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Serie A · Matchweek 38

Momentum

TorinoJuventus
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
38

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Torino
Capacity
28,177
Surface
grass
Attendance
26,000

Teams

Coaches
Roberto D'Aversa · Luciano Spalletti
Position
13 · 6
Formation
3-4-1-2 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Luca Zufferli

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
24.0° (feels 24.0°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
60%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Inter 382765 893554 87 DWWDD
2 Napoli 382378 583622 76 WDLWW
3 Roma 3823411 593128 73 WWWWW
4 Como 3820117 652936 71 WDWWW
5 AC Milan 3820108 533518 70 DLLWL
6 Juventus 3819127 613427 69 DDWLD
7 Atalanta 3815149 513615 59 LDWLD
8 Bologna 3816814 49463 56 LDWWD
9 Lazio 38141212 41401 54 DWLLW
10 Udinese 3814816 4548-3 50 DWWLL
11 Sassuolo 3814717 4650-4 49 DWLLL
12 Torino 3812917 4463-19 45 DLWLD
13 Parma 38111215 2846-18 45 WLLLW
14 Cagliari 38111017 4053-13 43 WDLWW
15 Fiorentina 3891514 4150-9 42 DLDWD
16 Genoa 38101117 4151-10 41 LDDLL
17 Lecce 3810820 2850-22 38 DWLWW
18 Cremonese 3881020 3257-25 34 LLWWL
19 Hellas Verona 3831223 2561-36 21 DDLDL
20 Pisa 3821224 2671-45 18 LLLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Torino

DDLWL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 6.3–7.64 · xPts 5.77

  • L A Cagliari 1–2 xG 1.11–1.28 ITA SA
  • W H Sassuolo 2–1 xG 1.98–1.51 ITA SA
  • L A Udinese 0–2 xG 0.69–2.2 ITA SA
  • D H Inter 2–2 xG 2.36–1.58 ITA SA
  • D A Cremonese 0–0 xG 0.16–1.07 ITA SA

Juventus

WDDWL 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 3 · xG 8.93–3.51 · xPts 10.0

  • L H Fiorentina 0–2 xG 2.15–0.65 ITA SA
  • W A Lecce 1–0 xG 2.09–1.12 ITA SA
  • D H Hellas Verona 1–1 xG 2.91–0.31 ITA SA
  • D A AC Milan 0–0 xG 0.51–0.58 ITA SA
  • W H Bologna 2–0 xG 1.26–0.86 ITA SA

All meetings · 32 matches since 2007

Torino 19 draws22 Juventus

Goals 18–53 · 2.22 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 38%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Torino 05 draws5 Juventus

Goals 6–14 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Torino 04 draws1 Juventus

Goals 3–5 · 1.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D Torino 2–2 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Juventus 0–0 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Torino 1–1 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Juventus 2–0 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Torino 0–0 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Juventus 2–0 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Juventus 4–2 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Torino 0–1 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Juventus 1–1 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Torino 0–1 Juventus ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricTorino all · 38Torino at home · 19Juventus all · 38Juventus away · 19
Results
Matches38193819
Points per game1.181.471.821.68
W / D / L12 / 9 / 178 / 4 / 719 / 12 / 79 / 5 / 5
Goals for / match1.161.421.611.37
Goals against / match1.661.530.890.95
Clean sheets32%26%42%42%
Failed to score29%16%21%21%
Both teams scored50%63%45%42%
Over 2.563%68%40%37%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.221.381.831.59
xG against / match1.481.601.001.08
xG difference-0.26-0.220.830.51
Finishing vs xG-0.060.05-0.22-0.22
xPts / match1.221.261.831.65
Points vs xPts-0.040.22-0.020.03
Game state
Scored first40%42%58%63%
PPG when scoring first2.132.252.642.50
PPG when conceding first0.470.900.620.17
Came back from behind29%42%50%17%
Leads held71%80%83%75%
Minutes leading19%28%35%33%
Minutes level46%43%49%48%
Minutes trailing35%29%17%18%
First goal (min)44413537
First goal conceded (min)29314039
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%56%61%62%
Goals conceded in 2nd half51%52%56%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.320.260.340.21
Late goals against0.210.210.210.32
Style
Possession44%45%58%56%
Shots11.812.516.813.9
On target4.04.36.05.1
Shot conversion10%11%10%10%
Shots inside box62%65%65%66%
Big chances created2.02.52.92.7
Corners3.84.35.44.4
xG from set plays30%30%26%22%
Goals from headers23%22%24%15%
Pressure index9.110.722.519.4
Dominant minutes36.440.364.760.3
Pass accuracy79%79%86%85%
Fouls13.913.612.112.9
Cards1.921.791.451.79

