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Serie A · Matchweek 30

Momentum

AtalantaVER
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
30

Venue

Stadium
Gewiss Stadium, Bergamo
Capacity
23,439
Surface
grass
Attendance
22,087

Teams

Coaches
Raffaele Palladino · Paolo Sammarco
Position
7 · 20
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-5-2

Referee

Giovanni Ayroldi

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
12.1° (feels 10.5°)
Wind
0.6
Humidity
45%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Atalanta

LDLDL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 15 · xG 10.43–10.66 · xPts 7.05

  • L A FC Bayern München 1–4 xG 2.34–3.13 UEFA CL
  • D A Inter 1–1 xG 0.61–1.85 ITA SA
  • L H FC Bayern München 1–6 xG 2.25–3.81 UEFA CL
  • D H Udinese 2–2 xG 2.28–0.65 ITA SA
  • L A Sassuolo 1–2 xG 2.95–1.22 ITA SA

Hellas Verona

LLLWL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 10 · xG 4.21–6.28 · xPts 5.11

  • L H Genoa 0–2 xG 0.37–0.68 ITA SA
  • W A Bologna 2–1 xG 1.81–1.38 ITA SA
  • L H Napoli 1–2 xG 0.44–0.8 ITA SA
  • L A Sassuolo 0–3 xG 0.74–1.82 ITA SA
  • L A Parma 1–2 xG 0.86–1.6 ITA SA

All meetings · 22 matches since 2013

Atalanta 114 draws7 Hellas Verona

Goals 41–23 · 2.91 per match · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 59%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Atalanta 71 draws2 Hellas Verona

Goals 23–10 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Atalanta 31 draws1 Hellas Verona

Goals 15–6 · 4.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Atalanta 1–0 Hellas Verona ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Hellas Verona 3–1 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Hellas Verona 0–5 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Atalanta 6–1 Hellas Verona ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Atalanta 2–2 Hellas Verona ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Hellas Verona 0–1 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Atalanta 3–1 Hellas Verona ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Hellas Verona 0–1 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Atalanta 1–2 Hellas Verona ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Hellas Verona 1–2 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricAtalanta all · 38Atalanta at home · 19Hellas Verona all · 38Hellas Verona away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.551.740.550.68
W / D / L15 / 14 / 99 / 6 / 43 / 12 / 232 / 7 / 10
Goals for / match1.341.320.660.68
Goals against / match0.950.791.611.74
Clean sheets34%37%16%16%
Failed to score21%32%53%47%
Both teams scored53%42%47%53%
Over 2.537%37%50%58%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.711.950.981.08
xG against / match1.180.931.291.53
xG difference0.531.01-0.32-0.44
Finishing vs xG-0.36-0.63-0.32-0.40
xPts / match1.711.991.171.12
Points vs xPts-0.16-0.25-0.62-0.44
Game state
Scored first50%47%18%21%
PPG when scoring first2.472.781.291.25
PPG when conceding first0.560.750.240.42
Came back from behind44%50%15%23%
Leads held75%90%38%40%
Minutes leading28%33%9%10%
Minutes level51%51%58%54%
Minutes trailing21%16%33%36%
First goal (min)46314144
First goal conceded (min)48484035
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half53%52%40%38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%60%61%58%
Late goals for (76'+)0.340.260.050.11
Late goals against0.240.160.500.37
Style
Possession55%56%40%37%
Shots14.817.111.111.3
On target4.65.13.73.5
Shot conversion9%8%6%6%
Shots inside box66%66%56%58%
Big chances created2.53.01.41.6
Corners5.76.83.93.1
xG from set plays25%28%26%30%
Goals from headers14%24%4%0%
Pressure index15.919.27.45.0
Dominant minutes55.461.732.124.2
Pass accuracy84%85%74%73%
Fouls11.811.415.816.6
Cards1.681.262.552.84

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Atalanta

0–15'83
16–30'58
31–45'117
46–60'84
61–75'65
76–90'139

Hellas Verona

0–15'18
16–30'76
31–45'710
46–60'39
61–75'59
76–90'219

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Atalanta · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.066
Early press (0-15, level)-0.016
Late push (76+, level)-0.393
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.582

Game state

When ahead-0.174
When level-0.086
When behind+0.312
10 min after conceding-0.463
10 min after scoring+0.205

Situations

At home+0.024
Away-0.212
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.023
As favourite+0.025

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.466
Conceded when ahead+0.404
Conceded late (76+)+0.076

Congested vs rested -0.08 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.39

Hellas Verona

No pressure profile yet.

Atalanta

Current: winless 2 · scoring 5 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-134 90%1.651.410.911.711.2
3-4-1-23 8%0.670.671.331.640.91
4-3-31 3%1.01.01.01.921.05

Hellas Verona

Current: winless 10 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-226 68%0.50.771.771.031.21
3-4-2-14 10%0.250.251.750.631.06
3-5-1-14 10%0.50.251.250.61.85
3-1-4-22 5%0.50.00.51.371.23
5-3-22 5%2.01.51.01.361.83

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.4Home 68% P 69%4.5Draw 21% P 20%8.5Away 11% P 11%

Double Chance

1.08Atalanta or Draw 44% P 44%1.18Atalanta or Verona 40% P 40%3.0Draw or Verona 16% P 16%

Draw No Bet

1.121 84%6.02 16%

Both Teams To Score

2.05Yes 45% P 43%1.7No 55% P 57%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 51%2.0Under 47% P 49%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 50%1.83Under 50% P 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 67.5–70% · away 10–12.5% · 543 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home69%69%72%+3.5
Draw20%20%18%-1.5
Away11%11%9%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 42.5–45% · 1,287 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes43%44%48%+4.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

Giovanni Ayroldi

Career
60 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
5.85 (5.47 yellow · 0.18 red)
Fouls / match
27.5 · 4.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.27
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 53 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match6.024.49+2.17100
Fouls / match27.525.2+1.59
Fouls per card4.65.6-1.26 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.240.31-0.6329
Time added6.36.4-0.2427
First card
25' on average
Card timing
18% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.08

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-10 50 291 34'9
2025-11-23 40 280 32'6
2025-10-29 50 310 37'6
2025-10-19 40 320 10'9
2025-09-29 60 340 1'6
2025-09-14 50 280 32'12
2025-08-23 41 340 46'7
2025-05-18 30 220 3'7
2025-04-23 42 260 22'12
2025-04-05 70 240 31'9