Rating 6.87 (69th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (7% of team goals) · 94% of minutes
Serie A · Matchweek 31
Momentum
– LecceAtalanta –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Lecce | at home | Stat | league | away | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41.6 #18 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 55.1 #6 |
| 9.8 #18 | – | Shots total | 12.3 | – | 14.8 #3 |
| 2.6 #20 | – | Shots on target | 4.0 | – | 4.6 #6 |
| 4.3 #10 | – | Corners | 4.4 | – | 5.7 #2 |
| 12.6 #11 | – | Fouls | 12.7 | – | 11.8 #16 |
| 1.2 #18 | – | Offsides | 1.6 | – | 1.9 #1 |
| 17.8 #2 | – | Tackles | 15.2 | – | 15.6 #9 |
| 92.2 #9 | – | Attacks | 92.8 | – | 101.1 #6 |
| 39.4 #9 | – | Dangerous attacks | 42.4 | – | 52.5 #4 |
| 321.2 #20 | – | Passes | 431.5 | – | 493.9 #5 |
| 1.9 #9 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 1.7 #14 |
| 0.1 #7 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.0 #13 |
| 0.6 #16 | – | Assists | 0.8 | – | 0.9 #7 |
| – #18 | – | Btts | 45.3 | – | – #2 |
| – #14 | – | Cleansheet | 32.1 | – | – #8 |
| – #14 | – | Draw | 26.1 | – | – #2 |
| 0.9 #20 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 1.7 #3 |
| -0.2 #13 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.4 #19 |
| – #3 | – | Failed to score | 32.1 | – | – #15 |
| 0.7 #17 | 0.7 | Goals | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 #7 |
| 1.3 #7 | 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.9 #14 |
| 0.2 #13 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.1 #20 |
| 7.0 #16 | – | Interceptions | 7.9 | – | 8.6 #5 |
| – #3 | – | Lost | 37.0 | – | – #15 |
| 0.0 #20 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #14 |
| 6.7 #18 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.9 #5 |
| 3.1 #13 | – | Shots blocked | 3.4 | – | 4.3 #3 |
| 5.7 #19 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.9 | – | 9.8 #3 |
| 4.1 #19 | – | Shots off target | 5.0 | – | 5.9 #3 |
| 4.1 #15 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 5.0 #2 |
| – #15 | – | Win | 37.0 | – | – #8 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 380 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.43 (home 1.28 · away 1.15)
- Home / draw / away
- 39% · 26% · 35%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 45% · 46%
- Cards / match
- 4.11 (reds 0.16)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Lecce · 2025/2026 · Serie A
Rating 6.81 (40th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (14% of team goals) · 79% of minutes
Team 1.19 ppg with (31) · 0.14 without (7)
Rating 7.17 (90th pct) · G+A 2 + 3 (18% of team goals) · 26% of minutes
Team 1.33 ppg with (12) · 0.85 without (26)
Atalanta · 2025/2026 · Serie A
Rating 7.14 (93th pct) · G+A 3 + 5 (16% of team goals) · 64% of minutes
Team 1.62 ppg with (26) · 1.42 without (12)
Rating 7.04 (85th pct) · G+A 10 + 5 (29% of team goals) · 52% of minutes
Team 1.89 ppg with (18) · 1.25 without (20)
Rating 7.06 (87th pct) · G+A 10 + 1 (22% of team goals) · 39% of minutes
Team 1.38 ppg with (16) · 1.68 without (22)
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 31
Venue
- Stadium
- Stadio Comunale Via del Mare, Lecce
- Capacity
- 40,800
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 24,884
Teams
- Coaches
- Eusebio Di Francesco · Raffaele Palladino
- Position
- 18 · 7
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Referee
Federico La Penna
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 22.0° (feels 21.4°)
- Wind
- 2.6
- Humidity
- 43%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter |
38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 35 | 54 | 87 | DWWDD |
| 2 |  Napoli |
38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58 | 36 | 22 | 76 | WDLWW |
| 3 |  Roma |
38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 73 | WWWWW |
| 4 |  Como |
38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 29 | 36 | 71 | WDWWW |
| 5 |  AC Milan |
38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 70 | DLLWL |
| 6 |  Juventus |
38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61 | 34 | 27 | 69 | DDWLD |
| 7 |  Atalanta |
38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 59 | LDWLD |
| 8 |  Bologna |
38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49 | 46 | 3 | 56 | LDWWD |
| 9 |  Lazio |
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 54 | DWLLW |
| 10 |  Udinese |
38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 50 | DWWLL |
| 11 |  Sassuolo |
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 49 | DWLLL |
