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Serie A · Matchweek 33

Momentum

NapoliLazio
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
33

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Napoli
Capacity
54,726
Surface
grass
Attendance
50,000

Teams

Coaches
Antonio Conte · Maurizio Sarri
Position
2 · 10
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Luca Zufferli

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
20.3° (feels 19.6°)
Wind
0.5
Humidity
49%

Where to watch · 286

  • Albania Tring Sport 3
  • Algeria STARZPLAY
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  • Germany DAZN · DAZN1 Germany
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  • Libya STARZPLAY
  • Madagascar DStv Now · SuperSport Football Plus ROA · SuperSport GOtv LaLiga · SuperSport Laliga ROA · SuperSport MaXimo 1
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  • Morocco STARZPLAY
  • Mozambique DStv Now · Sporty TV · SuperSport Football Plus ROA · SuperSport GOtv LaLiga · SuperSport Laliga ROA · SuperSport MaXimo 1
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  • Netherlands Ziggo Sport 2 · Ziggo Sport 3 · Ziggo Sport 5
  • New Zealand beIN Sports Connect New Zealand
  • Nigeria DStv Now · Sporty TV · SuperSport Football Plus ROA · SuperSport GOtv LaLiga · SuperSport Laliga ROA · SuperSport MaXimo 1
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  • Portugal DAZN Eleven 1 Portugal · DAZN Eleven 2 Portugal · DAZN Eleven 4 Portugal · DAZN Portugal · Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
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  • Republic of Ireland TNT Sports 3
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  • Slovakia Sport 1 CZ/SK
  • Somalia STARZPLAY · SuperSport Football Plus ROA · SuperSport GOtv LaLiga · SuperSport Laliga ROA · SuperSport MaXimo 1
  • South Africa Sporty TV · SuperSport GOtv LaLiga · SuperSport MaXimo 1
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  • Spain DAZN
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  • Syria STARZPLAY
  • São Tomé and Príncipe SuperSport Football Plus ROA · SuperSport GOtv LaLiga · SuperSport Laliga ROA · SuperSport MaXimo 1
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  • Tunisia STARZPLAY
  • Turkey S Sport · S Sport 2
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  • United Arab Emirates STARZPLAY
  • United States fuboTV · Paramount+
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  • Yemen STARZPLAY
  • Zambia SuperSport Football Plus ROA · SuperSport GOtv LaLiga · SuperSport Laliga ROA · SuperSport MaXimo 1
  • Zimbabwe DStv Now · SuperSport Football Plus ROA · SuperSport GOtv LaLiga · SuperSport Laliga ROA · SuperSport MaXimo 1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Napoli

WWWWD 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 3 · xG 6.74–2.71 · xPts 9.83

  • D A Parma 1–1 xG 1.47–0.13 ITA SA
  • W H AC Milan 1–0 xG 1.05–0.58 ITA SA
  • W A Cagliari 1–0 xG 1.75–0.54 ITA SA
  • W H Lecce 2–1 xG 0.94–0.85 ITA SA
  • W H Torino 2–1 xG 1.53–0.61 ITA SA

Lazio

WWWDL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 3 · xG 5.15–5.59 · xPts 6.62

  • L A Fiorentina 0–1 xG 1.32–0.62 ITA SA
  • D H Parma 1–1 xG 0.46–0.31 ITA SA
  • W A Bologna 2–0 xG 0.98–1.73 ITA SA
  • W H AC Milan 1–0 xG 0.5–1.99 ITA SA
  • W H Sassuolo 2–1 xG 1.89–0.94 ITA SA

All meetings · 38 matches since 2008

Napoli 198 draws11 Lazio

Goals 69–45 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 55%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Napoli 42 draws4 Lazio

Goals 13–10 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Napoli 12 draws2 Lazio

