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Serie A · Matchweek 31

Momentum

CremoneseBologna
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
31

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona
Capacity
16,003
Surface
grass
Attendance
10,629

Teams

Coaches
Marco Giampaolo · Vincenzo Italiano
Position
17 · 9
Formation
4-1-3-2 · 4-1-4-1

Referee

Rosario Abisso

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
21.2° (feels 20.7°)
Wind
0.6
Humidity
52%

Where to watch · 286

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Cremonese

LLLLW 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 11 · xG 4.13–8.36 · xPts 4.59

  • W A Parma 2–0 xG 0.53–0.42 ITA SA
  • L H Fiorentina 1–4 xG 1.3–1.03 ITA SA
  • L A Lecce 1–2 xG 1.11–1.78 ITA SA
  • L H AC Milan 0–2 xG 1.09–2.5 ITA SA
  • L A Roma 0–3 xG 0.1–2.63 ITA SA

Bologna

LDWWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 8 · xG 7.22–6.56 · xPts 7.49

  • L H Lazio 0–2 xG 1.73–0.98 ITA SA
  • W A Roma 4–3 aet xG 1.63–2.24 UEFA EL
  • W A Sassuolo 1–0 xG 1.23–0.64 ITA SA
  • D H Roma 1–1 xG 1.23–0.9 UEFA EL
  • L H Hellas Verona 1–2 xG 1.38–1.81 ITA SA

All meetings · 4 matches since 2023

Cremonese 11 draws2 Bologna

Goals 6–9 · 3.75 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 75%

Last 10 · 4 matches

Cremonese 11 draws2 Bologna

Goals 6–9 · 3.75 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 75%

Last 5 · 4 matches

Cremonese 11 draws2 Bologna

Goals 6–9 · 3.75 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 75%

Recent meetings

  • L Cremonese 1–2 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Bologna 1–3 Cremonese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Cremonese 1–5 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Bologna 1–1 Cremonese ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricCremonese all · 38Cremonese at home · 19Bologna all · 38Bologna away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game0.890.841.471.79
W / D / L8 / 10 / 203 / 7 / 916 / 8 / 1410 / 4 / 5
Goals for / match0.840.951.291.58
Goals against / match1.501.531.211.21
Clean sheets29%32%32%26%
Failed to score45%37%29%16%
Both teams scored42%53%45%58%
Over 2.545%47%45%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.951.181.321.21
xG against / match1.591.421.121.24
xG difference-0.64-0.240.20-0.03
Finishing vs xG-0.11-0.23-0.030.37
xPts / match1.011.251.491.36
Points vs xPts-0.11-0.40-0.010.43
Game state
Scored first32%37%47%58%
PPG when scoring first2.251.712.332.36
PPG when conceding first0.050.000.671.00
Came back from behind5%0%30%44%
Leads held67%43%70%71%
Minutes leading18%17%26%35%
Minutes level48%52%54%50%
Minutes trailing34%30%20%15%
First goal (min)49514440
First goal conceded (min)37394646
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half62%61%57%53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half51%62%63%70%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.370.260.37
Late goals against0.240.320.240.32
Style
Possession46%47%55%54%
Shots9.110.312.911.1
On target3.33.73.83.8
Shot conversion9%9%10%14%
Shots inside box61%62%63%63%
Big chances created1.61.91.81.9
Corners3.53.64.53.7
xG from set plays34%36%30%27%
Goals from headers19%22%6%0%
Pressure index6.98.113.813.2
Dominant minutes32.836.554.052.2
Pass accuracy78%78%82%82%
Fouls13.513.413.113.4
Cards2.082.111.972.53

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Cremonese

0–15'49
16–30'37
31–45'512
46–60'810
61–75'310
76–90'99

Bologna

0–15'35
16–30'83
31–45'109
46–60'129
61–75'611
76–90'109

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Cremonese

No pressure profile yet.

Bologna · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.21) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.62

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.214
Early press (0-15, level)+0.624
Late push (76+, level)+0.202
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.234

Game state

When level+0.394
When behind-0.104
10 min after conceding+0.384

Situations

At home+0.092
Away+0.342
4+ days rest+0.214

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.342
v mid-tier opponents+0.092
As underdog+0.342

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded late (76+)-0.144

Behind vs level -0.49

Cremonese

Current: winless 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-226 68%0.770.691.580.961.66
4-4-25 13%1.41.01.00.630.89
3-1-4-24 10%1.751.50.751.312.02
3-4-31 3%0.01.02.00.80.84
4-1-3-21 3%0.01.02.01.471.24

Bologna

Current: winless 5 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 71%1.481.371.191.431.15
4-3-38 21%1.631.131.131.020.89
4-1-4-12 5%1.51.51.51.311.64
3-4-2-11 3%0.00.02.00.711.4

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.4Home 28% P 27%3.3Draw 29% P 28%2.15Away 44% P 45%

Double Chance

1.66Cremonese or Draw 29%1.33Cremonese or Bologna 36%1.33Draw or Bologna 36%

Draw No Bet

2.371 39%1.532 61%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52%1.95No 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 47%1.9Under 50% P 53%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 45–47.5% · 466 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home27%26%26%-0.3
Draw28%28%28%+0.2
Away45%46%46%+0.1

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 51%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.547%46%45%-1.2

Rosario Abisso

Career
124 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
4.81 (4.54 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
25.5 · 5.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.42
Cards to home side
50%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 52 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.794.49+0.4363
Fouls / match24.925.2-0.14
Fouls per card5.25.6-0.64 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.40.31+0.6576
Time added5.16.4-2.710
First card
33' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
53% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.22

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-14 10 180 19'7
2026-03-01 50 180 45'7
2026-01-10 · Bologna 61 170 40'8
2026-01-02 30 180 83'5
2025-12-21 31 300 3'7
2025-11-08 50 280 31'8
2025-10-29 · Cremonese 40 290 38'11
2025-10-05 · Bologna 11 280 36'2
2025-08-31 40 340 19'5
2025-05-18 40 230 22'6