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Serie A · Matchweek 32

Momentum

ComoInter
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
32

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como
Capacity
12,064
Surface
grass
Attendance
11,975

Teams

Coaches
Cesc Fàbregas · Cristian Chivu
Position
5 · 1
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-5-2

Referee

Davide Massa

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
15.2° (feels 14.4°)
Wind
0.7
Humidity
61%

Where to watch · 286

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Como

WWWWD 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 12 GA 3 · xG 7.61–3.3 · xPts 9.55

  • D A Udinese 0–0 xG 0.76–0.93 ITA SA
  • W H Pisa 5–0 xG 1.62–0.51 ITA SA
  • W H Roma 2–1 xG 2.0–0.98 ITA SA
  • W A Cagliari 2–1 xG 0.81–0.67 ITA SA
  • W H Lecce 3–1 xG 2.43–0.21 ITA SA

Inter

WLDDW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 9 GA 5 · xG 7.35–4.26 · xPts 9.08

  • W H Roma 5–2 xG 1.45–0.87 ITA SA
  • D A Fiorentina 1–1 xG 1.1–1.62 ITA SA
  • D H Atalanta 1–1 xG 1.85–0.61 ITA SA
  • L A AC Milan 0–1 xG 1.18–0.92 ITA SA
  • W H Genoa 2–0 xG 1.76–0.23 ITA SA

All meetings · 4 matches since 2024

Como 00 draws4 Inter

Goals 3–12 · 3.75 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 4 matches

Como 00 draws4 Inter

Goals 3–12 · 3.75 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 4 matches

Como 00 draws4 Inter

Goals 3–12 · 3.75 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • L Como 3–4 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Inter 4–0 Como ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Como 0–2 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Inter 2–0 Como ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricComo all · 38Como at home · 19Inter all · 38Inter away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.871.892.292.21
W / D / L20 / 11 / 710 / 6 / 327 / 6 / 513 / 3 / 3
Goals for / match1.711.842.342.05
Goals against / match0.760.790.921.00
Clean sheets50%53%47%53%
Failed to score24%16%5%5%
Both teams scored42%47%47%42%
Over 2.545%42%55%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.601.921.941.64
xG against / match0.910.860.901.03
xG difference0.691.061.040.61
Finishing vs xG0.11-0.070.400.41
xPts / match1.782.002.001.77
Points vs xPts0.09-0.110.290.44
Game state
Scored first58%63%84%79%
PPG when scoring first2.452.172.532.60
PPG when conceding first1.101.751.000.75
Came back from behind42%50%38%40%
Leads held80%71%77%76%
Minutes leading38%44%52%50%
Minutes level48%43%39%37%
Minutes trailing14%13%10%12%
First goal (min)32312929
First goal conceded (min)41415044
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half58%54%58%54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half59%60%54%53%
Late goals for (76'+)0.390.420.550.47
Late goals against0.110.110.320.26
Style
Possession62%64%60%60%
Shots14.416.717.116.0
On target5.16.36.05.2
Shot conversion12%11%14%13%
Shots inside box66%67%72%68%
Big chances created2.63.33.93.0
Corners4.55.06.35.3
xG from set plays32%28%28%26%
Goals from headers15%14%23%29%
Pressure index21.125.123.021.1
Dominant minutes67.274.466.161.9
Pass accuracy87%88%87%87%
Fouls13.412.513.113.1
Cards2.212.161.682.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Como

0–15'115
16–30'72
31–45'95
46–60'910
61–75'143
76–90'154

Inter

0–15'122
16–30'115
31–45'149
46–60'153
61–75'164
76–90'2112

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Como · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.35) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.70

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.355
Early press (0-15, level)+0.415

Game state

When ahead+0.224
When level+0.565
When behind+0.302
10 min after conceding+0.075
10 min after scoring+0.705

Situations

At home+0.342
Away+0.353
4+ days rest+0.355

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.022
As favourite+0.394

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.145
Conceded when ahead-0.014
Conceded late (76+)-0.135

Ahead vs level -0.34 · Behind vs level -0.27

Inter · 5 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.71) · stands out: when behind +1.11

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.715
Early press (0-15, level)+0.205
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.202

Game state

When ahead+0.584
When level+0.455
When behind+1.113
10 min after conceding+0.514
10 min after scoring+0.425

Situations

At home+0.523
Away+0.962
4+ days rest+0.674

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.752
As favourite+0.674

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.365
Conceded when ahead-0.414
Conceded late (76+)-0.414

Congested vs rested +0.20 · Ahead vs level +0.13 · Behind vs level +0.66

Como

Current: unbeaten 10 · wins 4 · scoring 8 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-134 90%1.791.710.791.560.95
3-4-2-12 5%2.01.51.01.520.83
4-3-31 3%3.01.00.02.230.19
4-3-2-11 3%3.03.00.02.50.35

Inter

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 15 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-238 100%2.292.340.921.940.9

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.25Home 29% P 28%3.4Draw 28% P 29%2.2Away 43% P 44%

Double Chance

1.53Como or Draw 31%1.33Como or Inter Milan 35%1.36Draw or Inter Milan 34%

Draw No Bet

2.11 44%1.662 56%

Both Teams To Score

1.7Yes 55%2.05No 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 52%1.8Under 53% P 48%

Total Corners

5.5Under 6 16%2.56 - 8 35%2.879 - 11 30%6.512 - 14 13%15.0Over 14 6%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 42.5–45% · 505 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home28%29%23%-5.8
Draw29%28%27%-0.3
Away44%44%50%+6.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 57%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.552%51%51%-0.1

Davide Massa

Career
316 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
4.86 (4.64 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
25.0 · 4.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 79 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.24.49+1.0188
Fouls / match26.825.2+1.11
Fouls per card5.25.6-0.61 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.20.31-0.9712
Time added6.46.4-0.0444
First card
32' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.17

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-06 50 181 15'6
2026-03-19 20 170 25'6
2026-03-15 · Como 51 341 48'7
2026-03-01 20 240 76'8
2026-02-24 10 141 80'10
2026-02-07 51 282 2'6
2026-02-01 · Inter 30 330 54'7
2026-01-28 82 261 3'9
2026-01-17 10 280 31'7
2026-01-11 50 240 31'11