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Serie A · Matchweek 30

Momentum

JuventusSassuolo
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
30

Venue

Stadium
Juventus Stadium, Torino
Capacity
45,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
39,699

Teams

Coaches
Luciano Spalletti · Fabio Grosso
Position
5 · 11
Formation
4-1-4-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

Matteo Marchetti

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
10.0° (feels 8.9°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
70%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Juventus

LWDWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 7 · xG 11.77–5.35 · xPts 9.84

  • W A Udinese 1–0 xG 2.81–0.79 ITA SA
  • W H Pisa 4–0 xG 2.76–0.36 ITA SA
  • D A Roma 3–3 xG 1.05–1.76 ITA SA
  • W H Galatasaray 3–2 aet xG 4.46–1.45 UEFA CL
  • L H Como 0–2 xG 0.68–0.99 ITA SA

Sassuolo

WWWLL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 8 GA 5 · xG 6.02–7.55 · xPts 6.16

  • L H Bologna 0–1 xG 0.64–1.23 ITA SA
  • L A Lazio 1–2 xG 0.94–1.89 ITA SA
  • W H Atalanta 2–1 xG 1.22–2.95 ITA SA
  • W H Hellas Verona 3–0 xG 1.82–0.74 ITA SA
  • W A Udinese 2–1 xG 1.4–0.73 ITA SA

All meetings · 25 matches since 2013

Juventus 164 draws5 Sassuolo

Goals 58–25 · 3.32 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 72%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Juventus 51 draws4 Sassuolo

Goals 20–13 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Juventus 21 draws2 Sassuolo

Goals 11–8 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Sassuolo 3–2 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Juventus 1–1 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Sassuolo 0–3 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Juventus 3–0 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Sassuolo 4–2 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Sassuolo 1–0 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Juventus 3–0 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Sassuolo 1–2 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Juventus 1–2 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Sassuolo 1–3 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricJuventus all · 38Juventus at home · 19Sassuolo all · 38Sassuolo away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.821.951.291.05
W / D / L19 / 12 / 710 / 7 / 214 / 7 / 175 / 5 / 9
Goals for / match1.611.841.211.11
Goals against / match0.890.841.321.26
Clean sheets42%42%21%21%
Failed to score21%21%32%32%
Both teams scored45%47%53%58%
Over 2.540%42%55%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.832.061.151.14
xG against / match1.000.921.441.52
xG difference0.831.14-0.29-0.38
Finishing vs xG-0.22-0.220.06-0.04
xPts / match1.832.011.201.15
Points vs xPts-0.02-0.070.09-0.10
Game state
Scored first58%53%37%32%
PPG when scoring first2.642.802.502.17
PPG when conceding first0.621.000.550.45
Came back from behind50%75%29%31%
Leads held83%91%82%71%
Minutes leading35%36%22%15%
Minutes level49%49%47%55%
Minutes trailing17%15%31%31%
First goal (min)35343850
First goal conceded (min)40403236
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%60%59%76%
Goals conceded in 2nd half56%44%52%58%
Late goals for (76'+)0.340.470.160.11
Late goals against0.210.110.320.37
Style
Possession58%59%46%45%
Shots16.819.710.710.6
On target6.06.83.73.8
Shot conversion10%9%11%10%
Shots inside box65%64%66%66%
Big chances created2.93.22.12.0
Corners5.46.53.83.7
xG from set plays26%29%29%33%
Goals from headers24%30%9%10%
Pressure index22.525.59.07.3
Dominant minutes64.769.138.634.6
Pass accuracy86%87%82%82%
Fouls12.111.412.012.2
Cards1.451.112.372.42

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Juventus

0–15'104
16–30'73
31–45'78
46–60'116
61–75'135
76–90'138

Sassuolo

0–15'811
16–30'49
31–45'74
46–60'118
61–75'106
76–90'612

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Juventus · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.27) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.64

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.275
Early press (0-15, level)-0.165
Late push (76+, level)+1.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.212

Game state

When ahead+0.423
When level+0.215
When behind+0.142
10 min after conceding-0.112
10 min after scoring+0.645

Situations

At home+0.163
Away+0.402
4+ days rest+0.275

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.152
As favourite+0.275

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.285
Conceded when ahead-0.343
Conceded late (76+)-0.494

Ahead vs level +0.20 · Behind vs level -0.07

Sassuolo · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.09) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.50

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.094
Early press (0-15, level)-0.244
Late push (76+, level)-0.503

Game state

When ahead+0.143
When level-0.074
10 min after conceding-0.424
10 min after scoring+0.184

Situations

At home-0.032
Away+0.222
4+ days rest+0.094

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.112
As underdog+0.073

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded when ahead+0.173
Conceded late (76+)+0.234

Ahead vs level +0.21 · Behind vs level +0.50

Juventus

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-124 63%2.041.540.671.690.99
4-2-3-16 16%1.671.830.832.610.73
3-5-22 5%0.00.51.51.01.33
4-1-4-12 5%2.01.50.52.281.11
4-3-32 5%0.01.02.51.21.6

Sassuolo

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-336 95%1.251.191.331.181.42
4-4-21 3%1.01.01.00.762.32
4-2-3-11 3%3.02.01.00.641.57

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.27Home 75% P 74%5.75Draw 17% P 17%11.0Away 9% P 9%

Double Chance

1.07Juventus or Draw 44% P 46%1.14Juventus or Sassuolo 42% P 42%3.4Draw or Sassuolo 14% P 12%

Draw No Bet

1.081 88%8.02 12%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 48%1.8No 52% P 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.53Over 62% P 63%2.5Under 38% P 37%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.52.0Over 46% P 42%1.72Under 54% P 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 72.5–75% · away 7.5–10% · 458 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home74%74%74%+0.5
Draw17%17%18%+0.9
Away9%9%8%-1.5

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 60%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes48%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.563%64%63%-0.4

Matteo Marchetti

Career
63 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
4.41 (4.13 yellow · 0.24 red)
Fouls / match
25.5 · 5.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.3
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 56 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.144.49-0.5032
Fouls / match25.425.2+0.23
Fouls per card6.15.6+0.32 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.340.31+0.1263
Time added6.86.4+0.7878
First card
35' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.32

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-15 30 310 6'12
2026-03-01 · Sassuolo 41 160 12'12
2026-02-14 61 261 49'6
2026-01-16 30 230 40'5
2026-01-07 30 221 28'11
2025-12-27 60 340 22'6
2025-12-13 32 220 42'7
2025-11-28 · Sassuolo 30 180 37'6
2025-10-19 40 340 13'6
2025-08-31 40 221 38'8