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Serie A · Matchweek 37

Momentum

RomaLazio
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
37

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Olimpico, Roma
Capacity
72,698
Surface
grass
Attendance
50,152

Teams

Coaches
Gian Gasperini · Maurizio Sarri
Position
5 · 9
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Fabio Maresca

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
20.1° (feels 19.4°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
47%

Where to watch · 286

  • Albania Tring Sport 3
  • Algeria STARZPLAY
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  • Benin SuperSport Football Plus ROA · SuperSport GOtv LaLiga · SuperSport Laliga ROA · SuperSport MaXimo 1
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  • Germany DAZN · DAZN1 Germany
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  • Lesotho DStv Now · SuperSport Football Plus ROA · SuperSport GOtv LaLiga · SuperSport Laliga ROA · SuperSport MaXimo 1
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  • Libya STARZPLAY
  • Madagascar DStv Now · SuperSport Football Plus ROA · SuperSport GOtv LaLiga · SuperSport Laliga ROA · SuperSport MaXimo 1
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  • Morocco STARZPLAY
  • Mozambique DStv Now · Sporty TV · SuperSport Football Plus ROA · SuperSport GOtv LaLiga · SuperSport Laliga ROA · SuperSport MaXimo 1
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  • Netherlands Ziggo Sport 2 · Ziggo Sport 3 · Ziggo Sport 5
  • New Zealand beIN Sports Connect New Zealand
  • Nigeria DStv Now · Sporty TV · SuperSport Football Plus ROA · SuperSport GOtv LaLiga · SuperSport Laliga ROA · SuperSport MaXimo 1
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  • Portugal DAZN Eleven 1 Portugal · DAZN Eleven 2 Portugal · DAZN Eleven 4 Portugal · DAZN Portugal · Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
  • Qatar STARZPLAY
  • Republic of Ireland TNT Sports 3
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  • Slovakia Sport 1 CZ/SK
  • Somalia STARZPLAY · SuperSport Football Plus ROA · SuperSport GOtv LaLiga · SuperSport Laliga ROA · SuperSport MaXimo 1
  • South Africa Sporty TV · SuperSport GOtv LaLiga · SuperSport MaXimo 1
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  • Spain DAZN
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  • Syria STARZPLAY
  • São Tomé and Príncipe SuperSport Football Plus ROA · SuperSport GOtv LaLiga · SuperSport Laliga ROA · SuperSport MaXimo 1
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  • Tunisia STARZPLAY
  • Turkey S Sport · S Sport 2
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  • United Arab Emirates STARZPLAY
  • United States fuboTV · Paramount+
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  • Yemen STARZPLAY
  • Zambia SuperSport Football Plus ROA · SuperSport GOtv LaLiga · SuperSport Laliga ROA · SuperSport MaXimo 1
  • Zimbabwe DStv Now · SuperSport Football Plus ROA · SuperSport GOtv LaLiga · SuperSport Laliga ROA · SuperSport MaXimo 1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Roma

WDWWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 13 GA 3 · xG 8.6–3.6 · xPts 10.1

  • W A Parma 3–2 xG 2.42–1.07 ITA SA
  • W H Fiorentina 4–0 xG 2.35–0.14 ITA SA
  • W A Bologna 2–0 xG 1.4–0.71 ITA SA
  • D H Atalanta 1–1 xG 1.14–0.67 ITA SA
  • W H Pisa 3–0 xG 1.29–1.0 ITA SA

Lazio

LWDWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 8 · xG 7.73–5.59 · xPts 8.05

  • L H Inter 0–3 xG 0.64–1.31 ITA SA
  • W A Cremonese 2–1 xG 0.84–0.8 ITA SA
  • D H Udinese 3–3 xG 2.21–2.12 ITA SA
  • W A Napoli 2–0 xG 2.71–0.74 ITA SA
  • L A Fiorentina 0–1 xG 1.32–0.62 ITA SA

All meetings · 42 matches since 2005

Roma 2010 draws12 Lazio

Goals 59–45 · 2.48 per match · BTTS 45% · over 2.5 43%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Roma 52 draws3 Lazio

Goals 12–6 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 20%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Roma 41 draws0 Lazio

