Rating 7.14 (95th pct) · G+A 15 + 5 (34% of team goals) · 78% of minutes
Team 1.42 ppg with (31) · 1.14 without (7)
Premier League · Matchweek 27
Momentum
– ChelseaBurnley –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Chelsea | at home | Stat | league | away | Burnley |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57.7 #3 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 42.3 #20 |
| 13.4 #6 | – | Shots total | 12.5 | – | 9.3 #20 |
| 4.4 #9 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 3.1 #20 |
| 6.0 #4 | – | Corners | 5.0 | – | 3.6 #18 |
| 11.1 #6 | – | Fouls | 10.8 | – | 10.4 #13 |
| 1.5 #10 | – | Offsides | 1.6 | – | 1.5 #13 |
| 15.6 #14 | – | Tackles | 16.7 | – | 16.8 #12 |
| 100.9 #4 | – | Attacks | 93.3 | – | 85.4 #16 |
| 54.0 #5 | – | Dangerous attacks | 49.1 | – | 39.3 #19 |
| 540.4 #2 | – | Passes | 437.0 | – | 384.9 #16 |
| 2.5 #2 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 1.7 #13 |
| 0.1 #1 | – | Redcards | 0.0 | – | 0.1 #6 |
| 1.0 #6 | – | Assists | 0.9 | – | 0.7 #15 |
| – #5 | – | Btts | 56.1 | – | – #7 |
| – #10 | – | Cleansheet | 25.5 | – | – #19 |
| – #11 | – | Draw | 27.4 | – | – #11 |
| 1.8 #4 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 0.9 #20 |
| -0.3 #18 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | 0.1 #1 |
| – #14 | – | Failed to score | 25.5 | – | – #2 |
| 1.5 #5 | 1.4 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.0 #19 |
| 1.4 #9 | 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 2.4 | 2.0 #1 |
| 0.3 #5 | – | Injury time goals | 0.3 | – | 0.3 #16 |
| 10.0 #1 | – | Interceptions | 8.5 | – | 9.4 #3 |
| – #10 | – | Lost | 36.3 | – | – #1 |
| 0.2 #3 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #16 |
| 6.8 #5 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.7 #20 |
| 4.4 #3 | – | Shots blocked | 3.7 | – | 3.1 #16 |
| 8.9 #5 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.4 | – | 5.7 #20 |
| 4.7 #9 | – | Shots off target | 4.8 | – | 3.3 #20 |
| 4.5 #7 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.1 | – | 3.7 #13 |
| – #7 | – | Win | 36.3 | – | – #19 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 380 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.75 (home 1.53 · away 1.22)
- Home / draw / away
- 43% · 27% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 55%
- Cards / match
- 4.09 (reds 0.09)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Chelsea · 2025/2026 · Premier League
Rating 7.05 (88th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (7% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Team 1.28 ppg with (32) · 1.83 without (6)
Rating 6.96 (71th pct) · G+A 5 + 6 (19% of team goals) · 77% of minutes
Team 1.43 ppg with (30) · 1.12 without (8)
Burnley · 2025/2026 · Premier League
Rating 6.7 (50th pct) · G+A 1 + 4 (13% of team goals) · 36% of minutes
Team 0.73 ppg with (15) · 0.48 without (23)
Rating 6.55 (8th pct) · G+A 0 + 2 (5% of team goals) · 91% of minutes
Rating 6.76 (83th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 46% of minutes
Team 0.59 ppg with (17) · 0.57 without (21)
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 27
Venue
- Stadium
- Stamford Bridge, London
- Capacity
- 34,915
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 39,603
Teams
- Coaches
- Liam Rosenior · Scott Parker
- Position
- 5 · 19
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Referee
Lewis Smith
Weather
- Conditions
- light rain
- Temperature
- 13.0° (feels 12.6°)
- Wind
- 6.2
- Humidity
- 87%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal |
38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 85 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Manchester City |
38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77 | 35 | 42 | 78 | DWWDL |
| 3 |  Manchester United |
38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 71 | WWDWW |
| 4 |  Aston Villa |
38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 65 | LLDWW |
| 5 |  Liverpool |
38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 60 | WLDLD |
| 6 |  AFC Bournemouth |
38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 57 | DWWDD |
| 7 |  Sunderland |
38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 54 | LDDWW |
| 8 |  Brighton & Hove Albion |
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 53 | WLWLL |
| 9 |  Brentford |
38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55 | 52 | 3 | 53 | LWLDD |
| 10 |  Chelsea |
38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 52 | LLDWL |
| 11 |  Fulham |
38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 52 | WLLDW |
| 12 |  Newcastle United |
38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 49 | LWDWL |
| 13 |  Everton |
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 49 | LDDLL |