| 12 |  Torino |
38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44 | 63 | -19 | 45 | DLWLD |
| 13 |  Parma |
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 45 | WLLLW |
| 14 |  Cagliari |
38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 43 | WDLWW |
| 15 |  Fiorentina |
38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 42 | DLDWD |
| 16 |  Genoa |
38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 41 | LDDLL |
| 17 |  Lecce |
38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28 | 50 | -22 | 38 | DWLWW |
| 18 |  Cremonese |
38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32 | 57 | -25 | 34 | LLWWL |
| 19 |  Hellas Verona |
38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25 | 61 | -36 | 21 | DDLDL |
| 20 |  Pisa |
38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26 | 71 | -45 | 18 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 50 | 16 | 34 | 45 | DWWDD |
| 2 | Napoli |
19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 43 | WDLWW |
| 3 | Roma |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 42 | WWWWW |
| 4 | Juventus |
19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 37 | DDWLD |
| 5 | Como |
19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 36 | WDWWW |
| 6 | Atalanta |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 33 | LDWLD |
| 7 | AC Milan |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 32 | DLLWL |
| 8 | Lazio |
19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 30 | DWLLW |
| 9 | Sassuolo |
19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 29 | DWLLL |
| 10 | Torino |
19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 28 | DLWLD |
| 11 | Cagliari |
19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 25 | WDLWW |
| 12 | Udinese |
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 23 | DWWLL |
| 13 | Genoa |
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 22 | LDDLL |
| 14 | Bologna |
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 22 | LDWWD |
| 15 | Fiorentina |
19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 21 | DLDWD |
| 16 | Parma |
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 21 | WLLLW |
| 17 | Lecce |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 20 | DWLWW |
| 18 | Cremonese |
19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 | LLWWL |
| 19 | Pisa |
19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 10 | LLLLL |
| 20 | Hellas Verona |
19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 | DDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 42 | DWWDD |
| 2 | AC Milan |
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 38 | DLLWL |
| 3 | Como |
19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 14 | 16 | 35 | WDWWW |
| 4 | Bologna |
19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 34 | LDWWD |
| 5 | Napoli |
19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 33 | WDLWW |
| 6 | Juventus |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 32 | DDWLD |
| 7 | Roma |
19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 31 | WWWWW |
| 8 | Udinese |
19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 27 | DWWLL |
| 9 | Atalanta |
19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 26 | LDWLD |
| 10 | Lazio |
19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 24 | DWLLW |
| 11 | Parma |
19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 24 | WLLLW |
| 12 | Fiorentina |
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 21 | DLDWD |
| 13 | Sassuolo |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 20 | DWLLL |
| 14 | Genoa |
19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 19 | LDDLL |
| 15 | Lecce |
19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 18 | DWLWW |
| 16 | Cagliari |
19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 18 | WDLWW |
| 17 | Cremonese |
19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 28 | -14 | 18 | LLWWL |
| 18 | Torino |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 17 | DLWLD |
| 19 | Hellas Verona |
19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 13 | DDLDL |
| 20 | Pisa |
19 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 45 | -28 | 8 | LLLLL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Lecce
LLWLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 9 · xG 3.82–8.35 · xPts 4.54
- L
A
Roma
0–1
xG 0.86–1.08
ITA SA
- L
A
Napoli
1–2
xG 0.85–0.94
ITA SA
- W
H
Cremonese
2–1
xG 1.78–1.11
ITA SA
- L
A
Como
1–3
xG 0.21–2.43
