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Serie A · Matchweek 32

Momentum

ParmaNapoli
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
32

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
Capacity
27,906
Surface
grass
Attendance
21,611

Teams

Coaches
Carlos Antón Cuesta · Antonio Conte
Position
13 · 2
Formation
3-5-2 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Marco Di Bello

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
18.6° (feels 18.4°)
Wind
2.8
Humidity
72%

Where to watch · 286

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Parma

DDLLD 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 3 GA 8 · xG 2.97–4.81 · xPts 5.26

  • D A Lazio 1–1 xG 0.31–0.46 ITA SA
  • L H Cremonese 0–2 xG 0.42–0.53 ITA SA
  • L A Torino 1–4 xG 0.82–1.8 ITA SA
  • D A Fiorentina 0–0 xG 0.37–1.5 ITA SA
  • D H Cagliari 1–1 xG 1.06–0.52 ITA SA

Napoli

WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 3 · xG 6.07–3.02 · xPts 9.05

  • W H AC Milan 1–0 xG 1.05–0.58 ITA SA
  • W A Cagliari 1–0 xG 1.75–0.54 ITA SA
  • W H Lecce 2–1 xG 0.94–0.85 ITA SA
  • W H Torino 2–1 xG 1.53–0.61 ITA SA
  • W A Hellas Verona 2–1 xG 0.8–0.44 ITA SA

All meetings · 24 matches since 2007

Parma 65 draws13 Napoli

Goals 21–39 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 54%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Parma 23 draws5 Napoli

Goals 6–16 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Parma 03 draws2 Napoli

Goals 2–5 · 1.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D Parma 1–1 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Napoli 0–0 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Parma 0–0 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Napoli 2–1 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Napoli 2–0 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Parma 0–2 Napoli neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Parma 2–1 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Napoli 1–2 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Parma 0–4 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Napoli 3–0 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricParma all · 38Parma at home · 19Napoli all · 38Napoli away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.181.112.001.74
W / D / L11 / 12 / 155 / 6 / 823 / 7 / 810 / 3 / 6
Goals for / match0.740.841.531.32
Goals against / match1.211.320.950.95
Clean sheets34%26%40%42%
Failed to score42%37%21%26%
Both teams scored40%47%47%37%
Over 2.529%32%53%42%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.890.921.471.48
xG against / match1.561.531.060.99
xG difference-0.66-0.610.400.49
Finishing vs xG-0.15-0.080.06-0.17
xPts / match1.011.061.631.66
Points vs xPts0.170.040.370.08
Game state
Scored first34%37%55%53%
PPG when scoring first2.462.292.862.70
PPG when conceding first0.370.300.930.63
Came back from behind25%27%47%33%
Leads held73%62%96%91%
Minutes leading13%12%40%40%
Minutes level63%63%40%38%
Minutes trailing24%25%20%22%
First goal (min)48473126
First goal conceded (min)41423736
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half64%69%47%36%
Goals conceded in 2nd half63%60%58%61%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.320.260.21
Late goals against0.340.320.180.21
Style
Possession44%46%59%59%
Shots10.712.413.212.6
On target2.72.94.74.2
Shot conversion7%7%12%10%
Shots inside box56%56%64%62%
Big chances created1.61.42.02.0
Corners3.84.25.54.7
xG from set plays40%37%29%33%
Goals from headers36%31%17%24%
Pressure index9.110.820.418.8
Dominant minutes37.843.463.662.6
Pass accuracy80%80%87%86%
Fouls10.810.911.211.3
Cards1.972.111.371.74

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Parma

0–15'47
16–30'34
31–45'36
46–60'48
61–75'48
76–90'1013

Napoli

0–15'118
16–30'93
31–45'114
46–60'118
61–75'66
76–90'107

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Parma · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.20) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.204
Early press (0-15, level)+0.534
Late push (76+, level)-0.722
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.523

Game state

When level-0.214
When behind-0.194
10 min after conceding-0.494
10 min after scoring-0.162

Situations

At home-0.242
Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.204

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.172
Evenly matched-0.242
As underdog-0.172

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.404
Conceded late (76+)+0.484

Behind vs level +0.02

Napoli · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.82

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.015
Early press (0-15, level)-0.105
Late push (76+, level)+0.352
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.433

Game state

When ahead+0.473
When level-0.055
When behind-0.253
10 min after conceding-0.473
10 min after scoring+0.824

Situations

At home+0.023
Away-0.062
4+ days rest-0.015

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.322
As favourite+0.442
As underdog-0.432

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.305
Conceded when ahead+0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.115

Ahead vs level +0.52 · Behind vs level -0.20

Parma

Current: winless 4 · scoring 2 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-219 50%1.320.740.890.841.35
4-3-36 16%1.830.830.671.011.5
3-4-2-14 10%1.00.51.751.062.38
3-1-4-23 8%0.670.671.670.751.27
4-4-22 5%0.00.51.51.241.14

Napoli

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-121 55%1.861.521.11.391.03
4-1-4-18 21%2.251.881.02.011.36
3-4-36 16%2.51.670.51.410.74
4-3-33 8%1.330.330.670.641.14

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.4h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

7.0Home 13% P 14%3.8Draw 25% P 25%1.53Away 62% P 61%

Double Chance

2.3Parma or Draw 20%1.25Parma or Napoli 38%1.12Draw or Napoli 42%

Draw No Bet

5.01 19%1.162 81%

Both Teams To Score

2.2Yes 42%1.61No 58%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 39%1.66Under 57% P 61%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

2.51.57Over 59%2.25Under 41%
3.52.0Over 46% P 40%1.72Under 54% P 60%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 10–15% · away 60–65% · 334 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home14%14%14%+0.1
Draw25%23%22%-0.9
Away61%63%64%+0.8

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 51%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 37.5–40% · 1,310 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.539%39%39%+0.7

Marco Di Bello

Career
216 matches · 16 seasons
Cards / match
4.83 (4.55 yellow · 0.19 red)
Fouls / match
26.6 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.36
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 67 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.94.49-0.8420
Fouls / match26.125.2+0.65
Fouls per card6.85.6+0.98 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.390.31+0.5268
Time added6.36.4-0.2427
First card
37' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.04

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-16 10 330 27'14
2026-02-22 20 230 24'7
2026-01-17 10 280 70'6
2026-01-07 10 310 88'6
2025-12-29 10 260 50'5
2025-12-06 30 290 44'5
2025-11-22 · Napoli 30 230 59'6
2025-11-08 · Parma 20 241 70'9
2025-10-29 50 252 3'8
2025-09-27 71 330 9'7