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Serie A · Matchweek 33

Momentum

CremoneseTorino
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
33

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona
Capacity
16,003
Surface
grass
Attendance
12,842

Teams

Coaches
Marco Giampaolo · Roberto D'Aversa
Position
17 · 12
Formation
4-4-2 · 3-4-1-2

Referee

Michael Fabbri

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
23.3° (feels 23.3°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
61%

Where to watch · 286

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Cremonese

LLWLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 9 · xG 4.76–5.62 · xPts 6.06

  • L A Cagliari 0–1 xG 0.35–1.15 ITA SA
  • L H Bologna 1–2 xG 1.47–1.24 ITA SA
  • W A Parma 2–0 xG 0.53–0.42 ITA SA
  • L H Fiorentina 1–4 xG 1.3–1.03 ITA SA
  • L A Lecce 1–2 xG 1.11–1.78 ITA SA

Torino

LWLWW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 10 GA 7 · xG 7.4–5.7 · xPts 7.91

  • W H Hellas Verona 2–1 xG 0.87–1.15 ITA SA
  • W A Pisa 1–0 xG 1.67–0.46 ITA SA
  • L A AC Milan 2–3 xG 2.45–1.73 ITA SA
  • W H Parma 4–1 xG 1.8–0.82 ITA SA
  • L A Napoli 1–2 xG 0.61–1.53 ITA SA

All meetings · 4 matches since 2022

Cremonese 02 draws2 Torino

Goals 3–5 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 4 matches

Cremonese 02 draws2 Torino

Goals 3–5 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 4 matches

Cremonese 02 draws2 Torino

Goals 3–5 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • D Cremonese 0–0 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Torino 1–0 Cremonese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Torino 2–2 Cremonese ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Cremonese 1–2 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricCremonese all · 38Cremonese at home · 19Torino all · 38Torino away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game0.890.841.180.89
W / D / L8 / 10 / 203 / 7 / 912 / 9 / 174 / 5 / 10
Goals for / match0.840.951.160.89
Goals against / match1.501.531.661.79
Clean sheets29%32%32%37%
Failed to score45%37%29%42%
Both teams scored42%53%50%37%
Over 2.545%47%63%58%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.951.181.221.07
xG against / match1.591.421.481.37
xG difference-0.64-0.24-0.26-0.31
Finishing vs xG-0.11-0.23-0.06-0.17
xPts / match1.011.251.221.19
Points vs xPts-0.11-0.40-0.04-0.29
Game state
Scored first32%37%40%37%
PPG when scoring first2.251.712.132.00
PPG when conceding first0.050.000.470.00
Came back from behind5%0%29%17%
Leads held67%43%71%57%
Minutes leading18%17%19%10%
Minutes level48%52%46%49%
Minutes trailing34%30%35%40%
First goal (min)49514448
First goal conceded (min)37392926
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half62%61%61%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half51%62%51%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.370.320.37
Late goals against0.240.320.210.21
Style
Possession46%47%44%43%
Shots9.110.311.811.1
On target3.33.74.03.7
Shot conversion9%9%10%8%
Shots inside box61%62%62%59%
Big chances created1.61.92.01.6
Corners3.53.63.83.4
xG from set plays34%36%30%31%
Goals from headers19%22%23%24%
Pressure index6.98.19.17.4
Dominant minutes32.836.536.432.3
Pass accuracy78%78%79%80%
Fouls13.513.413.914.3
Cards2.082.111.922.05

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Cremonese

0–15'49
16–30'37
31–45'512
46–60'810
61–75'310
76–90'99

Torino

0–15'45
16–30'713
31–45'613
46–60'812
61–75'712
76–90'128

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Cremonese

No pressure profile yet.

Torino · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.68

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.024
Early press (0-15, level)-0.184
Late push (76+, level)+0.302
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.093

Game state

When level+0.044
When behind-0.154
10 min after conceding-0.384
10 min after scoring+0.683

Situations

At home-0.192
Away+0.142
4+ days rest-0.024

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.192
v mid-tier opponents+0.142
As underdog-0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.364
Conceded late (76+)+0.244

Ahead vs level +0.29 · Behind vs level -0.19

Cremonese

Current: winless 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-226 68%0.770.691.580.961.66
4-4-25 13%1.41.01.00.630.89
3-1-4-24 10%1.751.50.751.312.02
4-1-3-21 3%0.01.02.01.471.24
3-4-31 3%0.01.02.00.80.84

Torino

Current: winless 1 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-216 42%1.01.381.881.281.51
3-4-1-29 24%1.891.560.891.261.18
3-4-2-14 10%1.01.252.01.71.47
3-4-32 5%1.51.01.00.851.42
4-3-32 5%0.50.02.50.941.71

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.87Home 33% P 32%3.2Draw 30% P 31%2.6Away 37% P 36%

Double Chance

1.44Cremonese or Draw 32%1.36Cremonese or Torino 34%1.4Draw or Torino 33%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50%1.9No 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.3Over 41% P 44%1.61Under 59% P 56%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56% P 57%2.1Under 44% P 43%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 35–37.5% · 235 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home32%32%27%-4.3
Draw31%32%34%+2.2
Away36%37%39%+2.2

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 45%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,474 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

Michael Fabbri

Career
176 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
4.58 (4.35 yellow · 0.11 red)
Fouls / match
24.3 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.27
Cards to home side
50%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 70 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.574.48+0.1256
Fouls / match24.125.1-0.67
Fouls per card5.35.6-0.56 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.20.31-1.0010
Time added6.56.4+0.1749
First card
33' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.19

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-13 50 200 31'8
2026-03-21 · Cremonese 60 350 50'5
2026-03-06 · Torino 30 200 63'6
2026-02-28 30 211 9'5
2026-02-13 41 231 16'5
2026-01-19 80 231 21'7
2026-01-14 40 230 57'7
2026-01-03 30 310 19'13
2025-12-28 10 201 43'5
2025-12-07 61 310 20'8