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Serie A · Matchweek 32

Momentum

CagliariCremonese
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
32

Venue

Stadium
Sardegna Arena, Cagliari
Capacity
16,416
Surface
grass
Attendance
16,412

Teams

Coaches
Fabio Pisacane · Marco Giampaolo
Position
16 · 17
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

Daniele Doveri

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
22.3° (feels 21.6°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
39%

Where to watch · 286

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Cagliari

DLLLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 9 · xG 4.56–6.65 · xPts 5.42

  • L A Sassuolo 1–2 xG 1.57–0.64 ITA SA
  • L H Napoli 0–1 xG 0.54–1.75 ITA SA
  • L A Pisa 1–3 xG 1.25–2.4 ITA SA
  • L H Como 1–2 xG 0.67–0.81 ITA SA
  • D A Parma 1–1 xG 0.52–1.06 ITA SA

Cremonese

LLLWL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 10 · xG 5.49–6.97 · xPts 6.01

  • L H Bologna 1–2 xG 1.47–1.24 ITA SA
  • W A Parma 2–0 xG 0.53–0.42 ITA SA
  • L H Fiorentina 1–4 xG 1.3–1.03 ITA SA
  • L A Lecce 1–2 xG 1.11–1.78 ITA SA
  • L H AC Milan 0–2 xG 1.09–2.5 ITA SA

All meetings · 2 matches since 2026

Cagliari 11 draws0 Cremonese

Goals 3–2 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Cagliari 11 draws0 Cremonese

Goals 3–2 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Cagliari 11 draws0 Cremonese

Goals 3–2 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • W Cagliari 1–0 Cremonese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Cremonese 2–2 Cagliari ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricCagliari all · 38Cagliari at home · 19Cremonese all · 38Cremonese away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.131.320.890.95
W / D / L11 / 10 / 177 / 4 / 88 / 10 / 205 / 3 / 11
Goals for / match1.051.160.840.74
Goals against / match1.391.211.501.47
Clean sheets21%32%29%26%
Failed to score37%37%45%53%
Both teams scored50%37%42%32%
Over 2.550%37%45%42%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.020.960.950.73
xG against / match1.401.241.591.77
xG difference-0.38-0.28-0.64-1.04
Finishing vs xG0.030.20-0.110.01
xPts / match1.131.191.010.77
Points vs xPts0.000.13-0.110.18
Game state
Scored first29%32%32%26%
PPG when scoring first2.093.002.253.00
PPG when conceding first0.710.500.050.08
Came back from behind35%33%5%8%
Leads held65%78%67%100%
Minutes leading16%20%18%18%
Minutes level51%52%48%44%
Minutes trailing32%28%34%38%
First goal (min)49524947
First goal conceded (min)37383735
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half60%59%62%64%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%56%51%39%
Late goals for (76'+)0.210.260.240.11
Late goals against0.370.370.240.16
Style
Possession46%45%46%46%
Shots10.910.79.17.9
On target3.53.43.32.9
Shot conversion10%11%9%9%
Shots inside box61%63%61%59%
Big chances created1.91.91.61.3
Corners3.84.23.53.4
xG from set plays37%43%34%32%
Goals from headers30%46%19%14%
Pressure index8.59.36.95.7
Dominant minutes36.840.232.829.1
Pass accuracy80%79%78%77%
Fouls13.813.813.513.7
Cards2.241.892.082.05

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Cagliari

0–15'29
16–30'46
31–45'107
46–60'710
61–75'97
76–90'814

Cremonese

0–15'49
16–30'37
31–45'512
46–60'810
61–75'310
76–90'99

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Cagliari · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.61

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.024
Early press (0-15, level)-0.334

Game state

When ahead+0.263
When level-0.024
10 min after conceding-0.552
10 min after scoring+0.613

Situations

At home-0.012
Away-0.032
4+ days rest-0.024

Opposition

As underdog-0.452

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.304
Conceded when ahead-0.083
Conceded late (76+)+0.064

Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.47

Cremonese

No pressure profile yet.

Cagliari

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-218 47%1.061.171.440.941.45
4-5-13 8%0.670.00.670.60.86
3-5-1-13 8%2.01.331.00.771.91
4-3-2-13 8%2.332.01.01.271.87
4-3-32 5%0.00.52.50.90.8

Cremonese

Current: winless 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-226 68%0.770.691.580.961.66
4-4-25 13%1.41.01.00.630.89
3-1-4-24 10%1.751.50.751.312.02
3-4-31 3%0.01.02.00.80.84
5-3-21 3%0.01.04.00.632.72

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.9h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.0Home 47% P 46%3.2Draw 29% P 31%3.9Away 24% P 23%

Double Chance

1.25Cagliari or Draw 38%1.36Cagliari or Cremonese 35%1.8Draw or Cremonese 27%

Draw No Bet

1.41 66%2.752 34%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 47%1.75No 53%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.37Over 40% P 38%1.57Under 60% P 62%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 22.5–25% · 565 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home46%46%48%+1.4
Draw31%30%28%-1.5
Away23%24%24%+0.2

In those fixtures: 2.3 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 41%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 37.5–40% · 1,310 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.538%39%39%+0.7

Daniele Doveri

Career
267 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
4.48 (4.25 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
24.9 · 4.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.32
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 83 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.74.49-1.1310
Fouls / match24.925.2-0.16
Fouls per card7.05.6+1.14 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.230.31-0.7627
Time added6.76.4+0.5871
First card
41' on average
Card timing
10% in first 30' · 40% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.15

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-06 20 130 12'6
2026-03-08 40 200 65'12
2026-02-21 10 250 73'9
2026-02-06 30 290 32'7
2026-01-18 30 270 38'7
2026-01-11 20 231 71'7
2025-12-27 · Cagliari 30 270 31'7
2025-12-14 50 300 54'8
2025-12-08 41 221 41'6
2025-11-22 60 290 7'10