| 14 |  Leeds United |
38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 47 | DWDWL |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace |
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 45 | LDLDL |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest |
38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 44 | WWDLD |
| 17 |  Tottenham Hotspur |
38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 41 | WWDLW |
| 18 |  West Ham United |
38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46 | 65 | -19 | 39 | WLLLW |
| 19 |  Burnley |
38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38 | 75 | -37 | 22 | LLDLD |
| 20 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 20 | LDLDD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 41 | 11 | 30 | 47 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 14 | 31 | 45 | DWWDL |
| 3 | Manchester United |
19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 42 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Aston Villa |
19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 | LLDWW |
| 5 | Liverpool |
19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 36 | WLDLD |
| 6 | Fulham |
19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 35 | WLLDW |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 33 | WLWLL |
| 8 | Sunderland |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 33 | LDDWW |
| 9 | Brentford |
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 32 | LWLDD |
| 10 | Leeds United |
19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 32 | DWDWL |
| 11 | Newcastle United |
19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 32 | LWDWL |
| 12 | AFC Bournemouth |
19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 | DWWDD |
| 13 | Chelsea |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 26 | LLDWL |
| 14 | Everton |
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 | LDDLL |
| 15 | West Ham United |
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 22 | WLLLW |
| 16 | Crystal Palace |
19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 21 | LDLDL |
| 17 | Nottingham Forest |
19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 20 | WWDLD |
| 18 | Tottenham Hotspur |
19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 15 | WWDLW |
| 19 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 14 | LDLDD |
| 20 | Burnley |
19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 13 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal |
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 38 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Manchester City |
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 33 | DWWDL |
| 3 | Manchester United |
19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 29 | WWDWW |
| 4 | Aston Villa |
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 | LLDWW |
| 5 | Chelsea |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 26 | LLDWL |
| 6 | Tottenham Hotspur |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 26 | WWDLW |
| 7 | Everton |
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 26 | LDDLL |
| 8 | AFC Bournemouth |
19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 26 | DWWDD |
| 9 | Nottingham Forest |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 24 | WWDLD |
| 10 | Liverpool |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 24 | WLDLD |
| 11 | Crystal Palace |
19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 24 | LDLDL |
| 12 | Brentford |
19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 21 | LWLDD |
| 13 | Sunderland |
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 | LDDWW |
| 14 | Brighton & Hove Albion |
19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 20 | WLWLL |
| 15 | Newcastle United |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 17 | LWDWL |
| 16 | Fulham |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 17 | WLLDW |
| 17 | West Ham United |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 17 | WLLLW |
| 18 | Leeds United |
19 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 15 | DWDWL |
| 19 | Burnley |
19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 9 | LLDLD |
| 20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
19 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 34 | -26 | 6 | LDLDD |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Chelsea
WWWDW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 15 GA 7 · xG 13.75–6.01 · xPts 11.14
- W
A
Hull City
4–0
xG 2.19–1.07
UK FA Cup - D
H
Leeds United
2–2
xG 3.52–1.24
UK PL
- W
A
Wolverhampton Wanderers
3–1
xG 2.88–1.18
UK PL
- W
H
West Ham United
3–2
xG 3.18–1.3
UK PL
- W
A
Napoli
3–2
xG 1.98–1.21
UEFA CL
LWWWWWWWDW 8W 1D 1L · 25 pts (2.5 ppg) · GF 27 GA 11 · xG 26.31–11.97 · xPts 21.61
