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Serie A · Matchweek 34

Momentum

BolognaRoma
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
34

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna
Capacity
36,532
Surface
grass
Attendance
28,961

Teams

Coaches
Vincenzo Italiano · Gian Gasperini
Position
8 · 6
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Marco Di Bello

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
23.8° (feels 23.2°)
Wind
2.1
Humidity
35%

Where to watch · 286

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Bologna

WLWLL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 10 · xG 6.79–6.43 · xPts 7.1

  • L A Juventus 0–2 xG 0.86–1.26 ITA SA
  • L A Aston Villa 0–4 xG 1.27–2.41 UEFA EL
  • W H Lecce 2–0 xG 2.27–0.3 ITA SA
  • L H Aston Villa 1–3 xG 1.15–0.99 UEFA EL
  • W A Cremonese 2–1 xG 1.24–1.47 ITA SA

Roma

LWLWD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 10 GA 10 · xG 6.62–5.63 · xPts 7.5

  • D H Atalanta 1–1 xG 1.14–0.67 ITA SA
  • W H Pisa 3–0 xG 1.29–1.0 ITA SA
  • L A Inter 2–5 xG 0.87–1.45 ITA SA
  • W H Lecce 1–0 xG 1.08–0.86 ITA SA
  • L H Bologna 3–4 aet xG 2.24–1.63 UEFA EL

All meetings · 36 matches since 2008

Bologna 811 draws17 Roma

Goals 40–60 · 2.78 per match · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 47%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Bologna 43 draws3 Roma

Goals 15–13 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Bologna 12 draws2 Roma

Goals 7–9 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Bologna 0–2 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Roma 3–4 Bologna aet UEFA EL · 8th Finals · leg 2/2
  • D Bologna 1–1 Roma UEFA EL · 8th Finals · leg 1/2
  • L Roma 1–0 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Bologna 2–2 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Roma 2–3 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Roma 1–3 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Bologna 2–0 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Bologna 0–0 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Roma 1–0 Bologna neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricBologna all · 38Bologna at home · 19Roma all · 38Roma away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.471.161.921.63
W / D / L16 / 8 / 146 / 4 / 923 / 4 / 1110 / 1 / 8
Goals for / match1.291.001.551.37
Goals against / match1.211.210.821.11
Clean sheets32%37%47%37%
Failed to score29%42%18%21%
Both teams scored45%32%34%42%
Over 2.545%37%37%42%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.321.431.481.39
xG against / match1.121.010.991.26
xG difference0.200.420.490.14
Finishing vs xG-0.03-0.430.07-0.02
xPts / match1.491.621.701.50
Points vs xPts-0.01-0.460.220.13
Game state
Scored first47%37%66%58%
PPG when scoring first2.332.292.722.55
PPG when conceding first0.670.400.380.38
Came back from behind30%18%27%20%
Leads held70%67%88%83%
Minutes leading26%16%40%39%
Minutes level54%59%44%41%
Minutes trailing20%25%16%20%
First goal (min)44513630
First goal conceded (min)46454644
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%63%54%50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half63%56%68%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.160.240.16
Late goals against0.240.160.260.32
Style
Possession55%56%56%55%
Shots12.914.713.211.2
On target3.83.84.74.2
Shot conversion10%7%12%12%
Shots inside box63%62%74%71%
Big chances created1.81.82.22.0
Corners4.55.25.24.6
xG from set plays30%34%31%36%
Goals from headers6%16%20%12%
Pressure index13.814.418.616.3
Dominant minutes54.055.961.955.8
Pass accuracy82%83%83%82%
Fouls13.112.713.814.8
Cards1.971.421.892.16

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Bologna

0–15'35
16–30'83
31–45'109
46–60'129
61–75'611
76–90'109

Roma

0–15'85
16–30'90
31–45'105
46–60'108
61–75'133
76–90'910

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Bologna · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.21) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.62

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.214
Early press (0-15, level)+0.624
Late push (76+, level)+0.202
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.234

Game state

When level+0.394
When behind-0.104
10 min after conceding+0.384

Situations

At home+0.092
Away+0.342
4+ days rest+0.214

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.342
v mid-tier opponents+0.092
As underdog+0.342

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded late (76+)-0.144

Behind vs level -0.48

Roma · 5 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.66) · stands out: when level +0.82

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.665
Early press (0-15, level)+0.385
Late push (76+, level)+0.042

Game state

When ahead+0.365
When level+0.825
10 min after conceding-0.312
10 min after scoring+0.545

Situations

At home+1.332
Away+0.173
4+ days rest+0.665

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.912
As favourite+0.665

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.195
Conceded when ahead-0.195
Conceded late (76+)-0.563

Ahead vs level -0.46 · Behind vs level -0.11

Bologna

Current: winless 5 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 71%1.481.371.191.431.15
4-3-38 21%1.631.131.131.020.89
4-1-4-12 5%1.51.51.51.311.64
3-4-2-11 3%0.00.02.00.711.4

Roma

Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 1 · scoring 22 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-130 79%1.91.630.871.450.98
3-4-1-24 10%2.251.250.251.710.58
3-5-23 8%1.331.331.331.781.78
3-4-31 3%3.01.00.00.780.6

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.5Home 27% P 26%3.1Draw 30% P 29%2.2Away 43% P 45%

Double Chance

1.61Bologna or Draw 29%1.36Bologna or Roma 35%1.3Draw or Roma 36%

Draw No Bet

2.371 39%1.532 61%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52%1.95No 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 46%1.72Under 55% P 54%

Total Corners

6.5Under 6 13%2.626 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 31%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.9Over 49%1.8Under 51%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 42.5–45% · 322 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home26%27%26%-0.8
Draw29%29%32%+2.9
Away45%44%42%-2.0

In those fixtures: 2.3 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 39%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.546%46%45%-1.2

Marco Di Bello

Career
216 matches · 16 seasons
Cards / match
4.83 (4.55 yellow · 0.19 red)
Fouls / match
26.6 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.36
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 67 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.94.48-0.8322
Fouls / match26.125.1+0.66
Fouls per card6.85.6+0.97 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.390.31+0.5168
Time added6.36.4-0.2527
First card
37' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.04

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-12 10 120 83'6
2026-03-16 10 330 27'14
2026-02-22 · Roma 20 230 24'7
2026-01-17 10 280 70'6
2026-01-07 · Bologna 10 310 88'6
2025-12-29 · Roma 10 260 50'5
2025-12-06 30 290 44'5
2025-11-22 30 230 59'6
2025-11-08 20 241 70'9
2025-10-29 50 252 3'8