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Serie A · Matchweek 35

Momentum

SassuoloAC Milan
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
35

Venue

Stadium
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia
Capacity
21,584
Surface
grass
Attendance
19,361

Teams

Coaches
Fabio Grosso · Massimiliano Allegri
Position
11 · 3
Formation
4-3-3 · 3-5-2

Referee

Fabio Maresca

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
25.2° (feels 24.9°)
Wind
2.0
Humidity
39%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Sassuolo

DWLWD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 5 · xG 4.83–8.39 · xPts 4.65

  • D A Fiorentina 0–0 xG 1.16–2.0 ITA SA
  • W H Como 2–1 xG 1.18–0.93 ITA SA
  • L A Genoa 1–2 xG 1.1–1.57 ITA SA
  • W H Cagliari 2–1 xG 0.64–1.57 ITA SA
  • D A Juventus 1–1 xG 0.76–2.32 ITA SA

AC Milan

WLLWD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 5.84–6.31 · xPts 6.29

  • D H Juventus 0–0 xG 0.58–0.51 ITA SA
  • W A Hellas Verona 1–0 xG 0.57–0.8 ITA SA
  • L H Udinese 0–3 xG 2.38–1.5 ITA SA
  • L A Napoli 0–1 xG 0.58–1.05 ITA SA
  • W H Torino 3–2 xG 1.73–2.45 ITA SA

All meetings · 24 matches since 2014

Sassuolo 85 draws11 AC Milan

Goals 37–40 · 3.21 per match · BTTS 62% · over 2.5 62%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Sassuolo 43 draws3 AC Milan

Goals 18–15 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Sassuolo 22 draws1 AC Milan

Goals 12–8 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Sassuolo 2–0 AC Milan ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D AC Milan 2–2 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Sassuolo 3–3 AC Milan ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L AC Milan 1–0 Sassuolo neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W AC Milan 2–5 Sassuolo neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Sassuolo 0–0 AC Milan ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Sassuolo 0–3 AC Milan ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W AC Milan 1–3 Sassuolo neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W AC Milan 1–2 Sassuolo neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Sassuolo 1–2 AC Milan ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricSassuolo all · 38Sassuolo at home · 19AC Milan all · 38AC Milan away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.291.531.842.00
W / D / L14 / 7 / 179 / 2 / 820 / 10 / 811 / 5 / 3
Goals for / match1.211.321.391.47
Goals against / match1.321.370.920.74
Clean sheets21%21%40%42%
Failed to score32%32%18%21%
Both teams scored53%47%47%42%
Over 2.555%58%45%37%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.151.161.591.34
xG against / match1.441.371.241.24
xG difference-0.29-0.200.350.10
Finishing vs xG0.060.15-0.200.13
xPts / match1.201.241.591.46
Points vs xPts0.090.280.250.54
Game state
Scored first37%42%58%63%
PPG when scoring first2.502.752.502.50
PPG when conceding first0.550.640.931.17
Came back from behind29%27%50%50%
Leads held82%90%77%79%
Minutes leading22%30%28%29%
Minutes level47%39%53%55%
Minutes trailing31%31%19%16%
First goal (min)38264646
First goal conceded (min)32284246
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half59%44%62%64%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%46%51%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.160.210.370.42
Late goals against0.320.260.160.11
Style
Possession46%47%52%50%
Shots10.710.713.210.4
On target3.73.74.43.8
Shot conversion11%12%10%14%
Shots inside box66%66%69%71%
Big chances created2.12.12.62.6
Corners3.83.84.33.6
xG from set plays29%25%29%32%
Goals from headers9%8%13%11%
Pressure index9.010.615.211.9
Dominant minutes38.642.651.146.0
Pass accuracy82%82%87%86%
Fouls12.011.810.110.0
Cards2.372.321.821.68

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sassuolo

0–15'811
16–30'49
31–45'74
46–60'118
61–75'106
76–90'612

AC Milan

0–15'55
16–30'37
31–45'125
46–60'136
61–75'66
76–90'146

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sassuolo · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.09) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.50

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.094
Early press (0-15, level)-0.244
Late push (76+, level)-0.503

Game state

When ahead+0.143
When level-0.074
10 min after conceding-0.424
10 min after scoring+0.184

Situations

At home-0.032
Away+0.222
4+ days rest+0.094

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.112
As underdog+0.073

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded when ahead+0.173
Conceded late (76+)+0.234

Ahead vs level +0.21 · Behind vs level +0.50

AC Milan · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.45) · stands out: as favourite +0.69

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.455
Early press (0-15, level)+0.485
Late push (76+, level)+0.022

Game state

When ahead-0.083
When level+0.495
When behind+0.712
10 min after conceding+0.404
10 min after scoring+0.564

Situations

At home+0.472
Away+0.443
4+ days rest+0.455

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.102
As favourite+0.693

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.175
Conceded when ahead+0.003
Conceded late (76+)-0.055

Ahead vs level -0.56 · Behind vs level +0.22

Sassuolo

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-336 95%1.251.191.331.181.42
4-4-21 3%1.01.01.00.762.32
4-2-3-11 3%3.02.01.00.641.57

AC Milan

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-234 90%1.851.410.881.591.28
3-4-2-12 5%3.01.50.01.150.51
3-1-4-21 3%1.02.02.01.661.14
4-3-31 3%0.00.03.02.381.5

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.5Home 21% P 19%4.0Draw 24% P 24%1.72Away 55% P 57%

Double Chance

2.1Sassuolo or Draw 22%1.22Sassuolo or AC Milan 38%1.18Draw or AC Milan 40%

Draw No Bet

3.41 28%1.32 72%

Both Teams To Score

1.75Yes 53%2.0No 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 55%2.1Under 45% P 45%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 50%1.83Under 50% P 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 17.5–20% · away 55–57.5% · 338 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home19%19%20%+0.6
Draw24%25%22%-3.1
Away57%56%59%+2.5

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 53%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.555%56%56%-0.2

Fabio Maresca

Career
165 matches · 14 seasons
Cards / match
5.7 (5.35 yellow · 0.2 red)
Fouls / match
25.0 · 4.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 67 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.394.49+1.2893
Fouls / match25.525.2+0.27
Fouls per card4.75.6-1.10 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.280.31-0.3244
Time added7.26.4+1.6195
First card
31' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.29

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-20 50 210 62'9
2026-04-11 40 180 66'8
2026-04-06 50 220 50'6
2026-03-13 40 300 59'12
2026-01-25 41 310 56'7
2026-01-14 30 250 17'8
2026-01-07 30 240 11'6
2025-12-27 50 220 6'6
2025-12-08 10 281 66'7
2025-05-11 40 320 15'8