- W
A
Hull City
4–0
xG 2.19–1.07
UK FA Cup
- D
H
Leeds United
2–2
xG 3.52–1.24
UK PL
- W
A
Wolverhampton Wanderers
3–1
xG 2.88–1.18
UK PL
- W
H
West Ham United
3–2
xG 3.18–1.3
UK PL
- W
A
Napoli
3–2
xG 1.98–1.21
UEFA CL
- W
A
Crystal Palace
3–1
xG 2.31–1.75
UK PL
- W
H
Pafos FC
1–0
xG 2.16–0.21
UEFA CL - W
H
Brentford
2–0
xG 1.58–1.46
UK PL
- W
A
Charlton Athletic
5–1
xG 4.1–1.11
UK FA Cup - L
A
Fulham
1–2
xG 2.41–1.43
UK PL
Burnley
DLLWL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 11 · xG 6.34–7.35 · xPts 6.24
- L
H
Mansfield Town
1–2
xG 2.75–0.71
UK FA Cup - W
A
Crystal Palace
3–2
xG 0.54–2.18
UK PL
- L
H
West Ham United
0–2
xG 1.92–0.58
UK PL
- L
A
Sunderland
0–3
xG 0.1–1.99
UK PL
- D
H
Tottenham Hotspur
2–2
xG 1.04–1.9
UK PL
LLDWDDLLWL 2W 3D 5L · 9 pts (0.9 ppg) · GF 15 GA 20 · xG 11.71–19.45 · xPts 9.91
- L
H
Mansfield Town
1–2
xG 2.75–0.71
UK FA Cup
- W
A
Crystal Palace
3–2
xG 0.54–2.18
UK PL
- L
H
West Ham United
0–2
xG 1.92–0.58
UK PL
- L
A
Sunderland
0–3
xG 0.1–1.99
UK PL
- D
H
Tottenham Hotspur
2–2
xG 1.04–1.9
UK PL
- D
A
Liverpool
1–1
xG 0.6–3.58
UK PL
- W
H
Millwall
5–1
xG 3.08–1.07
UK FA Cup - D
H
Manchester United
2–2
xG 0.33–2.77
UK PL
- L
A
Brighton & Hove Albion
0–2
xG 0.31–1.35
UK PL
- L
H
Newcastle United
1–3
xG 1.05–3.33
UK PL
All meetings · 20 matches since 2009
Goals 49–17 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 70%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 26–7 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 13–4 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- D Chelsea 1–1 Burnley UK PL · Regular Season
- W Burnley 0–2 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
- D Chelsea 2–2 Burnley UK PL · Regular Season
- W Burnley 1–4 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
- W Burnley 0–4 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
- D Chelsea 1–1 Burnley UK PL · Regular Season
- W Chelsea 2–0 Burnley UK PL · Regular Season
- W Burnley 0–3 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
- W Chelsea 3–0 Burnley UK PL · Regular Season
- W Burnley 2–4 Chelsea UK PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Chelsea all · 38 | Chelsea at home · 19 | Burnley all · 38 | Burnley away · 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 38 | 19 | 38 | 19 |
| Points per game | 1.37 | 1.37 | 0.58 | 0.47 |
| W / D / L | 14 / 10 / 14 | 7 / 5 / 7 | 4 / 10 / 24 | 2 / 3 / 14 |
| Goals for / match | 1.53 | 1.37 | 1.00 | 1.05 |
| Goals against / match | 1.37 | 1.32 | 1.97 | 2.42 |
| Clean sheets | 24% | 26% | 10% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 18% | 21% | 37% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 63% | 58% | 58% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 | 66% | 58% | 50% | 68% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.80 | 1.98 | 0.89 | 0.81 |
| xG against / match | 1.37 | 1.35 | 2.14 | 2.29 |
| xG difference | 0.43 | 0.62 | -1.25 | -1.49 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.28 | -0.61 | 0.11 | 0.25 |
| xPts / match | 1.60 | 1.73 | 0.70 | 0.54 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.24 | -0.36 | -0.12 | -0.06 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 45% | 63% | 21% | 21% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.12 | 1.75 | 1.38 | 0.75 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.74 | 0.67 | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| Came back from behind | 36% | 22% | 27% | 22% |
| Leads held | 64% | 50% | 40% | 40% |
| Minutes leading | 29% | 34% | 9% | 6% |
| Minutes level | 43% | 47% | 47% | 44% |
| Minutes trailing | 28% | 19% | 44% | 50% |
| First goal (min) | 40 | 32 | 48 | 61 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 36 | 46 | 31 | 34 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 55% | 50% | 58% | 60% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 54% | 64% | 49% | 59% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.24 | 0.21 | 0.26 | 0.37 |
| Late goals against | 0.29 | 0.32 | 0.45 | 0.58 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 58% | 59% | 42% | 41% |
| Shots | 13.4 | 15.2 | 9.3 | 7.8 |
| On target | 4.4 | 4.2 | 3.1 | 2.9 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 9% | 11% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 61% | 61% | 58% |
| Big chances created | 2.7 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Corners | 5.9 | 6.8 | 3.6 | 3.5 |
| xG from set plays | 29% | 31% | 35% | 36% |
| Goals from headers | 20% | 23% | 16% | 21% |
| Pressure index | 17.2 | 18.9 | 6.0 | 4.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 57.3 | 62.4 | 29.9 | 27.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 87% | 78% | 78% |
| Fouls | 11.1 | 10.8 | 10.4 | 10.8 |
