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Serie A · Matchweek 30

Momentum

CagliariNapoli
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
30

Venue

Stadium
Sardegna Arena, Cagliari
Capacity
16,416
Surface
grass
Attendance
15,620

Teams

Coaches
Fabio Pisacane · Antonio Conte
Position
15 · 3
Formation
3-5-2 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Maurizio Mariani

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
13.4° (feels 12.4°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
58%

Where to watch · 286

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Cagliari

LDDLL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 3 GA 8 · xG 4.72–6.78 · xPts 5.33

  • L A Pisa 1–3 xG 1.25–2.4 ITA SA
  • L H Como 1–2 xG 0.67–0.81 ITA SA
  • D A Parma 1–1 xG 0.52–1.06 ITA SA
  • D H Lazio 0–0 xG 0.71–0.86 ITA SA
  • L H Lecce 0–2 xG 1.56–1.66 ITA SA

Napoli

DLWWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 7 · xG 4.73–4.8 · xPts 6.82

  • W H Lecce 2–1 xG 0.94–0.85 ITA SA
  • W H Torino 2–1 xG 1.53–0.61 ITA SA
  • W A Hellas Verona 2–1 xG 0.8–0.44 ITA SA
  • L A Atalanta 1–2 xG 0.68–1.0 ITA SA
  • D H Roma 2–2 xG 0.78–1.91 ITA SA

All meetings · 34 matches since 2007

Cagliari 49 draws21 Napoli

Goals 29–68 · 2.85 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Cagliari 03 draws7 Napoli

Goals 5–19 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Cagliari 01 draws4 Napoli

Goals 1–9 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • L Cagliari 0–1 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Napoli 1–0 Cagliari ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Napoli 2–0 Cagliari ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Cagliari 0–4 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Cagliari 1–1 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Napoli 2–1 Cagliari ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Cagliari 1–1 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Napoli 2–0 Cagliari ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Napoli 1–1 Cagliari ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Cagliari 1–4 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricCagliari all · 38Cagliari at home · 19Napoli all · 38Napoli away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.131.322.001.74
W / D / L11 / 10 / 177 / 4 / 823 / 7 / 810 / 3 / 6
Goals for / match1.051.161.531.32
Goals against / match1.391.210.950.95
Clean sheets21%32%40%42%
Failed to score37%37%21%26%
Both teams scored50%37%47%37%
Over 2.550%37%53%42%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.020.961.471.48
xG against / match1.401.241.060.99
xG difference-0.38-0.280.400.49
Finishing vs xG0.030.200.06-0.17
xPts / match1.131.191.631.66
Points vs xPts0.000.130.370.08
Game state
Scored first29%32%55%53%
PPG when scoring first2.093.002.862.70
PPG when conceding first0.710.500.930.63
Came back from behind35%33%47%33%
Leads held65%78%96%91%
Minutes leading16%20%40%40%
Minutes level51%52%40%38%
Minutes trailing32%28%20%22%
First goal (min)49523126
First goal conceded (min)37383736
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half60%59%47%36%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%56%58%61%
Late goals for (76'+)0.210.260.260.21
Late goals against0.370.370.180.21
Style
Possession46%45%59%59%
Shots10.910.713.212.6
On target3.53.44.74.2
Shot conversion10%11%12%10%
Shots inside box61%63%64%62%
Big chances created1.91.92.02.0
Corners3.84.25.54.7
xG from set plays37%43%29%33%
Goals from headers30%46%17%24%
Pressure index8.59.320.418.8
Dominant minutes36.840.263.662.6
Pass accuracy80%79%87%86%
Fouls13.813.811.211.3
Cards2.241.891.371.74

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Cagliari

0–15'29
16–30'46
31–45'107
46–60'710
61–75'97
76–90'814

Napoli

0–15'118
16–30'93
31–45'114
46–60'118
61–75'66
76–90'107

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Cagliari · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.61

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.024
Early press (0-15, level)-0.334

Game state

When ahead+0.263
When level-0.024
10 min after conceding-0.552
10 min after scoring+0.613

Situations

At home-0.012
Away-0.032
4+ days rest-0.024

Opposition

As underdog-0.452

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.304
Conceded when ahead-0.083
Conceded late (76+)+0.064

Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.47

Napoli · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.82

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.015
Early press (0-15, level)-0.105
Late push (76+, level)+0.352
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.433

Game state

When ahead+0.473
When level-0.055
When behind-0.253
10 min after conceding-0.473
10 min after scoring+0.824

Situations

At home+0.023
Away-0.062
4+ days rest-0.015

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.322
As favourite+0.442
As underdog-0.432

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.305
Conceded when ahead+0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.115

Ahead vs level +0.52 · Behind vs level -0.20

Cagliari

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-218 47%1.061.171.440.941.45
3-5-1-13 8%2.01.331.00.771.91
4-3-2-13 8%2.332.01.01.271.87
4-5-13 8%0.670.00.670.60.86
4-4-22 5%0.50.51.50.981.63

Napoli

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-121 55%1.861.521.11.391.03
4-1-4-18 21%2.251.881.02.011.36
3-4-36 16%2.51.670.51.410.74
4-3-33 8%1.330.330.670.641.14

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

5.25Home 18% P 16%3.4Draw 28% P 28%1.75Away 54% P 56%

Double Chance

2.0Cagliari or Draw 23% P 22%1.28Cagliari or Napoli 36% P 36%1.16Draw or Napoli 40% P 42%

Draw No Bet

3.751 25%1.252 75%

Both Teams To Score

2.2Yes 42% P 41%1.61No 58% P 59%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.37Over 40% P 38%1.57Under 60% P 62%

Total Corners

6.0Under 6 15%2.66 - 8 34%2.759 - 11 32%6.012 - 14 15%17.0Over 14 5%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51%1.9Under 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 15–20% · away 55–60% · 957 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home16%18%17%-1.4
Draw28%24%22%-1.9
Away56%58%61%+3.3

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 40–42.5% · 664 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes41%41%41%-0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 37.5–40% · 1,310 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.538%39%39%+0.7

Maurizio Mariani

Career
229 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
4.68 (4.44 yellow · 0.15 red)
Fouls / match
25.6 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 76 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.334.49-0.2337
Fouls / match25.125.2-0.03
Fouls per card5.85.6-0.04 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.260.31-0.4939
Time added6.66.4+0.3758
First card
35' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.16

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-14 40 260 32'14
2026-03-11 20 241 57'18
2026-02-26 10 201 40'11
2026-02-23 60 270 37'11
2026-02-18 50 230 53'11
2026-01-28 40 130 64'8
2026-01-25 · Napoli 30 320 34'4
2026-01-20 30 220 5'6
2026-01-15 30 270 12'10
2026-01-08 50 201 70'6