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Serie A · Matchweek 34

Momentum

FiorentinaSassuolo
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
34

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Artemio Franchi, Firenze
Capacity
43,147
Surface
grass
Attendance
20,700

Teams

Coaches
Paolo Vanoli · Fabio Grosso
Position
15 · 10
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-3-3

Referee

Livio Marinelli

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
22.8° (feels 22.2°)
Wind
1.5
Humidity
42%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Fiorentina

WLWWD 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 5 · xG 4.91–9.22 · xPts 4.31

  • D A Lecce 1–1 xG 1.0–1.97 ITA SA
  • W H Crystal Palace 2–1 xG 2.3–1.55 UEFA ECL
  • W H Lazio 1–0 xG 0.62–1.32 ITA SA
  • L A Crystal Palace 0–3 xG 0.61–3.2 UEFA ECL
  • W A Hellas Verona 1–0 xG 0.38–1.18 ITA SA

Sassuolo

LDWLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6 · xG 4.31–7.62 · xPts 4.66

  • W H Como 2–1 xG 1.18–0.93 ITA SA
  • L A Genoa 1–2 xG 1.1–1.57 ITA SA
  • W H Cagliari 2–1 xG 0.64–1.57 ITA SA
  • D A Juventus 1–1 xG 0.76–2.32 ITA SA
  • L H Bologna 0–1 xG 0.64–1.23 ITA SA

All meetings · 24 matches since 2013

Fiorentina 97 draws8 Sassuolo

Goals 40–34 · 3.08 per match · BTTS 71% · over 2.5 67%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Fiorentina 33 draws4 Sassuolo

Goals 16–15 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Fiorentina 21 draws2 Sassuolo

Goals 9–6 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Fiorentina 0–0 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Sassuolo 3–1 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Fiorentina 5–1 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Sassuolo 1–0 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Sassuolo 1–3 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Fiorentina 2–1 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Sassuolo 2–1 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Fiorentina 2–2 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Sassuolo 3–1 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Fiorentina 1–1 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricFiorentina all · 38Fiorentina at home · 19Sassuolo all · 38Sassuolo away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.111.111.291.05
W / D / L9 / 15 / 144 / 9 / 614 / 7 / 175 / 5 / 9
Goals for / match1.081.111.211.11
Goals against / match1.321.111.321.26
Clean sheets26%32%21%21%
Failed to score29%21%32%32%
Both teams scored58%63%53%58%
Over 2.550%42%55%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.361.591.151.14
xG against / match1.431.151.441.52
xG difference-0.080.45-0.29-0.38
Finishing vs xG-0.28-0.490.06-0.04
xPts / match1.331.631.201.15
Points vs xPts-0.23-0.530.09-0.10
Game state
Scored first45%42%37%32%
PPG when scoring first1.821.752.502.17
PPG when conceding first0.380.500.550.45
Came back from behind30%40%29%31%
Leads held45%44%82%71%
Minutes leading21%22%22%15%
Minutes level53%51%47%55%
Minutes trailing26%27%31%31%
First goal (min)46503850
First goal conceded (min)44403236
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half58%62%59%76%
Goals conceded in 2nd half60%48%52%58%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.210.160.11
Late goals against0.320.260.320.37
Style
Possession51%52%46%45%
Shots12.915.710.710.6
On target3.44.13.73.8
Shot conversion8%7%11%10%
Shots inside box63%62%66%66%
Big chances created2.22.62.12.0
Corners4.45.53.83.7
xG from set plays32%27%29%33%
Goals from headers10%14%9%10%
Pressure index13.117.39.07.3
Dominant minutes47.754.738.634.6
Pass accuracy84%85%82%82%
Fouls12.411.912.012.2
Cards2.292.162.372.42

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Fiorentina

0–15'48
16–30'76
31–45'66
46–60'1010
61–75'78
76–90'712

Sassuolo

0–15'811
16–30'49
31–45'74
46–60'118
61–75'106
76–90'612

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Fiorentina · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.17) · stands out: 10 min after conceding +0.33

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.174
Early press (0-15, level)+0.094

Game state

When ahead+0.082
When level+0.224
When behind+0.194
10 min after conceding+0.334
10 min after scoring+0.492

Situations

At home+0.192
Away+0.152
4+ days rest+0.174

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.422
As favourite+0.192

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.244
Conceded when ahead+0.202
Conceded late (76+)+0.192

Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level -0.03

Sassuolo · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.09) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.50

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.094
Early press (0-15, level)-0.244
Late push (76+, level)-0.503

Game state

When ahead+0.143
When level-0.074
10 min after conceding-0.424
10 min after scoring+0.184

Situations

At home-0.032
Away+0.222
4+ days rest+0.094

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.112
As underdog+0.073

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded when ahead+0.173
Conceded late (76+)+0.234

Ahead vs level +0.21 · Behind vs level +0.50

Fiorentina

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-315 40%1.81.270.931.151.44
3-5-28 21%0.381.01.881.711.41
3-5-1-13 8%0.00.332.670.972.24
3-4-2-13 8%0.670.671.01.061.22
4-1-4-13 8%0.670.671.01.421.41

Sassuolo

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-336 95%1.251.191.331.181.42
4-4-21 3%1.01.01.00.762.32
4-2-3-11 3%3.02.01.00.641.57

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.9Home 47% P 47%3.1Draw 29% P 29%3.6Away 25% P 24%

Double Chance

1.22Fiorentina or Draw 39%1.33Fiorentina or Sassuolo 35%1.8Draw or Sassuolo 26%

Draw No Bet

1.41 66%2.752 34%

Both Teams To Score

1.7Yes 55%2.05No 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 53%1.9Under 50% P 47%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 22.5–25% · 565 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home47%46%48%+1.4
Draw29%30%28%-1.5
Away24%24%24%+0.2

In those fixtures: 2.3 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 41%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.553%54%54%+0.8

Livio Marinelli

Career
71 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.04 (3.83 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
23.8 · 5.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
54%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 61 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.934.49-0.8022
Fouls / match23.725.2-0.93
Fouls per card6.05.6+0.19 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.360.31+0.3066
Time added6.86.4+0.7878
First card
34' on average
Card timing
18% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
56% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.19

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-07 40 350 65'12
2026-02-20 · Sassuolo 51 261 17'12
2026-01-11 42 330 23'7
2025-12-13 30 330 36'8
2025-10-19 · Fiorentina 60 251 50'7
2025-09-21 · Sassuolo 30 230 31'8
2025-08-29 10 180 64'10
2025-05-25 20 140 47'8
2025-05-18 10 240 87'5
2025-05-09 40 190 37'7