ITA SA
- L
H
Inter
0–2
xG 0.12–2.8
ITA SA
LDLWWLLWLL 3W 1D 6L · 10 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 12 · xG 9.13–16.4 · xPts 10.23
- L
A
Roma
0–1
xG 0.86–1.08
ITA SA
- L
A
Napoli
1–2
xG 0.85–0.94
ITA SA
- W
H
Cremonese
2–1
xG 1.78–1.11
ITA SA
- L
A
Como
1–3
xG 0.21–2.43
ITA SA
- L
H
Inter
0–2
xG 0.12–2.8
ITA SA
- W
A
Cagliari
2–0
xG 1.66–1.56
ITA SA
- W
H
Udinese
2–1
xG 1.71–0.95
ITA SA
- L
A
Torino
0–1
xG 0.76–1.84
ITA SA
- D
H
Lazio
0–0
xG 0.88–0.6
ITA SA
- L
A
AC Milan
0–1
xG 0.31–3.1
ITA SA
Atalanta
DLDLW 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 13 · xG 8.54–10.55 · xPts 6.04
- W
H
Hellas Verona
1–0
xG 1.07–1.11
ITA SA
- L
A
FC Bayern München
1–4
xG 2.34–3.13
UEFA CL - D
A
Inter
1–1
xG 0.61–1.85
ITA SA
- L
H
FC Bayern München
1–6
xG 2.25–3.81
UEFA CL
- D
H
Udinese
2–2
xG 2.28–0.65
ITA SA
WLWWLDLDLW 4W 2D 4L · 14 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 15 GA 19 · xG 17.38–16.97 · xPts 14.2
- W
H
Hellas Verona
1–0
xG 1.07–1.11
ITA SA
- L
A
FC Bayern München
1–4
xG 2.34–3.13
UEFA CL
- D
A
Inter
1–1
xG 0.61–1.85
ITA SA
- L
H
FC Bayern München
1–6
xG 2.25–3.81
UEFA CL
- D
H
Udinese
2–2
xG 2.28–0.65
ITA SA
- L
A
Sassuolo
1–2
xG 2.95–1.22
ITA SA
- W
H
Borussia Dortmund
4–1
xG 2.71–1.09
UEFA CL - W
H
Napoli
2–1
xG 1.0–0.68
ITA SA
- L
A
Borussia Dortmund
0–2
xG 0.54–1.86
UEFA CL
- W
A
Lazio
2–0
xG 1.63–1.57
ITA SA
All meetings · 14 matches since 2008
Goals 12–31 · 3.07 per match · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 64%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 9–27 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 70%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 2–14 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- L Lecce 0–3 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Atalanta 4–1 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Atalanta 1–1 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Lecce 0–4 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Lecce 0–2 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Atalanta 1–0 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Atalanta 1–2 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Lecce 2–1 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Lecce 2–7 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Atalanta 3–1 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
| Metric | Lecce all · 38 | Lecce at home · 19 | Atalanta all · 38 | Atalanta away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 38 | 19 | 38 | 19 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.05 | 1.55 | 1.37 |
| W / D / L | 10 / 8 / 20 | 5 / 5 / 9 | 15 / 14 / 9 | 6 / 8 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 0.74 | 0.68 | 1.34 | 1.37 |
| Goals against / match | 1.32 | 1.26 | 0.95 | 1.11 |
| Clean sheets | 26% | 26% | 34% | 32% |
| Failed to score | 50% | 53% | 21% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 37% | 37% | 53% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 37% | 42% | 37% | 37% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.89 | 1.07 | 1.71 | 1.46 |
| xG against / match | 1.53 | 1.38 | 1.18 | 1.42 |
| xG difference | -0.64 | -0.31 | 0.53 | 0.04 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.15 | -0.39 | -0.36 | -0.10 |
| xPts / match | 1.01 | 1.21 | 1.71 | 1.44 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.01 | -0.16 | -0.16 | -0.07 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 42% | 42% | 50% | 53% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.47 | 2.20 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.06 | 0.13 | 0.56 | 0.38 |
| Came back from behind | 9% | 18% | 44% | 38% |
| Leads held | 62% | 62% | 75% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 20% | 22% | 28% | 22% |
| Minutes level | 53% | 51% | 51% | 52% |
| Minutes trailing | 28% | 26% | 21% | 26% |
| First goal (min) | 32 | 24 | 46 | 57 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 41 | 48 | 49 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 43% | 31% | 53% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 64% | 67% | 50% | 43% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.16 | 0.11 | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| Late goals against | 0.24 | 0.11 | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 42% | 44% | 55% | 54% |
| Shots | 9.8 | 10.6 | 14.8 | 12.5 |
| On target | 2.6 | 2.8 | 4.6 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 6% | 9% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 58% | 61% | 66% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2.2 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 4.2 | 5.7 | 4.5 |
