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Serie A · Matchweek 32

Momentum

AtalantaJuventus
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
32

Venue

Stadium
Gewiss Stadium, Bergamo
Capacity
23,439
Surface
grass
Attendance
23,271

Teams

Coaches
Raffaele Palladino · Luciano Spalletti
Position
7 · 5
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Fabio Maresca

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
15.3° (feels 14.5°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
63%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Atalanta

LDLWW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 11 · xG 8.84–10.37 · xPts 6.25

  • W A Lecce 3–0 xG 2.58–0.47 ITA SA
  • W H Hellas Verona 1–0 xG 1.07–1.11 ITA SA
  • L A FC Bayern München 1–4 xG 2.34–3.13 UEFA CL
  • D A Inter 1–1 xG 0.61–1.85 ITA SA
  • L H FC Bayern München 1–6 xG 2.25–3.81 UEFA CL

Juventus

DWWDW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 11 GA 4 · xG 11.2–5.13 · xPts 10.33

  • W H Genoa 2–0 xG 2.25–1.47 ITA SA
  • D H Sassuolo 1–1 xG 2.32–0.76 ITA SA
  • W A Udinese 1–0 xG 2.81–0.79 ITA SA
  • W H Pisa 4–0 xG 2.76–0.36 ITA SA
  • D A Roma 3–3 xG 1.05–1.76 ITA SA

All meetings · 36 matches since 2007

Atalanta 313 draws20 Juventus

Goals 35–69 · 2.89 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 53%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Atalanta 26 draws2 Juventus

Goals 13–11 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Atalanta 13 draws1 Juventus

Goals 8–5 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Atalanta 0–1 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Juventus 1–1 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Juventus 0–4 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Atalanta 1–1 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Juventus 2–2 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Atalanta 0–0 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Atalanta 0–2 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Juventus 3–3 Atalanta ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Atalanta 1–1 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Juventus 0–1 Atalanta neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricAtalanta all · 38Atalanta at home · 19Juventus all · 38Juventus away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.551.741.821.68
W / D / L15 / 14 / 99 / 6 / 419 / 12 / 79 / 5 / 5
Goals for / match1.341.321.611.37
Goals against / match0.950.790.890.95
Clean sheets34%37%42%42%
Failed to score21%32%21%21%
Both teams scored53%42%45%42%
Over 2.537%37%40%37%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.711.951.831.59
xG against / match1.180.931.001.08
xG difference0.531.010.830.51
Finishing vs xG-0.36-0.63-0.22-0.22
xPts / match1.711.991.831.65
Points vs xPts-0.16-0.25-0.020.03
Game state
Scored first50%47%58%63%
PPG when scoring first2.472.782.642.50
PPG when conceding first0.560.750.620.17
Came back from behind44%50%50%17%
Leads held75%90%83%75%
Minutes leading28%33%35%33%
Minutes level51%51%49%48%
Minutes trailing21%16%17%18%
First goal (min)46313537
First goal conceded (min)48484039
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half53%52%61%62%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%60%56%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.340.260.340.21
Late goals against0.240.160.210.32
Style
Possession55%56%58%56%
Shots14.817.116.813.9
On target4.65.16.05.1
Shot conversion9%8%10%10%
Shots inside box66%66%65%66%
Big chances created2.53.02.92.7
Corners5.76.85.44.4
xG from set plays25%28%26%22%
Goals from headers14%24%24%15%
Pressure index15.919.222.519.4
Dominant minutes55.461.764.760.3
Pass accuracy84%85%86%85%
Fouls11.811.412.112.9
Cards1.681.261.451.79

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Atalanta

0–15'83
16–30'58
31–45'117
46–60'84
61–75'65
76–90'139

Juventus

0–15'104
16–30'73
31–45'78
46–60'116
61–75'135
76–90'138

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Atalanta · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.066
Early press (0-15, level)-0.016
Late push (76+, level)-0.393
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.582

Game state

When ahead-0.174
When level-0.086
When behind+0.312
10 min after conceding-0.463
10 min after scoring+0.205

Situations

At home+0.024
Away-0.212
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.023
As favourite+0.025

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.466
Conceded when ahead+0.404
Conceded late (76+)+0.076

Congested vs rested -0.08 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.39

Juventus · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.27) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.64

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.275
Early press (0-15, level)-0.165
Late push (76+, level)+1.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.212

Game state

When ahead+0.423
When level+0.215
When behind+0.142
10 min after conceding-0.112
10 min after scoring+0.645

Situations

At home+0.163
Away+0.402
4+ days rest+0.275

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.152
As favourite+0.275

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.285
Conceded when ahead-0.343
Conceded late (76+)-0.494

Ahead vs level +0.20 · Behind vs level -0.07

Atalanta

Current: winless 2 · scoring 5 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-134 90%1.651.410.911.711.2
3-4-1-23 8%0.670.671.331.640.91
4-3-31 3%1.01.01.01.921.05

Juventus

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-124 63%2.041.540.671.690.99
4-2-3-16 16%1.671.830.832.610.73
3-5-22 5%0.00.51.51.01.33
4-3-32 5%0.01.02.51.21.6
4-1-4-12 5%2.01.50.52.281.11

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.1Home 31% P 31%3.5Draw 27% P 28%2.25Away 42% P 41%

Double Chance

1.66Atalanta or Draw 28%1.3Atalanta or Juventus 36%1.33Draw or Juventus 35%

Draw No Bet

2.251 41%1.572 59%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58%2.2No 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 55%2.1Under 45% P 45%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51% P 51%1.9Under 49% P 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 40–42.5% · 560 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home31%31%31%-0.2
Draw28%28%24%-4.2
Away41%41%46%+4.4

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 54%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.555%54%54%+0.8

Fabio Maresca

Career
165 matches · 14 seasons
Cards / match
5.7 (5.35 yellow · 0.2 red)
Fouls / match
25.0 · 4.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 67 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.394.49+1.2893
Fouls / match25.525.2+0.27
Fouls per card4.75.6-1.10 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.280.31-0.3244
Time added7.26.4+1.6195
First card
31' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.29

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-06 50 220 50'6
2026-03-13 40 300 59'12
2026-01-25 41 310 56'7
2026-01-14 30 250 17'8
2026-01-07 30 240 11'6
2025-12-27 · Juventus 50 220 6'6
2025-12-08 10 281 66'7
2025-05-11 40 320 15'8
2025-04-28 50 320 50'6
2025-04-12 81 400 10'4