79 ITA SA
  • L A Bologna 0–1 xG 0.74–1.4 ITA SA
  • L H Sassuolo 1–2 xG 0.73–1.4 ITA SA
  • L A Lecce 1–2 xG 0.95–1.71 ITA SA

Juventus

LLWDW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 12 GA 12 · xG 9.76–7.66 · xPts 7.64

  • W H Pisa 4–0 xG 2.76–0.36 ITA SA
  • D A Roma 3–3 xG 1.05–1.76 ITA SA
  • W H Galatasaray 3–2 aet xG 4.46–1.45 UEFA CL
  • L H Como 0–2 xG 0.68–0.99 ITA SA
  • L A Galatasaray 2–5 xG 0.81–3.1 UEFA CL

All meetings · 40 matches since 2005

Udinese 74 draws29 Juventus

Goals 26–75 · 2.53 per match · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 48%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Udinese 11 draws8 Juventus

Goals 4–17 · 2.1 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Udinese 10 draws4 Juventus

Goals 2–8 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • L Udinese 0–1 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Juventus 3–1 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Juventus 2–0 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Udinese 0–2 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Juventus 0–1 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Udinese 0–3 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Udinese 0–1 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Juventus 1–0 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Juventus 2–0 Udinese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Udinese 2–2 Juventus neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricUdinese all · 38Udinese at home · 19Juventus all · 38Juventus away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.321.211.821.68
W / D / L14 / 8 / 166 / 5 / 819 / 12 / 79 / 5 / 5
Goals for / match1.180.951.611.37
Goals against / match1.261.110.890.95
Clean sheets29%32%42%42%
Failed to score29%37%21%21%
Both teams scored45%37%45%42%
Over 2.545%37%40%37%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.151.141.831.59
xG against / match1.461.201.001.08
xG difference-0.32-0.050.830.51
Finishing vs xG0.04-0.19-0.22-0.22
xPts / match1.191.321.831.65
Points vs xPts0.12-0.11-0.020.03
Game state
Scored first45%42%58%63%
PPG when scoring first2.472.382.642.50
PPG when conceding first0.350.300.620.17
Came back from behind27%27%50%17%
Leads held74%67%83%75%
Minutes leading26%23%35%33%
Minutes level47%50%49%48%
Minutes trailing28%26%17%18%
First goal (min)41443537
First goal conceded (min)37424039
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half58%56%61%62%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%67%56%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.210.160.340.21
Late goals against0.290.210.210.32
Style
Possession46%48%58%56%
Shots11.612.816.813.9
On target3.83.96.05.1
Shot conversion10%7%10%10%
Shots inside box60%57%65%66%
Big chances created1.91.82.92.7
Corners4.54.75.44.4
xG from set plays28%33%26%22%
Goals from headers20%29%24%15%
Pressure index9.811.022.519.4
Dominant minutes41.245.464.760.3
Pass accuracy80%82%86%85%
Fouls13.613.712.112.9
Cards1.921.741.451.79

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Udinese

0–15'47
16–30'77
31–45'86
46–60'1010
61–75'87
76–90'811

Juventus

0–15'104
16–30'73
31–45'78
46–60'116
61–75'135
76–90'138

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Udinese · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.21) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.44

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.214
Early press (0-15, level)-0.074
Late push (76+, level)-0.642
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.682

Game state

When ahead+0.004
When level-0.274
When behind-0.612
10 min after conceding-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.204

Situations

At home-0.352
Away-0.062
4+ days rest-0.214

Opposition

Evenly matched-0.002
As underdog-0.442

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.324
Conceded when ahead+0.244
Conceded late (76+)+0.304

Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.34

Juventus · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.27) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.64

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.275
Early press (0-15, level)-0.165
Late push (76+, level)+1.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.212

Game state

When ahead+0.423
When level+0.215
When behind+0.142
10 min after conceding-0.112
10 min after scoring+0.645

Situations

At home+0.173
Away+0.402
4+ days rest+0.275

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.152
As favourite+0.275

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.285
Conceded when ahead-0.343
Conceded late (76+)-0.494

Ahead vs level +0.20 · Behind vs level -0.07

Udinese

Current: winless 2 · scoring 4 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-219 50%1.371.161.161.081.29
3-4-2-19 24%1.221.221.441.081.49
4-4-23 8%1.331.332.01.611.43
3-1-4-22 5%1.51.00.50.822.06
3-4-1-21 3%0.00.01.01.121.36

Juventus

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-124 63%2.041.540.671.690.99
4-2-3-16 16%1.671.830.832.610.73
4-1-4-12 5%2.01.50.52.281.11
3-5-22 5%0.00.51.51.01.33
4-3-32 5%0.01.02.51.21.6

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

6.25Home 15% P 15%4.1Draw 23% P 23%1.53Away 62% P 62%

Double Chance

2.5Udinese or Draw 19% P 19%1.22Udinese or Juventus 39% P 38%1.11Draw or Juventus 42% P 43%

Draw No Bet

4.51 21%1.182 79%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 49%1.8No 52% P 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 51%2.0Under 47% P 49%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 48%1.83Under 50% P 52%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 10–15% · away 60–65% · 334 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home15%14%14%+0.1
Draw23%23%22%-0.9
Away62%63%64%+0.8

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 51%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes49%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

Maurizio Mariani

Career
229 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
4.68 (4.44 yellow · 0.15 red)
Fouls / match
25.6 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 76 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.334.48-0.2237
Fouls / match25.125.1-0.02
Fouls per card5.85.6-0.04 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.260.31-0.4939
Time added6.66.4+0.3758
First card
35' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.16

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-11 20 241 57'18
2026-02-26 10 201 40'11
2026-02-23 60 270 37'11
2026-02-18 50 230 53'11
2026-01-28 40 130 64'8
2026-01-25 · Juventus 30 320 34'4
2026-01-20 30 220 5'6
2026-01-15 30 270 12'10
2026-01-08 50 201 70'6
2025-12-28 40 210 34'7