Goals 4–5 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • L Napoli 0–2 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Lazio 0–2 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Lazio 2–2 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Napoli 0–1 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Lazio 0–0 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Napoli 1–2 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Napoli 0–1 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Lazio 1–2 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Lazio 1–2 Napoli ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Napoli 4–0 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricNapoli all · 38Napoli at home · 19Lazio all · 38Lazio away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game2.002.261.421.26
W / D / L23 / 7 / 813 / 4 / 214 / 12 / 126 / 6 / 7
Goals for / match1.531.741.080.74
Goals against / match0.950.951.050.79
Clean sheets40%37%40%47%
Failed to score21%16%45%58%
Both teams scored47%58%29%16%
Over 2.553%63%32%16%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.471.451.171.04
xG against / match1.061.131.361.30
xG difference0.400.32-0.19-0.26
Finishing vs xG0.060.29-0.09-0.30
xPts / match1.631.601.231.18
Points vs xPts0.370.660.190.08
Game state
Scored first55%58%42%37%
PPG when scoring first2.863.002.502.43
PPG when conceding first0.931.330.530.38
Came back from behind47%67%33%12%
Leads held96%100%70%75%
Minutes leading40%40%21%15%
Minutes level40%43%54%62%
Minutes trailing20%18%25%23%
First goal (min)31354253
First goal conceded (min)37373544
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half47%54%61%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%56%52%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.320.390.26
Late goals against0.180.160.180.11
Style
Possession59%59%50%51%
Shots13.213.811.09.8
On target4.75.24.13.5
Shot conversion12%12%10%8%
Shots inside box64%66%61%61%
Big chances created2.01.91.91.9
Corners5.56.33.72.9
xG from set plays29%25%30%30%
Goals from headers17%12%7%0%
Pressure index20.422.012.29.8
Dominant minutes63.664.645.041.0
Pass accuracy87%87%86%86%
Fouls11.211.110.610.3
Cards1.371.002.292.11

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Napoli

0–15'118
16–30'93
31–45'114
46–60'118
61–75'66
76–90'107

Lazio

0–15'65
16–30'47
31–45'67
46–60'67
61–75'47
76–90'157

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Napoli · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.82

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.015
Early press (0-15, level)-0.105
Late push (76+, level)+0.352
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.433

Game state

When ahead+0.473
When level-0.055
When behind-0.253
10 min after conceding-0.473
10 min after scoring+0.824

Situations

At home+0.023
Away-0.062
4+ days rest-0.015

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.322
As favourite+0.442
As underdog-0.432

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.305
Conceded when ahead+0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.115

Ahead vs level +0.52 · Behind vs level -0.20

Lazio · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.62

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.034
Early press (0-15, level)+0.254
Late push (76+, level)-0.102

Game state

When ahead+0.134
When level-0.104
10 min after conceding-0.612
10 min after scoring+0.624

Situations

At home-0.172
Away+0.232
4+ days rest+0.034

Opposition

Evenly matched+0.173

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.004
Conceded when ahead-0.064
Conceded late (76+)-0.244

Ahead vs level +0.23 · Behind vs level +0.30

Napoli

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-121 55%1.861.521.11.391.03
4-1-4-18 21%2.251.881.02.011.36
3-4-36 16%2.51.670.51.410.74
4-3-33 8%1.330.330.670.641.14

Lazio

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-336 95%1.390.971.031.121.37
4-2-3-12 5%2.03.01.52.031.32

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -2.6h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.53Home 62% P 63%3.9Draw 24% P 24%7.0Away 14% P 13%

Double Chance

1.11Napoli or Draw 42%1.25Napoli or Lazio 38%2.37Draw or Lazio 20%

Draw No Bet

1.141 83%5.52 17%

Both Teams To Score

2.25Yes 41%1.57No 59%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 47%1.66Under 57% P 53%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

2.51.57Over 59% P 57%2.25Under 41% P 43%
3.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 62.5–65% · away 12.5–15% · 544 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home63%64%63%-0.9
Draw24%22%24%+2.1
Away13%14%13%-1.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 55%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.547%46%45%-1.2

Luca Zufferli

Career
44 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
3.11 (3.0 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
23.6 · 7.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 41 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.14.49-1.982
Fouls / match23.625.2-0.95
Fouls per card8.05.6+2.18 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.290.31-0.2546
Time added6.86.4+0.7878
First card
36' on average
Card timing
20% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.4

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-05 10 240 14'5
2026-03-08 20 260 61'6
2026-01-30 · Lazio 50 243 64'8
2026-01-18 20 200 21'5
2026-01-06 15 6
2025-12-07 31 340 52'6
2025-11-08 10 130 64'7
2025-11-01 · Napoli 50 311 16'9
2025-10-24 40 291 31'7
2025-10-04 40 290 58'5