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Serie A · Matchweek 35

Momentum

BolognaCagliari
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
35

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna
Capacity
36,532
Surface
grass
Attendance
28,416

Teams

Coaches
Vincenzo Italiano · Fabio Pisacane
Position
9 · 16
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-5-1

Referee

Valerio Crezzini

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
24.9° (feels 24.4°)
Wind
2.7
Humidity
35%

Where to watch · 286

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Bologna

LWLLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 3 GA 11 · xG 6.26–6.37 · xPts 6.72

  • L H Roma 0–2 xG 0.71–1.4 ITA SA
  • L A Juventus 0–2 xG 0.86–1.26 ITA SA
  • L A Aston Villa 0–4 xG 1.27–2.41 UEFA EL
  • W H Lecce 2–0 xG 2.27–0.3 ITA SA
  • L H Aston Villa 1–3 xG 1.15–0.99 UEFA EL

Cagliari

LLWLW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 8 · xG 5.12–6.2 · xPts 6.46

  • W H Atalanta 3–2 xG 1.27–1.13 ITA SA
  • L A Inter 0–3 xG 0.59–2.33 ITA SA
  • W H Cremonese 1–0 xG 1.15–0.35 ITA SA
  • L A Sassuolo 1–2 xG 1.57–0.64 ITA SA
  • L H Napoli 0–1 xG 0.54–1.75 ITA SA

All meetings · 30 matches since 2008

Bologna 128 draws10 Cagliari

Goals 37–32 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 37%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Bologna 61 draws3 Cagliari

Goals 15–9 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Bologna 31 draws1 Cagliari

Goals 7–3 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Bologna 0–0 Cagliari ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Cagliari 0–2 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Bologna 2–1 Cagliari ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Cagliari 0–2 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Cagliari 2–1 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Bologna 2–1 Cagliari ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Cagliari 2–1 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Bologna 2–0 Cagliari neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Cagliari 1–0 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Bologna 3–2 Cagliari ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricBologna all · 38Bologna at home · 19Cagliari all · 38Cagliari away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.471.161.130.95
W / D / L16 / 8 / 146 / 4 / 911 / 10 / 174 / 6 / 9
Goals for / match1.291.001.050.95
Goals against / match1.211.211.391.58
Clean sheets32%37%21%10%
Failed to score29%42%37%37%
Both teams scored45%32%50%63%
Over 2.545%37%50%63%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.321.431.021.08
xG against / match1.121.011.401.56
xG difference0.200.42-0.38-0.49
Finishing vs xG-0.03-0.430.03-0.13
xPts / match1.491.621.131.08
Points vs xPts-0.01-0.460.00-0.13
Game state
Scored first47%37%29%26%
PPG when scoring first2.332.292.091.00
PPG when conceding first0.670.400.710.92
Came back from behind30%18%35%36%
Leads held70%67%65%50%
Minutes leading26%16%16%12%
Minutes level54%59%51%50%
Minutes trailing20%25%32%37%
First goal (min)44514945
First goal conceded (min)46453736
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%63%60%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half63%56%58%60%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.160.210.16
Late goals against0.240.160.370.37
Style
Possession55%56%46%46%
Shots12.914.710.911.1
On target3.83.83.53.5
Shot conversion10%7%10%8%
Shots inside box63%62%61%60%
Big chances created1.81.81.91.8
Corners4.55.23.83.4
xG from set plays30%34%37%31%
Goals from headers6%16%30%11%
Pressure index13.814.48.57.7
Dominant minutes54.055.936.833.5
Pass accuracy82%83%80%81%
Fouls13.112.713.813.7
Cards1.971.422.242.58

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Bologna

0–15'35
16–30'83
31–45'109
46–60'129
61–75'611
76–90'109

Cagliari

0–15'29
16–30'46
31–45'107
46–60'710
61–75'97
76–90'814

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Bologna · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.21) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.62

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.214
Early press (0-15, level)+0.624
Late push (76+, level)+0.202
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.234

Game state

When level+0.394
When behind-0.104
10 min after conceding+0.384

Situations

At home+0.092
Away+0.342
4+ days rest+0.214

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.342
v mid-tier opponents+0.092
As underdog+0.342

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded late (76+)-0.144

Behind vs level -0.49

Cagliari · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.61

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.024
Early press (0-15, level)-0.334

Game state

When ahead+0.263
When level-0.024
10 min after conceding-0.552
10 min after scoring+0.613

Situations

At home-0.012
Away-0.032
4+ days rest-0.024

Opposition

As underdog-0.452

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.304
Conceded when ahead-0.083
Conceded late (76+)+0.064

Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.47

Bologna

Current: winless 5 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 71%1.481.371.191.431.15
4-3-38 21%1.631.131.131.020.89
4-1-4-12 5%1.51.51.51.311.64
3-4-2-11 3%0.00.02.00.711.4

Cagliari

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-218 47%1.061.171.440.941.45
3-5-1-13 8%2.01.331.00.771.91
4-5-13 8%0.670.00.670.60.86
4-3-2-13 8%2.332.01.01.271.87
4-3-1-22 5%0.50.51.51.320.98

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.25Home 42% P 42%3.1Draw 31% P 32%3.5Away 27% P 26%

Double Chance

1.18Bologna or Draw 39%1.33Bologna or Cagliari 35%1.83Draw or Cagliari 25%

Draw No Bet

1.331 71%3.252 29%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48%1.8No 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 42%1.66Under 57% P 58%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.756 - 8 32%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 48%1.83Under 50% P 52%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 25–27.5% · 232 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home42%42%47%+5.0
Draw32%32%29%-2.8
Away26%27%25%-2.2

In those fixtures: 2.3 goals a game · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 41%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.542%41%41%-0.4

Valerio Crezzini

Career
12 matches · 3 seasons
Cards / match
3.25 (3.25 yellow · 0.0 red)
Fouls / match
26.0 · 8.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.25
Cards to home side
36%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 10 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.74.49-1.1310
Fouls / match26.025.2+0.59
Fouls per card8.45.6+2.61 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.30.31-0.1951
Time added7.56.4+2.22100
First card
40' on average
Card timing
8% in first 30' · 51% in last 15'
Cards to home side
36% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-19 40 371 32'5
2025-12-14 40 240 23'9
2025-11-29 · Cagliari 60 320 39'6
2025-11-09 20 171 36'9
2025-10-29 40 170 38'8
2025-10-18 40 300 82'11
2025-09-22 30 281 50'11
2025-08-31 27 3
2025-05-11 50 290 13'5