| Cards | 2.89 | 2.53 | 1.84 | 2.21 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Chelsea
0–15'611
16–30'76
31–45'137
46–60'148
61–75'99
76–90'911
Burnley
0–15'314
16–30'56
31–45'818
46–60'710
61–75'510
76–90'1017
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Chelsea · 4 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.40
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.064
Early press (0-15, level)-0.214
Game state
When ahead+0.074
When level-0.074
When behind+0.172
10 min after conceding-0.404
10 min after scoring+0.324
Situations
At home-0.002
Away+0.122
4+ days rest+0.064
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.003
As favourite+0.153
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.234
Conceded when ahead+0.354
Conceded late (76+)-0.274
Ahead vs level +0.14 · Behind vs level +0.24
Burnley · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.40
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.067
Early press (0-15, level)-0.227
Late push (76+, level)-0.404
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.224
Game state
When ahead+0.123
When level-0.117
When behind-0.066
10 min after conceding-0.167
10 min after scoring+0.197
Situations
At home-0.213
Away+0.064
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.075
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.045
Evenly matched-0.173
As underdog+0.103
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.167
Conceded when ahead+0.533
Conceded late (76+)+0.326
Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level +0.23 · Behind vs level +0.05
Chelsea
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 32 84% | 1.44 | 1.5 | 1.22 | 1.82 | 1.33 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 8% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.92 | 1.47 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.62 | 2.02 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.18 | 1.3 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.81 | 1.81 |
Burnley
Current: winless 20 · scoring 8 · conceding 15
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 13 34% | 0.92 | 1.31 | 1.85 | 1.07 | 2.31 |
| 5-4-1 | 9 24% | 0.11 | 0.44 | 2.22 | 0.61 | 2.16 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 8 21% | 0.88 | 1.5 | 2.13 | 0.67 | 2.29 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 8% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.33 | 1.22 | 2.02 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 5% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.63 | 1.19 |
| Metric | Chelsea all · 10 | Chelsea at home · 10 | Burnley all · 10 | Burnley away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.30 | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 4 | 4 / 1 / 5 | 0 / 5 / 5 | 0 / 2 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | 1.60 | 1.70 | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| Goals against / match | 1.70 | 1.70 | 2.00 | 2.50 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 40% | 10% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 40% | 90% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 70% | 60% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.30 | 1.82 | 1.25 | 0.96 |
| xG against / match | 1.42 | 1.16 | 1.62 | 1.87 |
| xG difference | -0.11 | 0.67 | -0.37 | -0.91 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.30 | -0.12 | -0.15 | -0.16 |
| xPts / match | 1.24 | 1.65 | 1.10 | 0.79 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.16 | -0.35 | -0.60 | -0.59 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 60% | 50% | 40% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.17 | 2.60 | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.25 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 0.17 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 17% | 44% | 11% |
| Leads held | 67% | 80% | 0% | 0% |
| Minutes leading | 38% | 37% | 11% | 7% |
| Minutes level | 32% | 29% | 43% | 35% |
| Minutes trailing | 30% | 34% | 46% | 58% |
| First goal (min) | 26 | 24 | 41 | 48 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 32 | 39 | 29 | 30 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 38% | 47% | 64% | 50% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 47% | 53% | 45% | 60% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.10 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| Late goals against | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 52% | 49% | 47% |
| Shots | 11.9 | 14.5 | 13.7 | 10.8 |
| On target | 4.2 | 5.1 | 4.2 | 3.4 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 12% | 8% | 7% |
| Shots inside box | 61% | 63% | 54% | 60% |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 6.5 | 4.7 | 4.1 |
| xG from set plays | 31% | 32% | 20% | 19% |
| Goals from headers | 7% | 18% | 0% | 12% |
