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Serie A · Matchweek 38

Momentum

VERRoma
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
38

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
Capacity
39,045
Surface
grass
Attendance
23,277

Teams

Coaches
Paolo Sammarco · Gian Gasperini
Position
19 · 4
Formation
3-5-2 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Simone Sozza

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
24.1° (feels 24.0°)
Wind
1.5
Humidity
57%

Where to watch · 286

  • Albania Tring Sport 3
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  • São Tomé and Príncipe SuperSport Football Plus ROA · SuperSport GOtv LaLiga · SuperSport Laliga ROA · SuperSport MaXimo 1
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  • Tunisia STARZPLAY
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  • Zambia SuperSport Football Plus ROA · SuperSport GOtv LaLiga · SuperSport Laliga ROA · SuperSport MaXimo 1
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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Hellas Verona

LDDLD 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 2 GA 4 · xG 3.69–7.9 · xPts 4.55

  • D A Inter 1–1 xG 0.91–2.28 ITA SA
  • L H Como 0–1 xG 1.31–0.93 ITA SA
  • D A Juventus 1–1 xG 0.31–2.91 ITA SA
  • D H Lecce 0–0 xG 0.37–1.2 ITA SA
  • L H AC Milan 0–1 xG 0.8–0.57 ITA SA

Roma

DWWWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 12 GA 3 · xG 8.88–3.2 · xPts 10.61

  • W H Lazio 2–0 xG 1.57–0.6 ITA SA
  • W A Parma 3–2 xG 2.42–1.07 ITA SA
  • W H Fiorentina 4–0 xG 2.35–0.14 ITA SA
  • W A Bologna 2–0 xG 1.4–0.71 ITA SA
  • D H Atalanta 1–1 xG 1.14–0.67 ITA SA

All meetings · 22 matches since 2013

Hellas Verona 35 draws14 Roma

Goals 19–41 · 2.73 per match · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 54%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Hellas Verona 31 draws6 Roma

Goals 12–18 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Hellas Verona 10 draws4 Roma

Goals 4–9 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Hellas Verona 0–2 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Roma 2–0 Hellas Verona ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Roma 1–0 Hellas Verona ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Hellas Verona 3–2 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Roma 2–1 Hellas Verona ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Hellas Verona 2–1 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Roma 1–0 Hellas Verona ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Hellas Verona 1–3 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Roma 2–2 Hellas Verona neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Hellas Verona 3–2 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricHellas Verona all · 38Hellas Verona at home · 19Roma all · 38Roma away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game0.550.421.921.63
W / D / L3 / 12 / 231 / 5 / 1323 / 4 / 1110 / 1 / 8
Goals for / match0.660.631.551.37
Goals against / match1.611.470.821.11
Clean sheets16%16%47%37%
Failed to score53%58%18%21%
Both teams scored47%42%34%42%
Over 2.550%42%37%42%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.980.871.481.39
xG against / match1.291.060.991.26
xG difference-0.32-0.190.490.14
Finishing vs xG-0.32-0.240.07-0.02
xPts / match1.171.221.701.50
Points vs xPts-0.62-0.800.220.13
Game state
Scored first18%16%66%58%
PPG when scoring first1.291.332.722.55
PPG when conceding first0.240.080.380.38
Came back from behind15%7%27%20%
Leads held38%33%88%83%
Minutes leading9%8%40%39%
Minutes level58%62%44%41%
Minutes trailing33%30%16%20%
First goal (min)41383630
First goal conceded (min)40464644
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half40%42%54%50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half61%64%68%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.050.000.240.16
Late goals against0.500.630.260.32
Style
Possession40%43%56%55%
Shots11.110.913.211.2
On target3.73.94.74.2
Shot conversion6%6%12%12%
Shots inside box56%54%74%71%
Big chances created1.41.22.22.0
Corners3.94.85.24.6
xG from set plays26%20%31%36%
Goals from headers4%8%20%12%
Pressure index7.49.818.616.3
Dominant minutes32.140.061.955.8
Pass accuracy74%76%83%82%
Fouls15.814.913.814.8
Cards2.552.261.892.16

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Hellas Verona

0–15'18
16–30'76
31–45'710
46–60'39
61–75'59
76–90'219

Roma

0–15'85
16–30'90
31–45'105
46–60'108
61–75'133
76–90'910

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Hellas Verona

No pressure profile yet.

Roma · 5 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.66) · stands out: when level +0.82

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.665
Early press (0-15, level)+0.385
Late push (76+, level)+0.042

Game state

When ahead+0.365
When level+0.825
10 min after conceding-0.312
10 min after scoring+0.545

Situations

At home+1.332
Away+0.173
4+ days rest+0.665

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.912
As favourite+0.665

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.195
Conceded when ahead-0.195
Conceded late (76+)-0.563

Ahead vs level -0.46 · Behind vs level -0.11

Hellas Verona

Current: winless 10 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-226 68%0.50.771.771.031.21
3-5-1-14 10%0.50.251.250.61.85
3-4-2-14 10%0.250.251.750.631.06
5-3-22 5%2.01.51.01.361.83
3-1-4-22 5%0.50.00.51.371.23

Roma

Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 1 · scoring 22 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-130 79%1.91.630.871.450.98
3-4-1-24 10%2.251.250.251.710.58
3-5-23 8%1.331.331.331.781.78
3-4-31 3%3.01.00.00.780.6

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

9.5Home 10% P 10%5.0Draw 19% P 19%1.33Away 71% P 71%

Double Chance

3.0Verona or Draw 16%1.18Verona or Roma 40%1.07Draw or Roma 44%

Draw No Bet

7.01 14%1.12 86%

Both Teams To Score

2.1Yes 44%1.66No 56%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 52%1.9Under 50% P 48%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.52.1Over 44% P 42%1.66Under 56% P 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 5–10% · away 70–75% · 228 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home10%9%7%-2.1
Draw19%18%18%-0.1
Away71%73%75%+2.3

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 45% · over 2.5 56%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.552%51%51%-0.1

Simone Sozza

Career
103 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
4.63 (4.41 yellow · 0.15 red)
Fouls / match
25.2 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.49
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 69 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.484.49-0.0249
Fouls / match25.725.2+0.40
Fouls per card5.75.6-0.09 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.480.31+1.2485
Time added6.36.4-0.2427
First card
34' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.42

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-05-17 50 271 48'11
2026-04-26 50 200 21'7
2026-04-05 · Roma 10 210 60'5
2026-03-19 20 230 23'5
2026-03-08 51 461 44'10
2026-03-01 · Roma 10 190 27'16
2026-02-26 30 331 28'3
2026-02-15 20 220 4'5
2026-02-01 40 260 45'7
2026-01-22 60 251 26'6