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Serie A · Matchweek 37

Momentum

ComoParma
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
37

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como
Capacity
12,064
Surface
grass
Attendance
11,365

Teams

Coaches
Cesc Fàbregas · Carlos Antón Cuesta
Position
6 · 13
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-5-2

Referee

Luca Zufferli

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
20.0° (feels 18.9°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
35%

Where to watch · 286

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Como

LLWDW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 6.91–4.66 · xPts 8.04

  • W A Hellas Verona 1–0 xG 0.93–1.31 ITA SA
  • D H Napoli 0–0 xG 1.32–0.75 ITA SA
  • W A Genoa 2–0 xG 0.79–0.6 ITA SA
  • L A Sassuolo 1–2 xG 0.93–1.18 ITA SA
  • L H Inter 3–4 xG 2.94–0.83 ITA SA

Parma

DWWLL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 4.56–8.23 · xPts 4.49

  • L H Roma 2–3 xG 1.07–2.42 ITA SA
  • L A Inter 0–2 xG 0.41–1.98 ITA SA
  • W H Pisa 1–0 xG 1.57–1.25 ITA SA
  • W A Udinese 1–0 xG 1.36–1.12 ITA SA
  • D H Napoli 1–1 xG 0.13–1.47 ITA SA

All meetings · 5 matches since 2024

Como 32 draws0 Parma

Goals 5–2 · 1.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Last 10 · 5 matches

Como 32 draws0 Parma

Goals 5–2 · 1.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Como 32 draws0 Parma

Goals 5–2 · 1.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • W Como 2–1 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Como 1–0 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Parma 0–0 Como ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Parma 0–1 Como ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Como 1–1 Parma ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricComo all · 38Como at home · 19Parma all · 38Parma away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.871.891.181.26
W / D / L20 / 11 / 710 / 6 / 311 / 12 / 156 / 6 / 7
Goals for / match1.711.840.740.63
Goals against / match0.760.791.211.11
Clean sheets50%53%34%42%
Failed to score24%16%42%47%
Both teams scored42%47%40%32%
Over 2.545%42%29%26%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.601.920.890.86
xG against / match0.910.861.561.59
xG difference0.691.06-0.66-0.72
Finishing vs xG0.11-0.07-0.15-0.23
xPts / match1.782.001.010.96
Points vs xPts0.09-0.110.170.31
Game state
Scored first58%63%34%32%
PPG when scoring first2.452.172.462.67
PPG when conceding first1.101.750.370.44
Came back from behind42%50%25%22%
Leads held80%71%73%86%
Minutes leading38%44%13%14%
Minutes level48%43%63%63%
Minutes trailing14%13%24%23%
First goal (min)32314849
First goal conceded (min)41414139
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half58%54%64%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half59%60%63%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.390.420.260.21
Late goals against0.110.110.340.37
Style
Possession62%64%44%42%
Shots14.416.710.79.0
On target5.16.32.72.5
Shot conversion12%11%7%7%
Shots inside box66%67%56%56%
Big chances created2.63.31.61.7
Corners4.55.03.83.5
xG from set plays32%28%40%43%
Goals from headers15%14%36%42%
Pressure index21.125.19.17.5
Dominant minutes67.274.437.832.6
Pass accuracy87%88%80%80%
Fouls13.412.510.810.8
Cards2.212.161.971.84

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Como

0–15'115
16–30'72
31–45'95
46–60'910
61–75'143
76–90'154

Parma

0–15'47
16–30'34
31–45'36
46–60'48
61–75'48
76–90'1013

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Como · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.35) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.70

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.355
Early press (0-15, level)+0.415

Game state

When ahead+0.224
When level+0.565
When behind+0.302
10 min after conceding+0.075
10 min after scoring+0.705

Situations

At home+0.342
Away+0.353
4+ days rest+0.355

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.022
As favourite+0.394

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.145
Conceded when ahead-0.014
Conceded late (76+)-0.135

Ahead vs level -0.34 · Behind vs level -0.27

Parma · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.20) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.204
Early press (0-15, level)+0.534
Late push (76+, level)-0.722
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.523

Game state

When level-0.214
When behind-0.194
10 min after conceding-0.494
10 min after scoring-0.162

Situations

At home-0.242
Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.204

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.172
Evenly matched-0.242
As underdog-0.172

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.404
Conceded late (76+)+0.484

Behind vs level +0.02

Como

Current: unbeaten 10 · wins 4 · scoring 8 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-134 90%1.791.710.791.560.95
3-4-2-12 5%2.01.51.01.520.83
4-3-2-11 3%3.03.00.02.50.35
4-3-31 3%3.01.00.02.230.19

Parma

Current: winless 4 · scoring 2 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-219 50%1.320.740.890.841.35
4-3-36 16%1.830.830.671.011.5
3-4-2-14 10%1.00.51.751.062.38
3-1-4-23 8%0.670.671.670.751.27
4-4-22 5%0.00.51.51.241.14

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.22Home 77% P 77%6.0Draw 16% P 16%13.0Away 7% P 7%

Double Chance

1.06Como or Draw 45%1.16Como or Parma 41%3.25Draw or Parma 15%

Draw No Bet

1.071 89%9.02 11%

Both Teams To Score

2.1Yes 44%1.66No 56%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.61Over 59% P 57%2.3Under 41% P 43%

Total Corners

6.5Under 6 13%2.626 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 31%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

2.51.61Over 58% P 54%2.2Under 42% P 46%
3.52.25Over 41% P 35%1.57Under 59% P 65%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 75–80% · away 5–10% · 1,139 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home77%77%78%+1.0
Draw16%15%15%-0.1
Away7%8%7%-0.9

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 66%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.557%56%56%-0.2

Luca Zufferli

Career
44 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
3.11 (3.0 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
23.6 · 7.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 41 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.14.49-1.982
Fouls / match23.625.2-0.95
Fouls per card8.05.6+2.18 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.290.31-0.2546
Time added6.86.4+0.7878
First card
36' on average
Card timing
20% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.4

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-05-10 60 251 34'9
2026-05-04 40 220 25'3
2026-04-18 40 201 29'6
2026-04-05 10 240 14'5
2026-03-08 · Parma 20 260 61'6
2026-01-30 50 243 64'8
2026-01-18 20 200 21'5
2026-01-06 15 6
2025-12-07 31 340 52'6
2025-11-08 10 130 64'7