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Serie A · Matchweek 34

Momentum

TorinoInter
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
34

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Torino
Capacity
28,177
Surface
grass
Attendance
23,000

Teams

Coaches
Roberto D'Aversa · Cristian Chivu
Position
13 · 1
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-5-2

Referee

Maurizio Mariani

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
23.9° (feels 23.7°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
51%

Where to watch · 286

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Torino

WLWWD 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 5 · xG 6.95–5.23 · xPts 7.73

  • D A Cremonese 0–0 xG 0.16–1.07 ITA SA
  • W H Hellas Verona 2–1 xG 0.87–1.15 ITA SA
  • W A Pisa 1–0 xG 1.67–0.46 ITA SA
  • L A AC Milan 2–3 xG 2.45–1.73 ITA SA
  • W H Parma 4–1 xG 1.8–0.82 ITA SA

Inter

DDWWW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 14 GA 7 · xG 7.57–6.63 · xPts 7.85

  • W H Cagliari 3–0 xG 2.33–0.59 ITA SA
  • W A Como 4–3 xG 0.83–2.94 ITA SA
  • W H Roma 5–2 xG 1.45–0.87 ITA SA
  • D A Fiorentina 1–1 xG 1.1–1.62 ITA SA
  • D H Atalanta 1–1 xG 1.85–0.61 ITA SA

All meetings · 34 matches since 2007

Torino 49 draws21 Inter

Goals 28–65 · 2.74 per match · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 53%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Torino 02 draws8 Inter

Goals 5–21 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Torino 01 draws4 Inter

Goals 4–14 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Torino 2–2 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Inter 5–0 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Torino 0–2 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Inter 3–2 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Inter 2–0 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Torino 0–3 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Torino 0–1 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Inter 1–0 Torino neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Torino 1–1 Inter ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Inter 1–0 Torino neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricTorino all · 38Torino at home · 19Inter all · 38Inter away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.181.472.292.21
W / D / L12 / 9 / 178 / 4 / 727 / 6 / 513 / 3 / 3
Goals for / match1.161.422.342.05
Goals against / match1.661.530.921.00
Clean sheets32%26%47%53%
Failed to score29%16%5%5%
Both teams scored50%63%47%42%
Over 2.563%68%55%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.221.381.941.64
xG against / match1.481.600.901.03
xG difference-0.26-0.221.040.61
Finishing vs xG-0.060.050.400.41
xPts / match1.221.262.001.77
Points vs xPts-0.040.220.290.44
Game state
Scored first40%42%84%79%
PPG when scoring first2.132.252.532.60
PPG when conceding first0.470.901.000.75
Came back from behind29%42%38%40%
Leads held71%80%77%76%
Minutes leading19%28%52%50%
Minutes level46%43%39%37%
Minutes trailing35%29%10%12%
First goal (min)44412929
First goal conceded (min)29315044
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%56%58%54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half51%52%54%53%
Late goals for (76'+)0.320.260.550.47
Late goals against0.210.210.320.26
Style
Possession44%45%60%60%
Shots11.812.517.116.0
On target4.04.36.05.2
Shot conversion10%11%14%13%
Shots inside box62%65%72%68%
Big chances created2.02.53.93.0
Corners3.84.36.35.3
xG from set plays30%30%28%26%
Goals from headers23%22%23%29%
Pressure index9.110.723.021.1
Dominant minutes36.440.366.161.9
Pass accuracy79%79%87%87%
Fouls13.913.613.113.1
Cards1.921.791.682.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Torino

0–15'45
16–30'713
31–45'613
46–60'812
61–75'712
76–90'128

Inter

0–15'122
16–30'115
31–45'149
46–60'153
61–75'164
76–90'2112

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Torino · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.68

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.024
Early press (0-15, level)-0.184
Late push (76+, level)+0.302
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.093

Game state

When level+0.044
When behind-0.154
10 min after conceding-0.384
10 min after scoring+0.683

Situations

At home-0.192
Away+0.142
4+ days rest-0.024

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.192
v mid-tier opponents+0.142
As underdog-0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.374
Conceded late (76+)+0.244

Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.20

Inter · 5 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.71) · stands out: when behind +1.11

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.715
Early press (0-15, level)+0.205
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.202

Game state

When ahead+0.584
When level+0.455
When behind+1.113
10 min after conceding+0.514
10 min after scoring+0.425

Situations

At home+0.523
Away+0.962
4+ days rest+0.674

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.752
As favourite+0.674

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.365
Conceded when ahead-0.414
Conceded late (76+)-0.414

Congested vs rested +0.20 · Ahead vs level +0.13 · Behind vs level +0.66

Torino

Current: winless 1 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-216 42%1.01.381.881.281.51
3-4-1-29 24%1.891.560.891.261.18
3-4-2-14 10%1.01.252.01.71.47
4-3-32 5%0.50.02.50.941.71
3-1-4-22 5%0.00.04.00.612.35

Inter

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 15 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-238 100%2.292.340.921.940.9

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

7.0Home 14% P 12%5.0Draw 19% P 19%1.4Away 68% P 68%

Double Chance

3.0Torino or Draw 16%1.16Torino or Inter Milan 41%1.1Draw or Inter Milan 43%

Draw No Bet

6.01 16%1.122 84%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52%1.95No 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.61Over 59% P 58%2.3Under 41% P 42%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

2.51.72Over 54% P 52%2.0Under 46% P 48%
3.52.0Over 46% P 37%1.72Under 54% P 63%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 10–12.5% · away 67.5–70% · 208 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home12%12%11%-0.9
Draw19%20%15%-4.3
Away68%69%74%+5.2

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 57%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.558%59%60%+0.8

Maurizio Mariani

Career
229 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
4.68 (4.44 yellow · 0.15 red)
Fouls / match
25.6 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 76 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.334.49-0.2337
Fouls / match25.125.2-0.03
Fouls per card5.85.6-0.04 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.260.31-0.4939
Time added6.66.4+0.3758
First card
35' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.16

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-19 10 150 60'5
2026-04-14 20 190 45'10
2026-03-20 40 280 17'10
2026-03-14 40 260 32'14
2026-03-11 20 241 57'18
2026-02-26 10 201 40'11
2026-02-23 60 270 37'11
2026-02-18 50 230 53'11
2026-01-28 40 130 64'8
2026-01-25 30 320 34'4