| xG from set plays | 33% | 39% | 25% | 21% |
| Goals from headers | 29% | 31% | 14% | 4% |
| Pressure index | 7.2 | 8.7 | 15.9 | 12.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 34.3 | 40.5 | 55.4 | 49.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 74% | 76% | 84% | 83% |
| Fouls | 12.6 | 12.0 | 11.8 | 12.3 |
| Cards | 1.87 | 1.89 | 1.68 | 2.11 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Lecce
0–15'82
16–30'510
31–45'36
46–60'29
61–75'414
76–90'69
Atalanta
0–15'83
16–30'58
31–45'117
46–60'84
61–75'65
76–90'139
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Lecce · 4 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.31) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.43
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.314
Early press (0-15, level)-0.434
Game state
When ahead-0.342
When level-0.294
When behind-0.272
10 min after conceding-0.233
10 min after scoring-0.202
Situations
At home-0.372
Away-0.272
4+ days rest-0.314
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents-0.382
As underdog-0.233
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.804
Conceded when ahead+0.912
Conceded late (76+)+0.563
Ahead vs level -0.05 · Behind vs level +0.02
Atalanta · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.46
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.066
Early press (0-15, level)-0.016
Late push (76+, level)-0.393
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.582
Game state
When ahead-0.174
When level-0.086
When behind+0.312
10 min after conceding-0.463
10 min after scoring+0.205
Situations
At home+0.024
Away-0.212
4+ days rest-0.055
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.023
As favourite+0.025
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.466
Conceded when ahead+0.404
Conceded late (76+)+0.076
Congested vs rested -0.08 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.39
Lecce
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 22 58% | 1.14 | 0.82 | 1.23 | 0.97 | 1.44 |
| 4-3-3 | 13 34% | 0.77 | 0.62 | 1.31 | 0.73 | 1.65 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 5% | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.42 | 1.31 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.21 | 2.43 |
Atalanta
Current: winless 2 · scoring 5 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 34 90% | 1.65 | 1.41 | 0.91 | 1.71 | 1.2 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 8% | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.33 | 1.64 | 0.91 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.92 | 1.05 |
| Metric | Lecce all · 10 | Lecce at home · 10 | Atalanta all · 10 | Atalanta away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.70 | 1.40 | 1.50 | 1.20 |
| W / D / L | 5 / 2 / 3 | 4 / 2 / 4 | 4 / 3 / 3 | 3 / 3 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.20 | 0.90 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals against / match | 1.20 | 1.50 | 0.90 | 1.60 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 50% | 30% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 40% | 50% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.22 | 1.14 | 1.16 | 1.51 |
| xG against / match | 1.77 | 1.78 | 1.33 | 1.61 |
| xG difference | -0.55 | -0.64 | -0.17 | -0.10 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.02 | -0.24 | -0.16 | -0.01 |
| xPts / match | 1.11 | 1.10 | 1.32 | 1.34 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.59 | 0.30 | 0.18 | -0.14 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 40% | 50% | 50% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.25 | 0.20 | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| Came back from behind | 25% | 20% | 25% | 33% |
| Leads held | 100% | 100% | 80% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 34% | 29% | 24% | 26% |
| Minutes level | 35% | 39% | 64% | 38% |
| Minutes trailing | 31% | 32% | 12% | 35% |
| First goal (min) | 32 | 21 | 49 | 54 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 23 | 29 | 61 | 42 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 22% | 60% | 60% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 33% | 47% | 78% | 56% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 40% | 40% | 51% | 51% |
| Shots | 9.7 | 9.9 | 13.2 | 13.4 |
| On target | 3.7 | 2.7 | 4.3 | 4.9 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 9% | 8% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 60% | 63% | 68% |
