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Serie A · Matchweek 33

Momentum

JuventusBologna
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
33

Venue

Stadium
Juventus Stadium, Torino
Capacity
45,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
40,405

Teams

Coaches
Luciano Spalletti · Vincenzo Italiano
Position
4 · 8
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Maurizio Mariani

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
20.2° (feels 19.8°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
60%

Where to watch · 286

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Juventus

WWDWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 9 GA 1 · xG 11.11–5.55 · xPts 10.08

  • W A Atalanta 1–0 xG 0.97–2.18 ITA SA
  • W H Genoa 2–0 xG 2.25–1.47 ITA SA
  • D H Sassuolo 1–1 xG 2.32–0.76 ITA SA
  • W A Udinese 1–0 xG 2.81–0.79 ITA SA
  • W H Pisa 4–0 xG 2.76–0.36 ITA SA

Bologna

LWLWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 10 · xG 7.66–6.15 · xPts 7.94

  • L A Aston Villa 0–4 xG 1.27–2.41 UEFA EL
  • W H Lecce 2–0 xG 2.27–0.3 ITA SA
  • L H Aston Villa 1–3 xG 1.15–0.99 UEFA EL
  • W A Cremonese 2–1 xG 1.24–1.47 ITA SA
  • L H Lazio 0–2 xG 1.73–0.98 ITA SA

All meetings · 34 matches since 2008

Juventus 2211 draws1 Bologna

Goals 62–23 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 41%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Juventus 46 draws0 Bologna

Goals 17–9 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Juventus 23 draws0 Bologna

Goals 9–6 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Juventus 2–0 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Bologna 0–1 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Bologna 1–1 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Juventus 2–2 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Bologna 3–3 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Juventus 1–1 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Bologna 1–1 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Juventus 3–0 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Juventus 1–1 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Bologna 0–2 Juventus neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricJuventus all · 38Juventus at home · 19Bologna all · 38Bologna away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.821.951.471.79
W / D / L19 / 12 / 710 / 7 / 216 / 8 / 1410 / 4 / 5
Goals for / match1.611.841.291.58
Goals against / match0.890.841.211.21
Clean sheets42%42%32%26%
Failed to score21%21%29%16%
Both teams scored45%47%45%58%
Over 2.540%42%45%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.832.061.321.21
xG against / match1.000.921.121.24
xG difference0.831.140.20-0.03
Finishing vs xG-0.22-0.22-0.030.37
xPts / match1.832.011.491.36
Points vs xPts-0.02-0.07-0.010.43
Game state
Scored first58%53%47%58%
PPG when scoring first2.642.802.332.36
PPG when conceding first0.621.000.671.00
Came back from behind50%75%30%44%
Leads held83%91%70%71%
Minutes leading35%36%26%35%
Minutes level49%49%54%50%
Minutes trailing17%15%20%15%
First goal (min)35344440
First goal conceded (min)40404646
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%60%57%53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half56%44%63%70%
Late goals for (76'+)0.340.470.260.37
Late goals against0.210.110.240.32
Style
Possession58%59%55%54%
Shots16.819.712.911.1
On target6.06.83.83.8
Shot conversion10%9%10%14%
Shots inside box65%64%63%63%
Big chances created2.93.21.81.9
Corners5.46.54.53.7
xG from set plays26%29%30%27%
Goals from headers24%30%6%0%
Pressure index22.525.513.813.2
Dominant minutes64.769.154.052.2
Pass accuracy86%87%82%82%
Fouls12.111.413.113.4
Cards1.451.111.972.53

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Juventus

0–15'104
16–30'73
31–45'78
46–60'116
61–75'135
76–90'138

Bologna

0–15'35
16–30'83
31–45'109
46–60'129
61–75'611
76–90'109

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Juventus · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.27) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.64

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.275
Early press (0-15, level)-0.165
Late push (76+, level)+1.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.212

Game state

When ahead+0.423
When level+0.215
When behind+0.142
10 min after conceding-0.112
10 min after scoring+0.645

Situations

At home+0.163
Away+0.402
4+ days rest+0.275

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.152
As favourite+0.275

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.285
Conceded when ahead-0.343
Conceded late (76+)-0.494

Ahead vs level +0.20 · Behind vs level -0.07

Bologna · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.21) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.62

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.214
Early press (0-15, level)+0.624
Late push (76+, level)+0.202
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.234

Game state

When level+0.394
When behind-0.104
10 min after conceding+0.384

Situations

At home+0.092
Away+0.342
4+ days rest+0.214

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.342
v mid-tier opponents+0.092
As underdog+0.342

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded late (76+)-0.144

Behind vs level -0.49

Juventus

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-124 63%2.041.540.671.690.99
4-2-3-16 16%1.671.830.832.610.73
4-3-32 5%0.01.02.51.21.6
4-1-4-12 5%2.01.50.52.281.11
3-5-22 5%0.00.51.51.01.33

Bologna

Current: winless 5 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 71%1.481.371.191.431.15
4-3-38 21%1.631.131.131.020.89
4-1-4-12 5%1.51.51.51.311.64
3-4-2-11 3%0.00.02.00.711.4

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.48Home 65% P 66%4.75Draw 20% P 21%6.5Away 15% P 14%

Double Chance

1.1Juventus or Draw 43%1.18Juventus or Bologna 40%2.62Draw or Bologna 18%

Draw No Bet

1.141 83%5.52 17%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50%1.9No 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 57%2.2Under 43% P 43%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.52.0Over 46% P 48%1.72Under 54% P 52%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 65–67.5% · away 12.5–15% · 566 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home66%66%69%+3.3
Draw21%20%20%-0.7
Away14%14%11%-2.7

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 58%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.557%56%56%-0.2

Maurizio Mariani

Career
229 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
4.68 (4.44 yellow · 0.15 red)
Fouls / match
25.6 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 76 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.334.49-0.2337
Fouls / match25.125.2-0.03
Fouls per card5.85.6-0.04 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.260.31-0.4939
Time added6.66.4+0.3758
First card
35' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.16

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-14 20 190 45'10
2026-03-20 40 280 17'10
2026-03-14 · Juventus 40 260 32'14
2026-03-11 20 241 57'18
2026-02-26 10 201 40'11
2026-02-23 60 270 37'11
2026-02-18 50 230 53'11
2026-01-28 40 130 64'8
2026-01-25 · Juventus 30 320 34'4
2026-01-20 30 220 5'6