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Serie A · Matchweek 37

Momentum

CagliariTorino
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
37

Venue

Stadium
Sardegna Arena, Cagliari
Capacity
16,416
Surface
grass
Attendance
16,054

Teams

Coaches
Fabio Pisacane · Roberto D'Aversa
Position
16 · 12
Formation
4-3-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Alberto Arena

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
15.7° (feels 15.0°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
64%

Where to watch · 286

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Cagliari

WLWDL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 7 · xG 5.3–6.56 · xPts 6.27

  • L H Udinese 0–2 xG 1.49–1.9 ITA SA
  • D A Bologna 0–0 xG 0.8–0.85 ITA SA
  • W H Atalanta 3–2 xG 1.27–1.13 ITA SA
  • L A Inter 0–3 xG 0.59–2.33 ITA SA
  • W H Cremonese 1–0 xG 1.15–0.35 ITA SA

Torino

WDDLW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6 · xG 6.06–7.5 · xPts 5.66

  • W H Sassuolo 2–1 xG 1.98–1.51 ITA SA
  • L A Udinese 0–2 xG 0.69–2.2 ITA SA
  • D H Inter 2–2 xG 2.36–1.58 ITA SA
  • D A Cremonese 0–0 xG 0.16–1.07 ITA SA
  • W H Hellas Verona 2–1 xG 0.87–1.15 ITA SA

All meetings · 30 matches since 2006

Cagliari 118 draws11 Torino

Goals 38–43 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 53%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Cagliari 52 draws3 Torino

Goals 14–13 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Cagliari 30 draws2 Torino

Goals 8–8 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Cagliari 2–1 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Torino 1–2 Cagliari ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Torino 2–0 Cagliari ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Cagliari 3–2 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Cagliari 1–2 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Torino 0–0 Cagliari ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Torino 1–2 Cagliari ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Cagliari 1–1 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Cagliari 0–1 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Torino 2–3 Cagliari neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricCagliari all · 38Cagliari at home · 19Torino all · 38Torino away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.131.321.180.89
W / D / L11 / 10 / 177 / 4 / 812 / 9 / 174 / 5 / 10
Goals for / match1.051.161.160.89
Goals against / match1.391.211.661.79
Clean sheets21%32%32%37%
Failed to score37%37%29%42%
Both teams scored50%37%50%37%
Over 2.550%37%63%58%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.020.961.221.07
xG against / match1.401.241.481.37
xG difference-0.38-0.28-0.26-0.31
Finishing vs xG0.030.20-0.06-0.17
xPts / match1.131.191.221.19
Points vs xPts0.000.13-0.04-0.29
Game state
Scored first29%32%40%37%
PPG when scoring first2.093.002.132.00
PPG when conceding first0.710.500.470.00
Came back from behind35%33%29%17%
Leads held65%78%71%57%
Minutes leading16%20%19%10%
Minutes level51%52%46%49%
Minutes trailing32%28%35%40%
First goal (min)49524448
First goal conceded (min)37382926
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half60%59%61%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%56%51%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.210.260.320.37
Late goals against0.370.370.210.21
Style
Possession46%45%44%43%
Shots10.910.711.811.1
On target3.53.44.03.7
Shot conversion10%11%10%8%
Shots inside box61%63%62%59%
Big chances created1.91.92.01.6
Corners3.84.23.83.4
xG from set plays37%43%30%31%
Goals from headers30%46%23%24%
Pressure index8.59.39.17.4
Dominant minutes36.840.236.432.3
Pass accuracy80%79%79%80%
Fouls13.813.813.914.3
Cards2.241.891.922.05

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Cagliari

0–15'29
16–30'46
31–45'107
46–60'710
61–75'97
76–90'814

Torino

0–15'45
16–30'713
31–45'613
46–60'812
61–75'712
76–90'128

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Cagliari · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.61

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.024
Early press (0-15, level)-0.334

Game state

When ahead+0.263
When level-0.024
10 min after conceding-0.552
10 min after scoring+0.613

Situations

At home-0.012
Away-0.032
4+ days rest-0.024

Opposition

As underdog-0.452

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.304
Conceded when ahead-0.083
Conceded late (76+)+0.064

Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.47

Torino · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.68

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.024
Early press (0-15, level)-0.184
Late push (76+, level)+0.302
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.093

Game state

When level+0.044
When behind-0.154
10 min after conceding-0.384
10 min after scoring+0.683

Situations

At home-0.192
Away+0.142
4+ days rest-0.024

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.192
v mid-tier opponents+0.142
As underdog-0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.374
Conceded late (76+)+0.244

Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level -0.20

Cagliari

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-218 47%1.061.171.440.941.45
4-3-2-13 8%2.332.01.01.271.87
4-5-13 8%0.670.00.670.60.86
3-5-1-13 8%2.01.331.00.771.91
4-3-1-22 5%0.50.51.51.320.98

Torino

Current: winless 1 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-216 42%1.01.381.881.281.51
3-4-1-29 24%1.891.560.891.261.18
3-4-2-14 10%1.01.252.01.71.47
3-4-32 5%1.51.01.00.851.42
3-1-4-22 5%0.00.04.00.612.35

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.15Home 44% P 43%3.1Draw 30% P 31%3.7Away 26% P 26%

Double Chance

1.3Cagliari or Draw 36%1.36Cagliari or Torino 34%1.57Draw or Torino 30%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48%1.8No 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.3Over 41% P 41%1.61Under 59% P 59%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 33%5.512 - 14 16%15.0Over 14 6%

Number of Cards

2.51.61Over 58% P 58%2.2Under 42% P 42%
3.52.1Over 44% P 39%1.66Under 56% P 61%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 25–27.5% · 725 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home43%44%44%-0.2
Draw31%30%28%-1.4
Away26%26%28%+1.6

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.541%41%41%-0.4

Alberto Arena

Career
14 matches · 3 seasons
Cards / match
3.14 (3.07 yellow · 0.07 red)
Fouls / match
22.2 · 7.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.21
Cards to home side
59%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 13 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.234.49-1.795
Fouls / match22.325.2-1.82
Fouls per card7.45.6+1.61 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.31-1.372
Time added7.26.4+1.6195
First card
38' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
59% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.25

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-09 40 150 37'14
2026-01-31 60 210 23'8
2026-01-19 30 260 37'5
2026-01-03 40 271 32'5
2025-11-23 20 210 79'8
2025-11-02 · Torino 30 221 27'7
2025-10-25 40 140 16'6
2025-10-05 · Cagliari 30 300 21'7
2025-09-15 30 210 43'7
2025-08-24 20 190 28'6