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Serie A · Matchweek 37

Momentum

JuventusFiorentina
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
37

Venue

Stadium
Juventus Stadium, Torino
Capacity
45,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
41,676

Teams

Coaches
Luciano Spalletti · Paolo Vanoli
Position
3 · 15
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Davide Massa

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
20.0° (feels 18.9°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
34%

Where to watch · 286

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Juventus

WWDDW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 1 · xG 7.74–5.04 · xPts 8.31

  • W A Lecce 1–0 xG 2.09–1.12 ITA SA
  • D H Hellas Verona 1–1 xG 2.91–0.31 ITA SA
  • D A AC Milan 0–0 xG 0.51–0.58 ITA SA
  • W H Bologna 2–0 xG 1.26–0.86 ITA SA
  • W A Atalanta 1–0 xG 0.97–2.18 ITA SA

Fiorentina

WDDLD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 3 GA 6 · xG 6.5–7.76 · xPts 6.29

  • D H Genoa 0–0 xG 1.06–0.73 ITA SA
  • L A Roma 0–4 xG 0.14–2.35 ITA SA
  • D H Sassuolo 0–0 xG 2.0–1.16 ITA SA
  • D A Lecce 1–1 xG 1.0–1.97 ITA SA
  • W H Crystal Palace 2–1 xG 2.3–1.55 UEFA ECL

All meetings · 42 matches since 2005

Juventus 2114 draws7 Fiorentina

Goals 57–39 · 2.29 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 40%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Juventus 43 draws3 Fiorentina

Goals 8–11 · 1.9 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 20%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Juventus 12 draws2 Fiorentina

Goals 4–8 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Juventus 0–2 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Fiorentina 1–1 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Fiorentina 3–0 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Juventus 2–2 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Juventus 1–0 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Fiorentina 0–1 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Juventus 1–0 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Fiorentina 1–1 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Fiorentina 2–0 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Juventus 1–0 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricJuventus all · 38Juventus at home · 19Fiorentina all · 38Fiorentina away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.821.951.111.11
W / D / L19 / 12 / 710 / 7 / 29 / 15 / 145 / 6 / 8
Goals for / match1.611.841.081.05
Goals against / match0.890.841.321.53
Clean sheets42%42%26%21%
Failed to score21%21%29%37%
Both teams scored45%47%58%53%
Over 2.540%42%50%58%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.832.061.361.12
xG against / match1.000.921.431.72
xG difference0.831.14-0.08-0.60
Finishing vs xG-0.22-0.22-0.28-0.07
xPts / match1.832.011.331.03
Points vs xPts-0.02-0.07-0.230.07
Game state
Scored first58%53%45%47%
PPG when scoring first2.642.801.821.89
PPG when conceding first0.621.000.380.25
Came back from behind50%75%30%20%
Leads held83%91%45%46%
Minutes leading35%36%21%20%
Minutes level49%49%53%56%
Minutes trailing17%15%26%24%
First goal (min)35344640
First goal conceded (min)40404448
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%60%58%55%
Goals conceded in 2nd half56%44%60%69%
Late goals for (76'+)0.340.470.180.16
Late goals against0.210.110.320.37
Style
Possession58%59%51%50%
Shots16.819.712.910.1
On target6.06.83.42.8
Shot conversion10%9%8%10%
Shots inside box65%64%63%64%
Big chances created2.93.22.21.8
Corners5.46.54.43.4
xG from set plays26%29%32%39%
Goals from headers24%30%10%5%
Pressure index22.525.513.18.9
Dominant minutes64.769.147.740.7
Pass accuracy86%87%84%83%
Fouls12.111.412.412.9
Cards1.451.112.292.42

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Juventus

0–15'104
16–30'73
31–45'78
46–60'116
61–75'135
76–90'138

Fiorentina

0–15'48
16–30'76
31–45'66
46–60'1010
61–75'78
76–90'712

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Juventus · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.27) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.64

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.275
Early press (0-15, level)-0.165
Late push (76+, level)+1.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.212

Game state

When ahead+0.423
When level+0.215
When behind+0.142
10 min after conceding-0.112
10 min after scoring+0.645

Situations

At home+0.163
Away+0.402
4+ days rest+0.275

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.152
As favourite+0.275

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.285
Conceded when ahead-0.343
Conceded late (76+)-0.494

Ahead vs level +0.20 · Behind vs level -0.07

Fiorentina · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.17) · stands out: 10 min after conceding +0.33

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.174
Early press (0-15, level)+0.094

Game state

When ahead+0.082
When level+0.224
When behind+0.194
10 min after conceding+0.334
10 min after scoring+0.492

Situations

At home+0.192
Away+0.152
4+ days rest+0.174

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.422
As favourite+0.192

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.244
Conceded when ahead+0.202
Conceded late (76+)+0.192

Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level -0.03

Juventus

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-124 63%2.041.540.671.690.99
4-2-3-16 16%1.671.830.832.610.73
4-3-32 5%0.01.02.51.21.6
4-1-4-12 5%2.01.50.52.281.11
3-5-22 5%0.00.51.51.01.33

Fiorentina

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-315 40%1.81.270.931.151.44
3-5-28 21%0.381.01.881.711.41
3-5-1-13 8%0.00.332.670.972.24
4-1-4-13 8%0.670.671.01.421.41
3-4-2-13 8%0.670.671.01.061.22

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.33Home 71% P 73%6.0Draw 16% P 17%7.5Away 13% P 10%

Double Chance

1.1Juventus or Draw 43%1.14Juventus or Fiorentina 41%3.0Draw or Fiorentina 16%

Draw No Bet

1.111 85%6.52 15%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48%1.8No 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.61Over 59% P 60%2.3Under 41% P 40%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 55%1.83Under 50% P 45%
4.52.2Over 42% P 36%1.61Under 58% P 64%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 72.5–75% · away 7.5–10% · 458 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home73%74%74%+0.5
Draw17%17%18%+0.9
Away10%9%8%-1.5

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 60%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.560%59%60%+0.8

Davide Massa

Career
316 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
4.86 (4.64 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
25.0 · 4.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 79 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.24.49+1.0188
Fouls / match26.825.2+1.11
Fouls per card5.25.6-0.61 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.20.31-0.9712
Time added6.46.4-0.0444
First card
32' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.17

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-05-07 41 260 6'7
2026-04-25 70 340 12'6
2026-04-16 70 281 35'12
2026-04-12 100 291 24'6
2026-04-06 · Juventus 50 181 15'6
2026-03-19 20 170 25'6
2026-03-15 51 341 48'7
2026-03-01 20 240 76'8
2026-02-24 10 141 80'10
2026-02-07 51 282 2'6