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Serie A · Matchweek 38

Momentum

CremoneseComo
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
38

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona
Capacity
16,003
Surface
grass
Attendance
12,046

Teams

Coaches
Marco Giampaolo · Cesc Fàbregas
Position
18 · 5
Formation
3-5-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Fabio Maresca

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
23.7° (feels 23.8°)
Wind
1.3
Humidity
66%

Where to watch · 286

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Cremonese

DLLWW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 3.61–4.1 · xPts 7.23

  • W A Udinese 1–0 xG 0.52–0.38 ITA SA
  • W H Pisa 3–0 xG 0.95–0 ITA SA
  • L H Lazio 1–2 xG 0.8–0.84 ITA SA
  • L A Napoli 0–4 xG 0.27–2.72 ITA SA
  • D H Torino 0–0 xG 1.07–0.16 ITA SA

Como

LWDWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 2 · xG 6.28–4.0 · xPts 8.23

  • W H Parma 1–0 xG 2.31–0.17 ITA SA
  • W A Hellas Verona 1–0 xG 0.93–1.31 ITA SA
  • D H Napoli 0–0 xG 1.32–0.75 ITA SA
  • W A Genoa 2–0 xG 0.79–0.6 ITA SA
  • L A Sassuolo 1–2 xG 0.93–1.18 ITA SA

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Cremonese 01 draws1 Como

Goals 2–5 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Cremonese 01 draws1 Como

Goals 2–5 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Cremonese 01 draws1 Como

Goals 2–5 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • L Cremonese 1–4 Como ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Como 1–1 Cremonese ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricCremonese all · 38Cremonese at home · 19Como all · 38Como away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game0.890.841.871.84
W / D / L8 / 10 / 203 / 7 / 920 / 11 / 710 / 5 / 4
Goals for / match0.840.951.711.58
Goals against / match1.501.530.760.74
Clean sheets29%32%50%47%
Failed to score45%37%24%32%
Both teams scored42%53%42%37%
Over 2.545%47%45%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.951.181.601.28
xG against / match1.591.420.910.97
xG difference-0.64-0.240.690.32
Finishing vs xG-0.11-0.230.110.30
xPts / match1.011.251.781.55
Points vs xPts-0.11-0.400.090.29
Game state
Scored first32%37%58%53%
PPG when scoring first2.251.712.452.80
PPG when conceding first0.050.001.100.67
Came back from behind5%0%42%33%
Leads held67%43%80%91%
Minutes leading18%17%38%32%
Minutes level48%52%48%53%
Minutes trailing34%30%14%15%
First goal (min)49513233
First goal conceded (min)37394140
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half62%61%58%63%
Goals conceded in 2nd half51%62%59%57%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.370.390.37
Late goals against0.240.320.110.11
Style
Possession46%47%62%59%
Shots9.110.314.412.2
On target3.33.75.13.9
Shot conversion9%9%12%13%
Shots inside box61%62%66%65%
Big chances created1.61.92.61.9
Corners3.53.64.53.9
xG from set plays34%36%32%37%
Goals from headers19%22%15%17%
Pressure index6.98.121.117.1
Dominant minutes32.836.567.260.0
Pass accuracy78%78%87%87%
Fouls13.513.413.414.3
Cards2.082.112.212.26

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Cremonese

0–15'49
16–30'37
31–45'512
46–60'810
61–75'310
76–90'99

Como

0–15'115
16–30'72
31–45'95
46–60'910
61–75'143
76–90'154

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Cremonese

No pressure profile yet.

Como · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.34) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.69

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.345
Early press (0-15, level)+0.415

Game state

When ahead+0.224
When level+0.565
When behind+0.302
10 min after conceding+0.075
10 min after scoring+0.695

Situations

At home+0.342
Away+0.353
4+ days rest+0.345

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.012
As favourite+0.394

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.145
Conceded when ahead-0.004
Conceded late (76+)-0.135

Ahead vs level -0.34 · Behind vs level -0.26

Cremonese

Current: winless 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-226 68%0.770.691.580.961.66
4-4-25 13%1.41.01.00.630.89
3-1-4-24 10%1.751.50.751.312.02
4-1-3-21 3%0.01.02.01.471.24
3-4-31 3%0.01.02.00.80.84

Como

Current: unbeaten 10 · wins 4 · scoring 8 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-134 90%1.791.710.791.560.95
3-4-2-12 5%2.01.51.01.520.83
4-3-2-11 3%3.03.00.02.50.35
4-3-31 3%3.01.00.02.230.19

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

5.5Home 17% P 16%4.33Draw 22% P 22%1.55Away 61% P 62%

Double Chance

2.62Cremonese or Draw 18%1.18Cremonese or Como 40%1.12Draw or Como 42%

Draw No Bet

4.51 21%1.182 79%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50%1.9No 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 54%2.1Under 45% P 46%

Total Corners

6.0Under 6 15%2.626 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 32%6.012 - 14 15%15.0Over 14 6%

Number of Cards

4.51.66Over 56% P 54%2.1Under 44% P 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 15–17.5% · away 60–62.5% · 275 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home16%16%15%-1.7
Draw22%23%20%-3.0
Away62%61%66%+4.7

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 61%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%55%+0.8

Fabio Maresca

Career
165 matches · 14 seasons
Cards / match
5.7 (5.35 yellow · 0.2 red)
Fouls / match
25.0 · 4.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 67 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.394.48+1.2893
Fouls / match25.525.1+0.28
Fouls per card4.75.6-1.10 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.280.31-0.3244
Time added7.26.4+1.6195
First card
31' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.29

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-05-17 52 320 21'9
2026-05-03 81 320 9'7
2026-04-20 50 210 62'9
2026-04-11 40 180 66'8
2026-04-06 · Como 50 220 50'6
2026-03-13 40 300 59'12
2026-01-25 41 310 56'7
2026-01-14 30 250 17'8
2026-01-07 30 240 11'6
2025-12-27 50 220 6'6