| Big chances created | 2.5 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3.1 |
| Corners | 3.4 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 4.4 |
| xG from set plays | 33% | 43% | 14% | 17% |
| Goals from headers | 33% | 33% | 0% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 8.3 | 8.9 | 12.2 | 10.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 38.3 | 41.4 | 47.3 | 43.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 74% | 75% | 86% | 85% |
| Fouls | 12.0 | 11.3 | 12.3 | 11.9 |
| Cards | 2.50 | 1.30 | 1.20 | 1.50 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Lecce
0–15'42
16–30'26
31–45'00
46–60'21
61–75'21
76–90'22
Atalanta
0–15'20
16–30'11
31–45'11
46–60'21
61–75'21
76–90'25
Lecce
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 7 70% | 1.57 | 1.0 | 0.86 | 1.19 | 1.39 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.55 | 2.62 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.77 | 2.72 |
Atalanta
Current: winless 2 · scoring 5 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 6 60% | 1.67 | 1.0 | 0.83 | 0.94 | 1.53 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 30% | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.26 | 1.21 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.18 | 0.44 |
| Metric | Lecce all · 39 | Lecce at home · 20 | Atalanta all · 52 | Atalanta away · 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 39 | 20 | 52 | 25 |
| Points per game | 1.10 | 1.15 | 1.54 | 1.36 |
| W / D / L | 12 / 7 / 20 | 6 / 5 / 9 | 22 / 14 / 16 | 9 / 7 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 0.82 | 0.80 | 1.29 | 1.28 |
| Goals against / match | 1.31 | 1.40 | 1.10 | 1.16 |
| Clean sheets | 26% | 25% | 36% | 36% |
| Failed to score | 49% | 50% | 23% | 16% |
| Both teams scored | 36% | 40% | 50% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 50% | 44% | 40% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.95 | 1.09 | 1.68 | 1.47 |
| xG against / match | 1.62 | 1.53 | 1.32 | 1.53 |
| xG difference | -0.67 | -0.45 | 0.36 | -0.07 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.13 | -0.29 | -0.40 | -0.19 |
| xPts / match | 1.00 | 1.15 | 1.61 | 1.38 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.10 | 0.00 | -0.08 | -0.02 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 46% | 45% | 48% | 52% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.11 | 2.11 | 2.44 | 2.31 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.06 | 0.13 | 0.64 | 0.27 |
| Came back from behind | 9% | 18% | 33% | 25% |
| Leads held | 67% | 67% | 79% | 69% |
| Minutes leading | 23% | 26% | 25% | 21% |
| Minutes level | 48% | 45% | 52% | 52% |
| Minutes trailing | 29% | 29% | 23% | 27% |
| First goal (min) | 29 | 22 | 48 | 59 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 36 | 45 | 46 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 41% | 25% | 58% | 62% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 57% | 57% | 54% | 48% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.15 | 0.10 | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| Late goals against | 0.23 | 0.10 | 0.17 | 0.28 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 41% | 44% | 53% | 53% |
| Shots | 9.8 | 10.5 | 14.3 | 12.4 |
| On target | 2.7 | 2.9 | 4.5 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 58% | 61% | 66% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 2.3 |
| Corners | 4.2 | 4.1 | 5.0 | 4.4 |
| xG from set plays | 36% | 43% | 26% | 22% |
| Goals from headers | 34% | 38% | 16% | 6% |
| Pressure index | 7.4 | 8.7 | 15.7 | 13.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 34.0 | 39.6 | 53.2 | 47.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 74% | 76% | 84% | 84% |
| Fouls | 12.8 | 12.0 | 11.3 | 11.7 |
| Cards | 1.95 | 1.90 | 1.58 | 1.96 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Lecce
0–15'103
16–30'614
31–45'35
46–60'38
61–75'412
76–90'69
Atalanta
0–15'105
16–30'612
31–45'129
46–60'109
61–75'913
76–90'209
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Lecce · 39 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.20) · stands out: 3 days rest or fewer -0.54
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.2039
Early press (0-15, level)-0.0739
Late push (76+, level)-0.0810
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.3717
Game state
When ahead-0.2518
When level-0.1339
When behind-0.2921
10 min after conceding-0.3728
10 min after scoring+0.1120
Situations
With ten men-0.282
At home-0.1820
Away-0.2219
