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Serie A · Matchweek 38

Momentum

LazioPisa
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
38

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Olimpico, Roma
Capacity
72,698
Surface
grass
Attendance
6,886

Teams

Coaches
Maurizio Sarri · Oscar Hiljemark
Position
9 · 20
Formation
4-3-3 · 3-5-2

Referee

Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
20.7° (feels 20.6°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
69%

Where to watch · 286

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Lazio

WDWLL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 7.01–6.54 · xPts 6.82

  • L A Roma 0–2 xG 0.6–1.57 ITA SA
  • L H Inter 0–3 xG 0.64–1.31 ITA SA
  • W A Cremonese 2–1 xG 0.84–0.8 ITA SA
  • D H Udinese 3–3 xG 2.21–2.12 ITA SA
  • W A Napoli 2–0 xG 2.71–0.74 ITA SA

Pisa

LLLLL 0W 0D 5L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 2 GA 11 · xG 5.11–6.49 · xPts 5.45

  • L H Napoli 0–3 xG 0.71–1.11 ITA SA
  • L A Cremonese 0–3 xG 0.0–0.95 ITA SA
  • L H Lecce 1–2 xG 2.29–1.06 ITA SA
  • L A Parma 0–1 xG 1.25–1.57 ITA SA
  • L H Genoa 1–2 xG 0.87–1.79 ITA SA

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Lazio 11 draws0 Pisa

Goals 2–1 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Lazio 11 draws0 Pisa

Goals 2–1 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Lazio 11 draws0 Pisa

Goals 2–1 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • W Lazio 2–1 Pisa ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Pisa 0–0 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricLazio all · 38Lazio at home · 19Pisa all · 38Pisa away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.421.580.470.42
W / D / L14 / 12 / 128 / 6 / 52 / 12 / 240 / 8 / 11
Goals for / match1.081.420.680.89
Goals against / match1.051.321.872.37
Clean sheets40%32%13%5%
Failed to score45%32%55%47%
Both teams scored29%42%42%53%
Over 2.532%47%53%68%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.171.311.081.04
xG against / match1.361.421.561.79
xG difference-0.19-0.12-0.48-0.75
Finishing vs xG-0.090.12-0.40-0.14
xPts / match1.231.281.111.02
Points vs xPts0.190.30-0.64-0.60
Game state
Scored first42%47%26%37%
PPG when scoring first2.502.561.100.71
PPG when conceding first0.530.670.130.18
Came back from behind33%50%17%27%
Leads held70%67%18%0%
Minutes leading21%28%7%8%
Minutes level54%45%59%52%
Minutes trailing25%27%34%40%
First goal (min)42363929
First goal conceded (min)35284333
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%56%54%41%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%44%58%51%
Late goals for (76'+)0.390.530.130.21
Late goals against0.180.260.500.53
Style
Possession50%50%40%38%
Shots11.012.29.68.9
On target4.14.72.82.5
Shot conversion10%12%7%10%
Shots inside box61%61%74%75%
Big chances created1.91.91.81.6
Corners3.74.63.63.3
xG from set plays30%30%36%43%
Goals from headers7%11%19%12%
Pressure index12.214.67.57.3
Dominant minutes45.049.033.330.1
Pass accuracy86%86%76%77%
Fouls10.610.913.213.1
Cards2.292.472.212.26

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Lazio

0–15'65
16–30'47
31–45'67
46–60'67
61–75'47
76–90'157

Pisa

0–15'57
16–30'56
31–45'217
46–60'611
61–75'311
76–90'519

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Lazio · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.62

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.034
Early press (0-15, level)+0.254
Late push (76+, level)-0.102

Game state

When ahead+0.134
When level-0.104
10 min after conceding-0.612
10 min after scoring+0.624

Situations

At home-0.172
Away+0.232
4+ days rest+0.034

Opposition

Evenly matched+0.173

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.004
Conceded when ahead-0.064
Conceded late (76+)-0.244

Ahead vs level +0.23 · Behind vs level +0.30

Pisa

No pressure profile yet.

Lazio

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-336 95%1.390.971.031.121.37
4-2-3-12 5%2.03.01.52.031.32

Pisa

Current: winless 9 · scoring 1 · conceding 14

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-221 55%0.380.431.861.071.49
3-4-2-112 32%0.330.581.920.731.68
3-4-1-21 3%1.02.02.01.642.01
3-5-1-11 3%0.01.02.02.291.06
4-4-21 3%1.02.02.01.632.41

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.7Home 56% P 56%3.7Draw 26% P 25%5.0Away 19% P 20%

Double Chance

1.18Lazio or Draw 40%1.28Lazio or Pisa 37%2.05Draw or Pisa 23%

Draw No Bet

1.281 73%3.52 27%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50%1.9No 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 50%1.9Under 50% P 50%

Total Corners

6.5Under 6 14%2.626 - 8 34%2.759 - 11 32%6.012 - 14 15%17.0Over 14 5%

Number of Cards

3.52.0Over 46% P 43%1.72Under 54% P 57%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 17.5–20% · 762 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home56%56%53%-2.8
Draw25%25%26%+1.0
Away20%19%21%+1.8

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 52%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.550%49%50%+1.3

Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi

Career
15 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
4.07 (3.87 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
24.8 · 6.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.4
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 15 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.074.48-0.5929
Fouls / match24.825.1-0.19
Fouls per card6.15.6+0.27 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.470.31+1.1583
Time added6.96.4+0.9990
First card
29' on average
Card timing
18% in first 30' · 28% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.33

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-15 60 280 16'7