Goals 7–1 · 1.6 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

  • W Roma 2–0 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Lazio 0–1 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Lazio 1–1 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Roma 2–0 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Roma 1–0 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Lazio 0–0 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Lazio 1–0 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Roma 0–1 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Roma 3–0 Lazio neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Lazio 3–2 Roma neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricRoma all · 38Roma at home · 19Lazio all · 38Lazio away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.922.211.421.26
W / D / L23 / 4 / 1113 / 3 / 314 / 12 / 126 / 6 / 7
Goals for / match1.551.741.080.74
Goals against / match0.820.531.050.79
Clean sheets47%58%40%47%
Failed to score18%16%45%58%
Both teams scored34%26%29%16%
Over 2.537%32%32%16%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.481.571.171.04
xG against / match0.990.731.361.30
xG difference0.490.85-0.19-0.26
Finishing vs xG0.070.16-0.09-0.30
xPts / match1.701.911.231.18
Points vs xPts0.220.300.190.08
Game state
Scored first66%74%42%37%
PPG when scoring first2.722.862.502.43
PPG when conceding first0.380.400.530.38
Came back from behind27%40%33%12%
Leads held88%93%70%75%
Minutes leading40%41%21%15%
Minutes level44%46%54%62%
Minutes trailing16%12%25%23%
First goal (min)36424253
First goal conceded (min)46493544
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%58%61%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half68%70%52%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.320.390.26
Late goals against0.260.210.180.11
Style
Possession56%58%50%51%
Shots13.215.311.09.8
On target4.75.24.13.5
Shot conversion12%11%10%8%
Shots inside box74%75%61%61%
Big chances created2.22.41.91.9
Corners5.25.73.72.9
xG from set plays31%27%30%30%
Goals from headers20%27%7%0%
Pressure index18.621.012.29.8
Dominant minutes61.968.045.041.0
Pass accuracy83%85%86%86%
Fouls13.812.710.610.3
Cards1.891.632.292.11

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Roma

0–15'85
16–30'90
31–45'105
46–60'108
61–75'133
76–90'910

Lazio

0–15'65
16–30'47
31–45'67
46–60'67
61–75'47
76–90'157

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Roma · 5 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.66) · stands out: when level +0.82

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.665
Early press (0-15, level)+0.385
Late push (76+, level)+0.042

Game state

When ahead+0.365
When level+0.825
10 min after conceding-0.312
10 min after scoring+0.545

Situations

At home+1.332
Away+0.173
4+ days rest+0.665

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.912
As favourite+0.665

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.195
Conceded when ahead-0.195
Conceded late (76+)-0.563

Ahead vs level -0.46 · Behind vs level -0.11

Lazio · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.62

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.034
Early press (0-15, level)+0.254
Late push (76+, level)-0.102

Game state

When ahead+0.134
When level-0.104
10 min after conceding-0.612
10 min after scoring+0.624

Situations

At home-0.172
Away+0.232
4+ days rest+0.034

Opposition

Evenly matched+0.173

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.004
Conceded when ahead-0.064
Conceded late (76+)-0.244

Ahead vs level +0.23 · Behind vs level +0.30

Roma

Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 1 · scoring 22 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-130 79%1.91.630.871.450.98
3-4-1-24 10%2.251.250.251.710.58
3-5-23 8%1.331.331.331.781.78
3-4-31 3%3.01.00.00.780.6

Lazio

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-336 95%1.390.971.031.121.37
4-2-3-12 5%2.03.01.52.031.32

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.5Home 63% P 63%4.1Draw 23% P 23%6.5Away 14% P 14%

Double Chance

1.11Roma or Draw 42%1.22Roma or Lazio 39%2.5Draw or Lazio 19%

Draw No Bet

1.161 81%5.02 19%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48%1.8No 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 50%1.9Under 50% P 50%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

5.51.83Over 50% P 55%1.83Under 50% P 45%
6.52.1Over 44% P 39%1.66Under 56% P 61%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 62.5–65% · away 12.5–15% · 544 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home63%64%63%-0.9
Draw23%22%24%+2.1
Away14%14%13%-1.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 55%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.550%51%51%-0.1

Fabio Maresca

Career
165 matches · 14 seasons
Cards / match
5.7 (5.35 yellow · 0.2 red)
Fouls / match
25.0 · 4.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 67 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.394.49+1.2893
Fouls / match25.525.2+0.27
Fouls per card4.75.6-1.10 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.280.31-0.3244
Time added7.26.4+1.6195
First card
31' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.29

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-05-03 81 320 9'7
2026-04-20 50 210 62'9
2026-04-11 40 180 66'8
2026-04-06 50 220 50'6
2026-03-13 40 300 59'12
2026-01-25 41 310 56'7
2026-01-14 30 250 17'8
2026-01-07 30 240 11'6
2025-12-27 50 220 6'6
2025-12-08 10 281 66'7