3 days rest or fewer-0.543
4+ days rest-0.1736
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.4011
v mid-tier opponents-0.1711
v bottom-tier opponents-0.363
Evenly matched-0.0314
As underdog-0.3124
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.4439
Conceded when ahead+0.3718
Conceded late (76+)+0.2835
Congested vs rested -0.36 · Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level -0.16
Atalanta · 52 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.19) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) +0.56
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1952
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1052
Late push (76+, level)-0.0223
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.5617
Game state
When ahead+0.2728
When level+0.1152
When behind+0.2824
10 min after conceding-0.0933
10 min after scoring+0.4838
Situations
With ten men-0.023
Against ten men+0.154
At home+0.2527
Away+0.1225
3 days rest or fewer+0.2811
4+ days rest+0.1641
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.0117
v mid-tier opponents+0.2616
v bottom-tier opponents+0.473
As favourite+0.2829
Evenly matched+0.2015
As underdog-0.238
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0052
Conceded when ahead-0.0128
Conceded late (76+)-0.2645
Congested vs rested +0.12 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.17
Lecce
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 23 59% | 1.09 | 0.78 | 1.22 | 0.96 | 1.42 |
| 4-3-3 | 12 31% | 1.25 | 1.0 | 1.08 | 0.92 | 1.89 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 5% | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.42 | 1.31 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.77 | 2.72 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.21 | 2.43 |
Atalanta
Current: winless 2 · scoring 5 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 38 73% | 1.58 | 1.42 | 1.05 | 1.73 | 1.3 |
| 4-3-3 | 7 14% | 1.57 | 1.0 | 0.86 | 1.08 | 1.46 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 4 8% | 1.25 | 1.0 | 1.25 | 1.98 | 0.88 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 4% | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.01 | 0.87 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 2.25 | 3.81 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
5.5Home 17% P 17%3.8Draw 25% P 26%1.65Away 58% P 57%
Double Chance
2.1Lecce or Draw 22%1.28Lecce or Atalanta 37%1.16Draw or Atalanta 41%
Draw No Bet
3.751 25%1.252 75%
Both Teams To Score
1.95Yes 48%1.8No 52%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.0Over 47% P 49%1.8Under 53% P 51%
Total Corners
9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%
Number of Cards
3.52.0Over 46% P 47%1.72Under 54% P 53%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 15–20% · away 55–60% · 957 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 17% | 18% | 17% | -1.4 |
| Draw | 26% | 24% | 22% | -1.9 |
| Away | 57% | 58% | 61% | +3.3 |
In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 52%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 49% | 50% | +1.3 |
Federico La Penna
- Career
- 103 matches · 13 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.58 (4.39 yellow · 0.06 red)
- Fouls / match
- 27.2 · 5.8 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.31
- Cards to home side
- 48%
Style in Serie A (5-year window · 52 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.73 | 4.49 | +0.34 | 61 |
| Fouls / match | 26.3 | 25.2 | +0.77 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.7 | 5.6 | -0.17 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.31 | 0.31 | -0.13 | 56 |
| Time added | 6.8 | 6.4 | +0.78 | 78 |
- First card
- 33' on average
- Card timing
- 15% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 48% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.28
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 1 | 37' | 12 |
| 2026-02-14 | 6 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 9' | 6 |
| 2026-01-31 | 2 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 44' | 9 |
| 2026-01-12 | 7 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 15' | 4 |
| 2026-01-04 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 20' | 10 |
| 2025-12-28 · Atalanta | 3 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 19' | 6 |
| 2025-12-07 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 33' | 5 |
| 2025-11-22 | 7 | 1 | 38 | 0 | 9' | 6 |
| 2025-10-26 | 8 | 1 | 33 | 2 | 36' | 8 |
| 2025-10-05 | 4 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 28' | 6 |