| Pressure index | 11.8 | 14.8 | 9.1 | 7.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 47.5 | 54.3 | 42.2 | 41.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 85% | 82% | 83% |
| Fouls | 11.7 | 10.5 | 11.8 | 11.0 |
| Cards | 3.30 | 1.90 | 2.20 | 2.40 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Chelsea
0–15'53
16–30'24
31–45'32
46–60'24
61–75'33
76–90'11
Burnley
0–15'25
16–30'23
31–45'03
46–60'53
61–75'04
76–90'22
Chelsea
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 50% | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.13 | 1.21 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 40% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.64 | 1.58 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.81 | 1.81 |
Burnley
Current: winless 20 · scoring 8 · conceding 15
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 0.44 | 1.11 | 2.11 | 1.29 | 1.69 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.01 |
| Metric | Chelsea all · 53 | Chelsea at home · 27 | Burnley all · 43 | Burnley away · 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 53 | 27 | 43 | 21 |
| Points per game | 1.55 | 1.63 | 0.58 | 0.48 |
| W / D / L | 24 / 10 / 19 | 13 / 5 / 9 | 4 / 13 / 26 | 2 / 4 / 15 |
| Goals for / match | 1.85 | 1.78 | 1.12 | 1.05 |
| Goals against / match | 1.45 | 1.30 | 2.02 | 2.43 |
| Clean sheets | 24% | 30% | 7% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 15% | 18% | 28% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 62% | 52% | 70% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 72% | 63% | 56% | 67% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.85 | 2.03 | 1.06 | 0.85 |
| xG against / match | 1.32 | 1.21 | 1.92 | 2.09 |
| xG difference | 0.52 | 0.82 | -0.86 | -1.24 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.00 | -0.25 | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| xPts / match | 1.63 | 1.78 | 0.88 | 0.64 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.08 | -0.15 | -0.30 | -0.16 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 58% | 70% | 28% | 29% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.19 | 2.11 | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.62 | 0.50 | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| Came back from behind | 34% | 25% | 30% | 21% |
| Leads held | 69% | 62% | 29% | 29% |
| Minutes leading | 34% | 42% | 11% | 8% |
| Minutes level | 40% | 39% | 44% | 42% |
| Minutes trailing | 26% | 19% | 45% | 50% |
| First goal (min) | 33 | 28 | 45 | 54 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 36 | 43 | 32 | 33 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 52% | 46% | 52% | 50% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 52% | 57% | 49% | 55% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.32 | 0.26 | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| Late goals against | 0.28 | 0.26 | 0.44 | 0.48 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 57% | 58% | 45% | 44% |
| Shots | 13.9 | 15.0 | 10.8 | 9.2 |
| On target | 5.0 | 4.9 | 3.4 | 3.1 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 12% | 10% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 63% | 62% | 58% |
| Big chances created | 2.9 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| Corners | 5.8 | 6.9 | 4.1 | 3.9 |
| xG from set plays | 29% | 31% | 29% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 15% | 19% | 13% | 19% |
| Pressure index | 18.3 | 20.8 | 7.9 | 5.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 57.6 | 62.5 | 35.2 | 32.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 87% | 80% | 80% |
| Fouls | 11.2 | 11.0 | 10.6 | 10.8 |
| Cards | 2.64 | 2.33 | 1.95 | 2.24 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Chelsea
0–15'1113
16–30'1611
31–45'1913
46–60'2012
61–75'1513
76–90'1515
Burnley
0–15'517
16–30'88
31–45'1019
46–60'811
61–75'513
76–90'1219
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Chelsea · 53 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.32) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +1.43
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.3253
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1653
Late push (76+, level)+0.3220
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0219
Game state
When ahead+0.3734
When level+0.4153
When behind+0.1229
10 min after conceding-0.1340
10 min after scoring+0.5445
Situations
With ten men-0.077
Against ten men+0.503
At home+0.3027
Away+0.3426
3 days rest or fewer+0.3921
4+ days rest+0.2732
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.1732
v mid-tier opponents+0.3010
v bottom-tier opponents+1.433
As favourite+0.4835
Evenly matched+0.1411
As underdog-0.187
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0653
Conceded when ahead-0.1434
