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Serie A · Matchweek 37

Momentum

SassuoloLecce
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
37

Venue

Stadium
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia
Capacity
21,584
Surface
grass
Attendance
15,186

Teams

Coaches
Fabio Grosso · Eusebio Di Francesco
Position
11 · 17
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Federico La Penna

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
17.8° (feels 17.3°)
Wind
2.8
Humidity
66%

Where to watch · 286

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Sassuolo

LWDWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 5 · xG 7.15–6.85 · xPts 7.12

  • L A Torino 1–2 xG 1.51–1.98 ITA SA
  • W H AC Milan 2–0 xG 2.2–0.37 ITA SA
  • D A Fiorentina 0–0 xG 1.16–2.0 ITA SA
  • W H Como 2–1 xG 1.18–0.93 ITA SA
  • L A Genoa 1–2 xG 1.1–1.57 ITA SA

Lecce

LDDWL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 5 · xG 5.66–8.02 · xPts 5.78

  • L H Juventus 0–1 xG 1.12–2.09 ITA SA
  • W A Pisa 2–1 xG 1.06–2.29 ITA SA
  • D A Hellas Verona 0–0 xG 1.2–0.37 ITA SA
  • D H Fiorentina 1–1 xG 1.97–1.0 ITA SA
  • L A Bologna 0–2 xG 0.3–2.27 ITA SA

All meetings · 8 matches since 2019

Sassuolo 33 draws2 Lecce

Goals 11–11 · 2.75 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 8 matches

Sassuolo 33 draws2 Lecce

Goals 11–11 · 2.75 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Sassuolo 12 draws2 Lecce

Goals 4–7 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Sassuolo 2–3 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Lecce 0–0 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Sassuolo 0–3 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Lecce 1–1 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Lecce 0–1 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Sassuolo 1–0 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Sassuolo 4–2 Lecce ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Lecce 2–2 Sassuolo ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricSassuolo all · 38Sassuolo at home · 19Lecce all · 38Lecce away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.291.531.000.95
W / D / L14 / 7 / 179 / 2 / 810 / 8 / 205 / 3 / 11
Goals for / match1.211.320.740.79
Goals against / match1.321.371.321.37
Clean sheets21%21%26%26%
Failed to score32%32%50%47%
Both teams scored53%47%37%37%
Over 2.555%58%37%32%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.151.160.890.71
xG against / match1.441.371.531.68
xG difference-0.29-0.20-0.64-0.97
Finishing vs xG0.060.15-0.150.08
xPts / match1.201.241.010.81
Points vs xPts0.090.28-0.010.14
Game state
Scored first37%42%42%42%
PPG when scoring first2.502.752.002.00
PPG when conceding first0.550.640.060.00
Came back from behind29%27%9%0%
Leads held82%90%62%62%
Minutes leading22%30%20%17%
Minutes level47%39%53%55%
Minutes trailing31%31%28%28%
First goal (min)38263239
First goal conceded (min)32284242
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half59%44%43%53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%46%64%62%
Late goals for (76'+)0.160.210.160.21
Late goals against0.320.260.240.37
Style
Possession46%47%42%39%
Shots10.710.79.89.0
On target3.73.72.62.3
Shot conversion11%12%8%9%
Shots inside box66%66%58%54%
Big chances created2.12.11.31.2
Corners3.83.84.34.4
xG from set plays29%25%33%25%
Goals from headers9%8%29%27%
Pressure index9.010.67.25.7
Dominant minutes38.642.634.328.1
Pass accuracy82%82%74%73%
Fouls12.011.812.613.3
Cards2.372.321.871.84

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sassuolo

0–15'811
16–30'49
31–45'74
46–60'118
61–75'106
76–90'612

Lecce

0–15'82
16–30'510
31–45'36
46–60'29
61–75'414
76–90'69

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sassuolo · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.20) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.50

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.205
Early press (0-15, level)-0.325
Late push (76+, level)-0.503
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.042

Game state

When ahead+0.143
When level+0.195
When behind+0.262
10 min after conceding-0.425
10 min after scoring+0.175

Situations

At home-0.032
Away+0.353
4+ days rest+0.205

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.112
Evenly matched+0.382
As underdog+0.073

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.055
Conceded when ahead+0.173
Conceded late (76+)+0.085

Ahead vs level -0.06 · Behind vs level +0.07

Lecce · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.31) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.43

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.314
Early press (0-15, level)-0.434

Game state

When ahead-0.342
When level-0.294
When behind-0.272
10 min after conceding-0.233
10 min after scoring-0.202

Situations

At home-0.372
Away-0.272
4+ days rest-0.314

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.382
As underdog-0.233

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.804
Conceded when ahead+0.912
Conceded late (76+)+0.563

Ahead vs level -0.05 · Behind vs level +0.02

Sassuolo

Current: winless 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-336 95%1.251.191.331.181.42
4-4-21 3%1.01.01.00.762.32
4-2-3-11 3%3.02.01.00.641.57

Lecce

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-122 58%1.140.821.230.971.44
4-3-313 34%0.770.621.310.731.65
4-1-4-12 5%1.50.51.51.421.31
3-5-1-11 3%0.01.03.00.212.43

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.55Home 37% P 37%3.2Draw 30% P 30%2.87Away 33% P 33%

Double Chance

1.44Sassuolo or Draw 33%1.36Sassuolo or Lecce 35%1.44Draw or Lecce 33%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52%1.95No 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 46%1.72Under 55% P 54%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.52.2Over 42% P 39%1.61Under 58% P 61%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 32.5–35% · 702 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home37%36%35%-1.6
Draw30%30%32%+2.1
Away33%34%33%-0.6

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 46%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.546%46%45%-1.2

Federico La Penna

Career
103 matches · 13 seasons
Cards / match
4.58 (4.39 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
27.2 · 5.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 52 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.734.48+0.3561
Fouls / match26.325.1+0.78
Fouls per card5.75.6-0.17 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.310.31-0.1356
Time added6.86.4+0.7980
First card
33' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.28

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-26 40 270 37'8
2026-04-06 · Lecce 20 280 47'5
2026-03-15 52 301 37'12
2026-02-14 61 220 9'6
2026-01-31 20 340 44'9
2026-01-12 70 370 15'4
2026-01-04 30 290 20'10
2025-12-28 30 200 19'6
2025-12-07 30 210 33'5
2025-11-22 71 380 9'6