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Torino

0–15'45
16–30'713
31–45'613
46–60'812
61–75'712
76–90'128

Juventus

0–15'104
16–30'73
31–45'78
46–60'116
61–75'135
76–90'138

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Torino · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.68

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.024
Early press (0-15, level)-0.184
Late push (76+, level)+0.302
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.093

Game state

When level+0.044
When behind-0.154
10 min after conceding-0.384
10 min after scoring+0.683

Situations

At home-0.192
Away+0.142
4+ days rest-0.024

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.192
v mid-tier opponents+0.142
As underdog-0.053

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.364
Conceded late (76+)+0.244

Ahead vs level +0.29 · Behind vs level -0.19

Juventus · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.27) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.64

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.275
Early press (0-15, level)-0.165
Late push (76+, level)+1.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.212

Game state

When ahead+0.423
When level+0.215
When behind+0.142
10 min after conceding-0.112
10 min after scoring+0.645

Situations

At home+0.173
Away+0.402
4+ days rest+0.275

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.152
As favourite+0.275

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.285
Conceded when ahead-0.343
Conceded late (76+)-0.494

Ahead vs level +0.20 · Behind vs level -0.07

Torino

Current: winless 1 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-216 42%1.01.381.881.281.51
3-4-1-29 24%1.891.560.891.261.18
3-4-2-14 10%1.01.252.01.71.47
3-1-4-22 5%0.00.04.00.612.35
3-4-32 5%1.51.01.00.851.42

Juventus

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-124 63%2.041.540.671.690.99
4-2-3-16 16%1.671.830.832.610.73
3-5-22 5%0.00.51.51.01.33
4-1-4-12 5%2.01.50.52.281.11
4-3-32 5%0.01.02.51.21.6

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

5.75Home 16% P 14%4.33Draw 22% P 21%1.53Away 62% P 66%

Double Chance

2.5Torino or Draw 19%1.22Torino or Juventus 39%1.11Draw or Juventus 42%

Draw No Bet

5.01 19%1.162 81%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50%1.9No 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 59%2.0Under 47% P 41%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.52.0Over 46% P 41%1.72Under 54% P 59%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 12.5–15% · away 65–67.5% · 254 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home14%14%13%-0.7
Draw21%20%21%+1.1
Away66%66%66%-0.5

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 58%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.559%59%60%+0.8

Luca Zufferli

Career
44 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
3.11 (3.0 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
23.6 · 7.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 41 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.14.48-1.972
Fouls / match23.625.1-0.95
Fouls per card8.05.6+2.17 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.290.31-0.2546
Time added6.86.4+0.7980
First card
36' on average
Card timing
20% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.4

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-05-17 20 240 65'7
2026-05-10 60 251 34'9
2026-05-04 40 220 25'3
2026-04-18 40 201 29'6
2026-04-05 · Torino 10 240 14'5
2026-03-08 20 260 61'6
2026-01-30 50 243 64'8
2026-01-18 20 200 21'5
2026-01-06 · Juventus 15 6
2025-12-07 31 340 52'6