Conceded late (76+)-0.3045
Congested vs rested +0.12 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level -0.29
Burnley · 43 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.25) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.47
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.2543
Early press (0-15, level)-0.2943
Late push (76+, level)-0.4719
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.3227
Game state
When ahead-0.2414
When level-0.2943
When behind-0.2037
10 min after conceding-0.2839
10 min after scoring+0.0731
Situations
With ten men-0.362
At home-0.2322
Away-0.2721
3 days rest or fewer-0.218
4+ days rest-0.2635
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.3425
v mid-tier opponents-0.0712
As favourite-0.023
Evenly matched-0.075
As underdog-0.2935
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.4443
Conceded when ahead+0.8114
Conceded late (76+)+0.3940
Congested vs rested +0.05 · Ahead vs level +0.05 · Behind vs level +0.09
Chelsea
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 41 77% | 1.56 | 1.73 | 1.29 | 1.83 | 1.25 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 5 9% | 1.8 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 1.73 | 1.63 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 8% | 1.5 | 2.75 | 1.75 | 2.42 | 1.37 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.18 | 1.3 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.62 | 2.02 |
Burnley
Current: winless 20 · scoring 8 · conceding 15
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 19 44% | 0.74 | 1.37 | 2.05 | 1.38 | 1.93 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 8 19% | 0.88 | 1.5 | 2.13 | 0.67 | 2.29 |
| 5-4-1 | 7 16% | 0.14 | 0.57 | 2.29 | 0.61 | 1.89 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 7% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.33 | 1.22 | 2.02 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 5% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.17 | 2.26 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 48.2h before kick-off · stale. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.25Home 59% P 79%6.25Draw 12% P 14%11.0Away 7% P 7%6.5Empate 11%6.5Tie 11%
Double Chance
1.05Chelsea or Draw 18% P 46%1.12Chelsea or Burnley 16% P 43%1.05Chelsea or Tie 18% P 43%4.0Tie or Burnley 5% P 43%3.75Draw or Burnley 5% P 11%1.11Chelsea ou Burnley 17%1.05Chelsea ou Empate 18%4.0Empate ou Burnley 5%
Draw No Bet
1.071 89%9.02 11%
Both Teams To Score
1.95Yes 24% P 48%1.8No 26% P 52%1.8Não 26%1.95Sim 24%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.5Over 32% P 64%2.62Under 18% P 36%1.44Mais de 33%2.75Menos de 17%
Total Corners
13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 24%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 12%
Number of Cards
3.52.0Over 46% P 47%1.72Under 54% P 53%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 77.5–80% · away 5–7.5% · 360 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 79% | 79% | 82% | +3.0 |
| Draw | 14% | 14% | 13% | -1.5 |
| Away | 7% | 7% | 5% | -1.5 |
In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 63%
Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48% | 49% | 49% | +0.0 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 64% | 63% | -0.4 |
Lewis Smith
- Career
- 75 matches · 7 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.67 (3.57 yellow · 0.05 red)
- Fouls / match
- 20.8 · 5.5 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.21
- Cards to home side
- 45%
Style in Premier League (5-year window · 10 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 5.0 | 4.26 | +1.47 | 96 |
| Fouls / match | 24.0 | 21.6 | +1.51 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.8 | 5.1 | -0.93 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.5 | 0.25 | +2.87 | 100 |
| Time added | 10.2 | 8.4 | +1.72 | 96 |
- First card
- 30' on average
- Card timing
- 15% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 48% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.2
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 101' | 8 |
| 2026-01-31 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 69' | 14 |
| 2026-01-25 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 70' | 7 |
| 2026-01-17 | 5 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 85' | 7 |
| 2026-01-10 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 26' | 6 |
| 2026-01-01 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 43' | 7 |
| 2025-12-29 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 37' | 6 |
| 2025-12-15 | 5 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 56' | 8 |
| 2025-12-06 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 49' | 8 |
| 2025-11-29 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 57' | 10 |